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10Y breakeven

What it is

10Y breakeven — registry key breakeven_10y.

10-year inflation breakeven from FRED; persisted on daily_signals.

Source

Source module: inflation
Data source: back_fillable

Fetched directly from app/sources/inflation.py; see source code for the upstream API call and any provider-specific handling.

How it’s computed

Fetched directly from the inflation source; see app/sources/inflation.py for the upstream API call.

Where it surfaces

• API field: inflation.breakeven_10y on GET /api/v1/signals/latest
• Surface: daily_signals row (daily-cadence persistence)
• Surface: /signals/sparklines (UI sparklines)
• Surface: change markers in the rendered report

Health-score / alignment role

Data carrier — no implication, no health-score contribution.

Persisted for downstream consumers (sparklines, base-rate matcher, calibration substrate) but does not classify into BULLISH / NEUTRAL / BEARISH and does not contribute to the 0-100 health score.

Release cadence

• Publishes: daily
• Approximate time (ET): 16:30
• Lag days: 1

FRED T10YIE breakeven series updates business-day after close; same cadence as breakeven_5y.

See also

• /kb/api/get-signals-latest — API endpoint that serves this field.