APPF
AppFolio
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
48
rows
Days on list
8
oldest active
Screener Funnel
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/8 directionally right · mean -0.9% · small sample, illustrative not proof
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.244 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.33 · Days To Cover: 6.59 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.45 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.244 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.30 · Days To Cover: 5.21 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.44 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.241 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.30 · Days To Cover: 5.21 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.43 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.644 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.93% · 1-day return: -3.93% · Beta (60d): 0.15 · Sector return (1d): 0.31% · Sector return: 0.31% · Borrowed drop: -3.98% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.30 · Days To Cover: 5.21 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.44 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.668 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.24% · 1-day return: -4.24% · Beta (60d): -0.18 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -4.12% |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.668 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.30 · Days To Cover: 5.21 · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.49 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.30 · Days To Cover: 5.21 · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.56 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.30 · Days To Cover: 5.21 · Ret 20d: 0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.56 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.685 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.89% · 1-day return: -3.89% · Beta (60d): -0.24 · Sector return (1d): -1.55% · Sector return: -1.55% · Borrowed drop: -4.26% |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.685 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.30 · Days To Cover: 5.21 · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.467 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -4.12% · 1-day return: -4.12% · Beta (60d): -0.23 · Sector return (1d): 0.16% · Sector return: 0.16% · Borrowed drop: -4.08% |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.30 · Days To Cover: 5.21 · Ret 20d: 0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 0.63 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.30 · Days To Cover: 5.21 · Ret 20d: 0.26 · Dist 52w Low: 0.64 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.226 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.45 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.292 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.30 · Days To Cover: 5.21 · Ret 20d: 0.28 · Dist 52w Low: 0.62 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-26 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.293 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.30 · Days To Cover: 5.21 · Ret 20d: 0.18 · Dist 52w Low: 0.56 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.01 · Days To Cover: 5.52 · Ret 20d: 0.22 · Dist 52w Low: 0.56 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.467 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.12% · 1-day return: -4.12% · Beta (60d): -0.23 · Sector return (1d): 0.16% · Sector return: 0.16% · Borrowed drop: -4.08% |
| 2026-08-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.01 · Days To Cover: 5.52 · Ret 20d: 0.29 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.01 · Days To Cover: 5.52 · Ret 20d: 0.31 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.467 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.12% · 1-day return: -4.12% · Beta (60d): -0.23 · Sector return (1d): 0.16% · Sector return: 0.16% · Borrowed drop: -4.08% |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.226 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.45 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.303 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): -0.31 · Sector return (1d): 1.48% · Sector return: 1.48% · Borrowed drop: -2.67% |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.415 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.33% · 1-day return: -3.33% · Beta (60d): -0.35 · Sector return (1d): -0.53% · Sector return: -0.53% · Borrowed drop: -3.52% |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.226 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.45 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.226 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -6.05% · 1-day return: -6.05% · Beta (60d): -0.91 · Sector return (1d): 5.35% · Sector return: 5.35% · Borrowed drop: -1.16% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.446 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.41% · 1-day return: -3.41% · Beta (60d): -0.53 · Sector return (1d): -0.28% · Sector return: -0.28% · Borrowed drop: -3.56% |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.446 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.41% · 1-day return: -3.41% · Beta (60d): -0.53 · Sector return (1d): -0.28% · Sector return: -0.28% · Borrowed drop: -3.56% |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.594 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -6.49% · 1-day return: -6.49% · Beta (60d): -0.37 · Sector return (1d): 2.84% · Sector return: 2.84% · Borrowed drop: -5.44% |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.358 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.07% · 1-day return: -3.07% · Beta (60d): -0.16 · Sector return (1d): 1.28% · Sector return: 1.28% · Borrowed drop: -2.86% |
| 2026-07-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.406 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.49 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.547 | 3 | exited | 1-day return: -4.81% · 1-day return: -4.81% · Beta (60d): 0.21 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.75% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.547 | 3 | exited | 1-day return: -4.81% · 1-day return: -4.81% · Beta (60d): 0.21 · Sector return (1d): 0.37% · Sector return: 0.37% · Borrowed drop: -4.89% |
| 2026-06-29 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.547 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.81% · 1-day return: -4.81% · Beta (60d): 0.21 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.75% |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.547 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.81% · 1-day return: -4.81% · Beta (60d): 0.21 · Sector return (1d): 0.37% · Sector return: 0.37% · Borrowed drop: -4.89% |
| 2026-06-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.406 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.49 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.547 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.81% · 1-day return: -4.81% · Beta (60d): 0.21 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.75% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.335 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.94% · 1-day return: 1.94% · Beta (60d): 0.15 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.94% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.337 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.94% · 1-day return: 1.94% · Beta (60d): 0.15 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.94% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.341 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.94% · 1-day return: 1.94% · Beta (60d): 0.15 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.94% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.523 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.34% · 1-day return: 1.34% · Beta (60d): 0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.891 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.07% · 1-day return: -6.07% · Beta (60d): 0.16 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.104 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.20% · 1-day return: -0.20% · Beta (60d): 0.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.734 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.88% · 1-day return: -1.88% · Beta (60d): 0.02 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.440 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.95% · 1-day return: 0.95% · Beta (60d): 0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-11 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.406 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.49 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.896 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.49 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |