Market Dashboard
Updated 2026-04-15 15:15:50 ET
Full Report →Signal Alignment
?aligned
7/1/4
agree / disagree / neutral
↑+21pp vs 5d ago · improving
+22.8pp vs RISK-ON 90d avg (65.2%)· strong for regimeday 4 of new baseline
Structural signals broadly confirm SPY's trend — 7 of 8 directional signals aligned.
Leading / structural
Lagging / confirming
Market Regime
RISK-ON
86
/100
30-Day Score Trend
Alerts
DIX at 0.490 — strong dark pool buying activity.
SPY near gamma wall — expect increased resistance/support and potential pinning at key strike.
Sector breadth divergence: wide spread between strongest and weakest sectors — rotation or narrow leadership.
SKEW at 150 — elevated tail-risk hedging activity.
Full bullish alignment: DIX 0.490, GEX +7.4B, HY OAS 2.84%, breadth 54%.
5Y breakeven inflation at 2.59% — inflation expectations well above Fed target.
3-2-1 crack spread at $42.78/bbl — refining margins extremely elevated, consumer fuel price pressure.
Oil spike alert: USO at $122.64 — potential geopolitical disruption or supply shock.
SPY near gamma wall — expect increased resistance/support and potential pinning at key strike.
No alerts match this filter
Gamma Profile (SPY)
Positive-gamma zone
+0.41 to call wall
-20.75 to ZGL
-5.59 to put wall
Range width: 6.00
Dealer gamma hedging creates support at the put wall and resistance at the call wall. ZGL is the zero-gamma line — SPY above it dampens volatility, below it amplifies moves. Breach of either wall = accelerated move.
Price History
Equity & Macro Board
Equity
| Ticker | Price | RSI | IVR | GEX | PCR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | $699.59↗ | 72.5 | 88.4→ | Bullish | 0.26 | |
| QQQ | $636.01↗ | 71.5 | 86.7→ | Bullish | 0.18 | |
| IWM | $269.02↗ | 71.8 | 87.2→ | Bullish | 0.51 |
Macro
| Ticker | Price | RSI | IVR | GEX | PCR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 17.89↘ | 32.0 | 75.8 | Neutral | 1.07 | |
| TNX | 42.82↘ | 36.1 | 78.6 | - | N/A | |
| GLD | $440.81↗ | 70.9 | 55.7 | Bullish | 0.68 | |
| DXY | 98.03↘ | 31.1 | 45.4 | - | N/A | |
| SLV | $71.74 | 68.5 | 28.5 | Bullish | 0.55 |
Dark Pool & Liquidity
Dark Pool Activity
BullishDIX (Buy Ratio)
0.490
Strong institutional buying in dark pools
GEX (Gamma Exp.)
7.4B
Dealers are long gamma — expect lower volatility and mean reversion
DIX > 0.45 = strong buying. GEX positive = lower vol (mean reversion). GEX negative = higher vol (trend amplification).
Fed Liquidity
Net Liquidity (WALCL - TGA - RRP)
$5,945B
WALCL
$6693.9B
TGA
$748.4B
RRP
$0.2B
Expanding
Rising net liquidity = more cash in system = bullish. TGA/RRP draining = liquidity injection.
Global Liquidity & BTC
BTC (Liquidity Proxy)
$74,671 ▲
Neutral
Global CB Balance Sheets
$17,106B
BTC tracks global liquidity. Rising CB balance sheets = more liquidity = risk-on.
Volatility & Options
Volatility Structure
MOVE Index (Bond Vol)
74
VIX/MOVE Ratio
0.24 ▼
Normal Relationship
MOVE > 120 = bond market stress. VIX/MOVE ratio falling = equity vol is cheap relative to rates vol.
0DTE SPY Options
Put/Call Ratio
0.81 ▲
Balanced 0DTE Flow
Volume
3,788,470 C / 3,059,856 P
PCR > 1.0 = more puts (bearish hedging). PCR < 0.7 = complacency. 0DTE volume drives intraday gamma effects.
Cascade Tracker
Stage 0/13None
Macro Cross-Asset
Base Rate Context
n=7/45Current Setup
Credit Conditions
HY OAS Spread
2.84%
Benign
High yield credit spread over Treasuries. Rising = stress.
BBB Spread
1.02%
Normal
Investment-grade corporate spread. Widening = risk aversion.
2s10s Spread
0.50%
Normal (Steepening)
Yield curve slope. Negative = inverted (recession signal).
Credit spreads widen before equities sell off. HY OAS > 5% = distress. Watch BBB for downgrade risk near investment-grade cliff.
SPY/TNX correlation: -0.92 (severe) — stocks and yields diverging — flight to safety dynamics.
Energy & Commodities
Crude Oil
ELEVATEDWTI Crude
$90.92 ▼
5d: -7.1%
Brent Crude
$94.64 ▼
Spread: $3.72
XLE (Energy Sector)
$55.92▼
UNG (Nat Gas)
$10.60▼
Refining & Fuel
3-2-1 Crack Spread
$42.78 ▲
Very Wide (refiner windfall)
RBOB Gasoline
$3.0000/gal
Heating Oil
$3.5500/gal
Crack spread = refiner margin. Wide spreads mean high fuel prices vs crude. Watch for demand destruction signals above $40/bbl.
Signal History
| Signal | Current | 5d Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| DIX (Dark Pool) | 0.49 | 0.47 | ▲ |
| GEX (Gamma) | 7.40 | 5.25 | ▲ |
| HY OAS | 2.8% | 2.9% | ▼ |
| Breadth (50d SMA) | 53.5% | 53.7% | ▲ |
| VIX | 17.89 | 18.98 | ▼ |
| SKEW | 150 | N/A | — |
| Real Yield (10Y) | 1.9% | N/A | — |
| Cu/Au 20d RoC | 10.8% | N/A | — |
| USD/JPY (5d) | 0.2% | N/A | — |
| NFCI | -0.47 | N/A | — |
| MOVE Index | 74 | 74 | — |
| Net Liquidity | $5,945 | $5,945 | — |
Historical Context
Regime Streak
3days
Last Regime Change
2026-04-12
Days Since Critical
1days
Trend arrows compare current values against the 5-day rolling average. Rising DIX + falling HY OAS = improving conditions.
Sector Breadth
% of sector stocks above 50d SMA. Wide divergence = rotation risk.
Correlations (20-Day)
| Pair | Value | Normal | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPY/VIX | -0.918 | -0.85 to -0.70 | normal |
| SPY/DXY | -0.928 | -0.40 to +0.10 | severe |
| SPY/TNX | -0.923 | -0.20 to +0.40 | severe |
| SPY/Oil | -0.831 | -0.30 to +0.20 | severe |
Dollar and stocks moving together — potential risk-off pattern.
Macro Fundamentals
10Y Yield
4.28%
Dollar Index
98.03 ▼
Inflation Expectations
Stagflation: LOW5Y Breakeven
2.59%
Above Target
10Y Breakeven
2.37%
5Y5Y Forward
2.15%
Stagflation Score
15/100
TIPS breakeven rates reflect market-implied inflation. 5Y5Y forward = long-run expectations. Score combines breakeven levels and curve inversion.
News & Geopolitics
FX News Wire
FXStreet ↗USD/JPY steady below 160.00 amid Japan intervention risks
52m ago
KRW: Tech cycle and NPS hedging shift back bullish case - MUFG
53m ago
China: Import strength offsets export cooling - UOB
1h ago
Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP/USD holds near 1.3570 as Iran talk optimism cools
2h ago
USD/TRY: Stable path with renewed carry interest - ING
2h ago
AUD/USD surges ahead of Australian jobs data as US Dollar loses footing
2h ago
WTI Oil holds steady as US troop buildup, Iran talks keep prices in balance
2h ago
GBP/USD holds near 1.3570 as Iran talk optimism cools
2h ago
Gold consolidates losses as traders weigh Fed outlook and US-Iran talks hopes
2h ago
EUR/USD edges higher as US-Iran talk hopes weigh on the US Dollar
2h ago
ECB's Nagel: As long as Hormuz is not resolved, the danger of higher inflation rises
3h ago
Oil: Supply shock sustains inflation risks - Rabobank
4h ago
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD tests channel resistance near one-month highs on the 4-hour chart
4h ago
ASEAN-6: Differentiated tightening paths after energy shock - DBS
4h ago
Eurozone: Downside risks for industry grow after war shock - ING
4h ago
United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change came in at -0.913M, below expectations (0.2M) in April 10
4h ago
USD/JPY: Lagging recovery with upside risk on catch-up - Scotiabank
5h ago
USD/CHF stays near one-month low as US-Iran thaw, soft inflation weigh on Dollar
5h ago
Asia FX: Strong exports support selective outperformance - MUFG
5h ago
Canada: Gradual spending stabilization continues - RBC
5h ago
Iran War News
Iran International ↗UAE summons Iraqi envoy over attacks from Iraqi territory
19m ago
US Senate votes 52-47 to block limits on Iran strikes
20m ago
US Senate Republicans block resolution to limit Trump's Iran war powers
27m ago
Iran's Ebadi, Panahi named to Time's 2026 list of 100 most influential people
36m ago
Netanyahu says Israel aligned with US on Iran and ready if fighting resumes
1h ago
US targets Iran-linked network with counter-terror designations
1h ago
Iran may allow ships through Omani side of Hormuz under US deal - Reuters
1h ago
White House says blockade of Iranian ports fully implemented
1h ago
Pakistan hopeful of 'major breakthrough' in Iran talks - Al Jazeera
1h ago
Israel says monitoring Iran truce talks but ready to resume strikes
1h ago
Hormuz Strait Status
Monitor ↗Throughput
Under 2% of normal daily deadweight tonnage
Ships Transiting
Near zero (normal: ~60/day)
Stranded Vessels
150+ ships including tankers, bulk carriers, and other commercial vessels
Oil Prices
Brent crude surging due to supply disruption
War Risk Insurance
Premiums at extreme levels, over 16x normal rates
Global Impact
Economic Calendar & Earnings
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Earnings