Screener

Board-pick snapshot: longs 44% (n=228) · shorts 51% (n=147) (n=375)

1-2 week swing, not day-trading · calm-conditional · graded, not advice ·what the badges mean

Each archetype earns its sizing tier from realized entry-day cohorts — every name it flagged on the same day is graded as ONE observation, because same-day picks move together. PROBATION at 60%, BETTABLE at 80% plus 8 cohorts earned live after the ledger lock (2026-07-28).

• · Evidence is counted in ENTRY-DAY COHORTS, never episodes — names flagged the same day move together and are not independent bets.
• · Imported pre-lock evidence is CALM-REGIME ONLY: every historical cohort was entered in a single low-drawdown stretch, so no archetype here has been tested in its own bad weather.
• · Imported cohorts are recorded with a provenance weight (see n_backfill vs n_live); BETTABLE cannot be reached on imported evidence at all — it requires matured cohorts earned after the ledger lock.
• · Tiers inform manual sizing only. Nothing on this board places, sizes, or closes an order.

Contract-graded record — each pick held to its ACTUAL exit (horizon / price-invalidation / adverse-regime), market-adjusted vs SPY. The strictest board lens: a live, growing ledger over a calm regime — not a forecast, not a proven track record. The credibility label is a display state; it licenses no sizing.

Contract-graded record — each locked pick graded as a held position to its exit · graded, not advice