Space Exploration Technologies Corp.
SPCXIndustrialsAerospace & DefensePrice
$113.50
Adj close Β· 2026-07-27
5D return
-8.13%
1-day
-1.37%
5-day
-5.44%
20-day
-30.01%
Open
$113.50
High
$114.83
Low
$108.66
Close
$113.50
Adj Close
$113.50
Volume (sum)
63.4M
RSI (14)
60.0
Neutral
Realized Vol (20d ann.)
65.3%
Beta (60d)
β
vs SPY
ATR%
10.40%
ATR $11.80
vs SMA 20
-18.4%
vs SMA 50
β
vs SMA 200
β
vs 52w High
β
Signals β SPCX
at-a-glanceRSI (14)
60.0
Neutral
IV Rank
92th pctile
Beta (60d)
β
vs SPY
RS vs SPY
β
n/a
Gamma
Negative-gamma zone
Call $121.00 Β· Put $110.00
NBBO Spread
5.4bps
live NBBO bid/ask
Drawdown Risk
β
abstained
Gamma Rail
Gamma Rail — SPCX
Negative-gamma zone$110.00
support ref
$121.00
resistance ref
$120.89
Reference levels, not predictions or trade signals.
Gamma by strike (top 20)
Dealer gamma hedging creates support at the put wall and resistance at the call wall. ZGL is the zero-gamma line — above it dampens volatility, below it amplifies moves. Per-name walls, distinct from the macro SPY gamma rail. Wide grain β first ~5 expirations.
Gamma Rail — SPCX (Near-term)
Negative-gamma zone$110.00
$121.00
$120.72
Gamma by strike (top 20)
Near-term grain β front 1-2 expirations only. Tighter walls reflect the gamma the dealer desk is hedging this week; the Wide grain smooths across ~5 expirations.
Options / Vol
readyATM IV
111.4%
2026-07-27
IV Rank
92th pctile
Implied Move
Β±9.3%
Put/Call OI
2.07
25Ξ Skew
-13.92%
Call bid
Term Slope
0.0529
Contango
Total OI
2.4M
OI Velocity
-270,177
IV Rank trend
ATM IV trend
Put/Call trend
25Ξ Skew trend
Implied Move trend
Total OI trend
OI Velocity trend
Sentiment
readyAvg Score (7d)
β
2026-07-27
Articles
0
7d window
Positive
0
Negative
0
Avg score trend (0d)
βArticle count trend (26d)
Estimates & Revisions
readyEPS Consensus
$-0.28
2026-07-27
7d Revision
+$0.01
30d Revision
$-0.03
Price Target
$236.71
$62β$800 range
Analyst ratings (34 total)
EPS consensus trend (25d)
Price target trend (25d)
Earnings
pendingEarnings data not yet availableSee family readiness above; populated by the company scaffold.
Fundamentals + Quality Gate
readyDeep quality gate: Fail
- free cash flow $-9067M < 0 (FCF negative TTM)
- interest coverage -5.4x < floor 1.5x
Revenue
$4.69B
Gross Margin
49.1%
Operating Margin
-41.6%
Net Margin
-91.1%
Free Cash Flow
-$9.07B
Net Income
-$4.28B
Debt/Equity
0.74
EPS Diluted
$-0.41
2026-03-31
Quarterly history (2 periods)
| Period | Revenue | Gross% | Op% | Net% | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | $4.69B | 49.1% | -41.6% | -91.1% | -$9.07B |
| 2025-03-31 | $4.07B | 51.8% | 1.4% | -13.0% | -$3.41B |
Revenue trend
Gross margin trend
Net margin trend
FCF trend
Ownership
readyShort Interest
Short % Float
2.7%
2026-07-27
Days to Cover
1.3
Shares Short
165.0M
Recent Insider Transactions
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | MUSK ELON REEVE | β | 315,926,250 | β |
| 2026-07-24 | MUSK ELON REEVE | β | 315,926,250 | β |
| 2026-07-23 | MUSK ELON REEVE | β | 315,926,250 | β |
| 2026-07-22 | MUSK ELON REEVE | β | 315,926,250 | β |
| 2026-07-21 | MUSK ELON REEVE | β | 315,926,250 | β |
| 2026-07-20 | MUSK ELON REEVE | β | 315,926,250 | β |
Institutional Snapshot
| Date | Holder | Ownership % | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | institutions_pct_held_aggregate | 0.0% | β | β |
| 2026-07-01 | institutions_pct_held_aggregate | 0.0% | β | β |
| 2026-06-30 | institutions_pct_held_aggregate | 0.0% | β | β |
| 2026-06-30 | Kerr Financial Planning Corp | 0.0% | 3,315 | $531.8K |
| 2026-06-30 | Burkett Financial Services, LLC | 0.0% | 411 | $65.9K |
Historical Analogs
The co_* company substrate is new β price history is 2y but forward-only families (estimates, sentiment, options) are days old. This matcher runs on price features only and is LOW-SIGNAL until more history accrues and calibration validates it. (30 price rows)
Only 30 trading-day rows in price history; minimum 60 required for reliable matching.
Drawdown Read β SPCX
The market drawdown read, beta-amplified for SPCX, plus this name's own fragility (weak fundamentals + downtrend + elevated vol). A probabilistic risk read β not a prediction or timing trigger.
No per-name drawdown read right now.
Reason: this name has no rolling beta yet (needs more price history).
Directional Read β SPCX
A transparent tally of SPCX's own positioning + technicals (gamma zone, regime, 50d trend, RSI, screener direction). A directional read, not a prediction or trade signal β and deliberately not blended into any score.
Bias (5d reference)
neutralas of 2026-07-27
Agreement
3 rules voting
Beta bucket
βgrading grain
How the read is built
FinRep-AI Brief β SPCX
No per-name brief yet for SPCX.
Per-name AI briefs are disabled (the operator gates them behind a budget switch).
Market Regime Context
Market / index-level β not SPCX-specificMarket-wide backdrop for context. These describe the SPY / index regime, not SPCX directly.
Drawdown Risk (20d)
as of 2026-07-28
Regime & Fragility
Air pocket: watch
2/5 triggers Β· dealer gamma bearish (Ξ³-sent Bearish); price at/through put wall (-0.097%)
SPY Gamma Flip
Below flip β short-gamma (amplifies moves)
Top drawdown-risk contributors
A transparent z-score composite over credit / rate / inflation levels plus dealer net-gamma. A probabilistic RISK gauge, not a predictor or timing trigger.
Watchlist visibility
SPCX is pinned to the Companies dropdown. Demoting removes it from the dropdown and stops 5-min intraday quote collection, but preserves all history.