Space Exploration Technologies Corp.
SPCXIndustrialsAerospace & DefensePrice
$150.07
Live Β· 13:22 ETCurrent Day return
+0.09%
1-day
+1.20%
5-day
+0.15%
20-day
+5.96%
Open
$149.93
High
$150.07
Low
$146.58
Close
$150.07
Adj Close
β
Volume
β
RSI (14)
61.4
Neutral
Realized Vol (20d ann.)
42.3%
2th pctile (1y)
Beta (60d)
2.79
vs SPY
ATR%
5.18%
ATR $7.77
vs SMA 20
4.9%
vs SMA 50
11.0%
vs SMA 200
β
vs 52w High
β
Signals β SPCX
at-a-glanceRSI (14)
61.4
Neutral
IV Rank
26th pctile
Beta (60d)
2.79
vs SPY
RS vs SPY
β
n/a
Gamma
Positive-gamma zone
Call $155.00 Β· Put $140.00
NBBO Spread
2.0bps
live NBBO bid/ask
Drawdown Risk
20
low Β· uncalibrated
Gamma Rail
Gamma Rail — SPCX
Positive-gamma zone$140.00
support ref
$155.00
resistance ref
$146.29
Reference levels, not predictions or trade signals.
Gamma by strike (top 20)
Dealer gamma hedging creates support at the put wall and resistance at the call wall. ZGL is the zero-gamma line — above it dampens volatility, below it amplifies moves. Per-name walls, distinct from the macro SPY gamma rail. Wide grain β first ~5 expirations.
Gamma Rail — SPCX (Near-term)
Positive-gamma zone$140.00
$155.00
$146.34
Gamma by strike (top 20)
Near-term grain β front 1-2 expirations only. Tighter walls reflect the gamma the dealer desk is hedging this week; the Wide grain smooths across ~5 expirations.
Options / Vol
readyATM IV
67.4%
2026-09-10
IV Rank
26th pctile
Implied Move
Β±2.8%
Put/Call OI
1.09
25Ξ Skew
-0.76%
Flat
Term Slope
-0.0169
Backwardation
Total OI
3.9M
OI Velocity
+96,800
IV Rank trend
ATM IV trend
Put/Call trend
25Ξ Skew trend
Implied Move trend
Total OI trend
OI Velocity trend
Sentiment
readyAvg Score (7d)
β
2026-09-10
Articles
0
7d window
Positive
0
Negative
0
Avg score trend (0d)
βArticle count trend (30d)
Estimates & Revisions
readyEPS Consensus
$0.15
2026-09-10
7d Revision
+$0.01
30d Revision
+$0.04
Price Target
$214.57
$62β$450 range
Analyst ratings (36 total)
EPS consensus trend (30d)
Price target trend (30d)
Earnings
ready| Date | When | EPS Est | EPS Act | Surprise | Gap% | +1d | +5d | +10d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | β | $-0.29 | β | β | +9.43% | +9.43% | β | β |
Fundamentals + Quality Gate
readyDeep quality gate: Fail
- free cash flow $-16819M < 0 (FCF negative TTM)
- interest coverage 0.2x < floor 1.5x
Revenue
$7.81B
Gross Margin
55.3%
Operating Margin
-1.8%
Net Margin
-6.9%
Free Cash Flow
-$16.82B
Net Income
-$541.00M
Debt/Equity
0.31
EPS Diluted
$-0.09
2026-06-30
Quarterly history (4 periods)
| Period | Revenue | Gross% | Op% | Net% | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $7.81B | 55.3% | -1.8% | -6.9% | -$16.82B |
| 2026-03-31 | $4.69B | 49.1% | -41.6% | -91.1% | -$9.07B |
| 2025-06-30 | $4.07B | 43.9% | -19.0% | -24.8% | -$3.22B |
| 2025-03-31 | $4.07B | 51.8% | 1.4% | -13.0% | -$3.41B |
Revenue trend
Gross margin trend
Net margin trend
FCF trend
Ownership
readyShort Interest
Short % Float
2.9%
2026-09-10
Days to Cover
1.8
Shares Short
184.4M
Recent Insider Transactions
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | MUSK ELON REEVE | β | 315,926,250 | β |
| 2026-09-09 | MUSK ELON REEVE | β | 315,926,250 | β |
| 2026-09-08 | MUSK ELON REEVE | β | 315,926,250 | β |
| 2026-09-04 | MUSK ELON REEVE | β | 315,926,250 | β |
| 2026-09-03 | MUSK ELON REEVE | β | 315,926,250 | β |
| 2026-09-02 | MUSK ELON REEVE | β | 315,926,250 | β |
Historical Analogs
The co_* company substrate is new β price history is 2y but forward-only families (estimates, sentiment, options) are days old. This matcher runs on price features only and is LOW-SIGNAL until more history accrues and calibration validates it. (63 price rows)
Forward 5-Day
Forward 20-Day
Regime Distribution of Analogs
Regime-conditional breakdown (click to expand)
CAUTIOUS (4)
Insufficient data
TRANSITIONAL (6)
RISK-ON (9)
RISK-OFF (1)
Insufficient data
Drawdown Read β SPCX
The market drawdown read, beta-amplified for SPCX, plus this name's own fragility (weak fundamentals + downtrend + elevated vol). A probabilistic risk read β not a prediction or timing trigger.
Per-name Drawdown (20d)
market read: 44
as of 2026-09-11
Beta (60d)
2.79Name Fragility
-0.50quality 1.00 Β· 50d SMA +0.1%
Realized-vol %ile (1y)
2How the read is built
Directional Read β SPCX
A transparent tally of SPCX's own positioning + technicals (gamma zone, regime, 50d trend, RSI, screener direction). A directional read, not a prediction or trade signal β and deliberately not blended into any score.
Bias (5d reference)
bullishas of 2026-09-11
Agreement
3 rules voting
Beta bucket
highgrading grain
How the read is built
FinRep-AI Brief β SPCX
No per-name brief yet for SPCX.
Per-name AI briefs are disabled (the operator gates them behind a budget switch).
Market Regime Context
Market / index-level β not SPCX-specificMarket-wide backdrop for context. These describe the SPY / index regime, not SPCX directly.
Drawdown Risk (20d)
as of 2026-09-11
Regime & Fragility
Air pocket: watch
2/5 triggers Β· price near put wall (0.785% above); breadth non-confirmation (SPY near 20d high, breadth 37.5 < 50 and < trailing median 54.1)
SPY Gamma Flip
Above flip β long-gamma (dampens moves)
Top drawdown-risk contributors
A transparent z-score composite over credit / rate / inflation levels plus dealer net-gamma. A probabilistic RISK gauge, not a predictor or timing trigger.
Watchlist visibility
SPCX is pinned to the Companies dropdown. Demoting removes it from the dropdown and stops 5-min intraday quote collection, but preserves all history.