bigclawd
An honest read on what kind of market this is.
Screener accountability
Track Record
Every name we flag, graded after the fact β mechanically, not curated.
Directional Hit %
51%
directionally right
Avg return / call
-0.4%
vs SPY (market-adjusted)
across 6829 closed calls Β· 13-week span Β· as of 2026-09-11 Β· calm-regime window
β² Long
52%
n=4780
βΌ Short
49%
n=2049
Best call
BLKB
+71.3%
Worst call
DOCS
-73.7%
Hindsight 'would-have' return, mechanically graded by the screener's own deterministic drop rule. A live, growing ledger over a calm regime β not a forecast, not a proven track record.
Explore
The Tape
βThe unified read β regime, stance, drawdown risk, and what flips it. The front door.
The Engine
βEvery signal, every component, the full breakdown β the verbose dashboard.
Companies
βSingle-name reads β price, options, gamma, fundamentals per watchlist ticker.
Screener
βDislocation archetypes across the S&P 900 β long setups and short setups.
Knowledge Base
βWhat every signal means, how it is built, and what is (and is not) validated.
Price History
More signals
Equity & Macro Board
Equity
| Ticker | Price | RSI | IVR | Ξ³-Sent | PCR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | $765.22β | 45.1 | 15.5β | Neutral | 0.81 | |
| QQQ | $715.51 | 48.1 | 17.6β | Neutral | 0.57 | |
| IWM | $289.54β | 33.2 | 12.3β | Bearish | 1.89 |
Macro
| Ticker | Price | RSI | IVR | Ξ³-Sent | PCR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 15.83β | 64.1 | 24.2 | Neutral | 1.39 | |
| TNX | 49.49β | 74.1 | 36.7 | - | N/A | |
| GLD | $399.78β | 38.4 | 38.3 | Bearish | 1.64 | |
| DXY | 99.05 | 54.0 | 37.5 | - | N/A | |
| SLV | $58.12 | 37.8 | 13.5 | Neutral | 1.09 |
Long End
state carrier Β· not a scored signalUS long end
as of 2026-09-11| 30Y yield | 5.28% |
| 20Y yield | 5.28% |
| 5Y yield | 4.61% |
| 10s30s | +0.45 |
| 5s30s | +0.67 |
| 30Y real | 2.98% |
| 30Y breakeven | 2.30% |
| Years since higher | 19.2 yr |
| 15Y percentile | 99.9%ile |
| All-time high | no |
| SPY / 30Y corr | βpending |
Sovereign long end
as of 2026-09-096/6 atdecade highsΒ·2/6 atall-time highs
| Country | Tenor | Level | Yrs since higher | ATH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 30Y | 5.28% | 19.2 yr | no |
| Germany | 30Y | 3.99% | 15.4 yr | β |
| Euro AAA | 30Y | 3.77% | 15.1 yr | β |
| United Kingdom | 20Y | 5.65% | 26.7 yr | β |
| Canada | long | 4.28% | 17.8 yr | β |
| Japan | 30Y | 4.00% | 27.0 yr | β |
| Japan | 40Y | 4.00% | β | β |
Market News
Silver erases post-CPI slump, rebounds from three-week low
16m ago
Iran unveils Jinnah mural highlighting Pakistan founder's anti-Israel stance
24m ago
Dow Jones Industrial Average rallies all session as long yields back off
24m ago
WTI Oil Price Forecast: corrects lower after reaching overbought levels
36m ago
Russia Consumer Price Index (MoM) above expectations (-0.1%) in August: Actual (-0.08%)
39m ago
Hegseth says US will 'finish this fight' against Iran
40m ago
British Pound shakes off US CPI jolt as UK growth steals spotlight
1h ago
Trump uses 9/11 remarks to defend Iran war
1h ago
Australian Dollar holds firm as hotter US inflation fails to cement Greenback's advantage
1h ago
Yemen's Houthis reach strategic island at mouth of vital shipping lane - Reuters
1h ago
NYC's 'Baklava Guy' started selling Turkish pastries as 'a joke,' now it brings in $20K/month: 'It's my whole life'
1h ago
Global inflation watch: Muted momentum outside of energy
1h ago
China: Exports support output as property drags - DBS
1h ago
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: To hike or not to hike? Kevin Warsh between a rock and a hard place
1h ago
Gold rebounds sharply after US CPI, but key resistance stands in the way
1h ago
Taiwan: AI boom sustains trade surplus - Commerzbank
1h ago
Oil tanker rates hit record highs following Iran, US shipping attacks - Reuters
2h ago
Japan: BoJ tightening path in focus - ING
2h ago
August CPI makes Fed decision a 'close call'
2h ago
Swiss Franc struggles even as US Dollar gives back CPI-led gains
2h ago
India: Inflation pressures point to tighter bias - DBS
2h ago
Gold Weekly Forecast: Fed rate call and dot plot key for next directional action
2h ago
Canadian Dollar slides with Oil prices, US CPI fails to keep US Dollar higher
2h ago
United Kingdom: Growth outlook strengthens with AI-driven services - Deutsche Bank
2h ago
US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is seen at 47.8 in September
2h ago
Israel crosses Iran's Lebanon red lines as Tehran leans on maritime leverage
2h ago
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index fell from previous 51.5 to 45.8 in September
2h ago
Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness is active in options market, sources say
2h ago
Modi, Putin agree to strengthen India-Russia partnership on eve of BRICS summit - Reuters
2h ago
Iranian cleric says country must defend itself even if war lasts '200,000 years'
3h ago
Jim Cramer's top 10 things to watch in the stock market Friday
3h ago
Iran accuses IAEA chief of helping build case for war
3h ago
Nonprofit received $2 million from Olivia Rodrigo and Melinda French Gates--it wants to give cash to abuse survivors
3h ago
Wealthy investors are pouring billions into this new tax strategy despite risks
4h ago
25 years after 9/11, the U.S. starts rolling back travel restrictions, from liquids to gate access
5h ago
Saudi oil supply hits more than three-decade low after Houthi attacks, IEA says - Reuters
5h ago
Iranian lawmaker says Iran will respond to IAEA resolution with action
5h ago
COMMENTARY: Morning Bid: Take a hike - Reuters
5h ago
Video: Trump says he does not regret Iran war despite impact on midterm elections
5h ago
CENTCOM chief travels to Saudi Arabia for urgent Houthi talks - Axios
6h ago
India stocks log fifth weekly loss as oil fears grip markets - Reuters
6h ago
As Saudi tensions with Iran-backed Houthis escalate, mediator Pakistan faces pressure to choose a side - Reuters
6h ago
Smoke seen near Saudi East-West oil pipeline - Reuters
6h ago
EXCLUSIVE: UAE revises AI data center plan after Iranian attacks, sources say - Reuters
6h ago
Treasury yields steady as traders await consumer inflation data amid oil price pressure
8h ago
China limits fuel price increases for third time since Iran war began - Reuters
8h ago
Iran-backed Houthis reach Yemen's Dhubab on Bab el-Mandeb Strait, sources say - Reuters
8h ago
UK economy grows by most since early 2025 on possible AI boost - Reuters
10h ago
South Korean, Iranian foreign ministers discuss Strait of Hormuz, Seoul says - Reuters
10h ago
Saudi crown prince sought U.S. military help from Trump with Houthis, sources say - Reuters
11h ago
Hormuz shipping traffic falls to single digits, data shows - Reuters
12h ago
Five big takeaways from Trump's midterm convention - Reuters
13h ago
Oil falls but on track for 8% weekly gain on supply concerns; US diesel hits record high - Reuters
15h ago
Trump says he does not regret Iran war despite impact it may have on midterm elections - Reuters
16h ago
Jim Cramer says this is the key force driving stocks right now
17h ago
Trump administration to sanction unnamed 'large' bank on Monday, Bessent says - Reuters
17h ago
Photos of the week - Reuters
19h ago
US average diesel price passes $6 a gallon for the first time, GasBuddy says - Reuters
20h ago
US slaps new sanctions on networks aiding Iran's proxies in Middle East - Reuters
20h ago
Israel says it destroyed Hezbollah underground complex at Lebanon's Ali al-Taher - Reuters
20h ago
Economic Calendar & Earnings
Today
Economic Releases
Upcoming
Economic Releases
Earnings