Tesla, Inc.

TSLAConsumer CyclicalAuto Manufacturers

Exchange: NMSCurrency: USDCountry: United StatesMkt Cap: $1.44TShares: 3.95B

Pinned to watchlist

price ✓fundamentals ✓earnings ✓estimates ✓options ✓sentiment ✓corp events ✓ownership ✓

Price

$365.63

Live · 13:22 ET

Current Day return

+0.66%

1-day

+0.60%

5-day

-2.86%

20-day

+7.31%

High $368.33Low $363.22Return +0.66%48 pts

Open

$363.22

High

$368.33

Low

$363.22

$365.63

Adj Close

—

Volume

—

RSI (14)

54.6

Neutral

—

Realized Vol (20d ann.)

50.5%

69th pctile (1y)

—

Beta (60d)

3.14

vs SPY

—

ATR%

3.86%

ATR $14.11

—

vs SMA 20

3.0%

—

vs SMA 50

3.2%

—

vs SMA 200

-8.3%

—

vs 52w High

-25.3%

+22.6% vs 52w low

—

Signals — TSLA

at-a-glance

RSI (14)

54.6

Neutral

IV Rank

58th pctile

Beta (60d)

3.14

vs SPY

RS vs SPY

0.84

vs sector 1.04

Gamma

Positive-gamma zone

Call $370.00 · Put $350.00

NBBO Spread

1.1bps

live NBBO bid/ask

Drawdown Risk

low · uncalibrated

Gamma Rail

ready

Gamma Rail — TSLA (Near-term)

Positive-gamma zone

TSLA $365.63▼

Put Wall
$360.00

Call Wall
$370.00

ZGL
$353.41

+4.37 to call-5.63 to put-12.22 to ZGLChain net-Γ +0.04B

Gamma by strike (top 20)

$340.00

-0.00BC 1,277 / P 7,366

$345.00

-0.00BC 2,804 / P 6,108

$350.00

-0.01BC 3,027 / P 11,984

$352.50

-0.00BC 2,663 / P 4,073

$355.00

+0.00BC 8,484 / P 6,747

$357.50

+0.01BC 7,101 / P 2,686

$360.00

-0.01BC 7,174 / P 12,133

$365.00

-0.00BC 7,062 / P 8,903

$367.50

+0.00BC 5,866 / P 3,267

$370.00

+0.02BC 22,187 / P 6,416

$372.50

+0.01BC 6,797 / P 1,671

$375.00

+0.01BC 12,535 / P 3,045

$377.50

+0.00BC 5,613 / P 500

$380.00

+0.01BC 14,860 / P 2,788

$382.50

+0.00BC 3,940 / P 676

$385.00

+0.00BC 11,321 / P 1,013

$387.50

+0.00BC 5,399 / P 123

$390.00

+0.00BC 16,195 / P 450

$392.50

+0.00BC 9,083 / P 220

$400.00

+0.00BC 17,974 / P 1,358

Near-term grain — front 1-2 expirations only. Tighter walls reflect the gamma the dealer desk is hedging this week; the Wide grain smooths across ~5 expirations.

Options / Vol

ready

ATM IV

49.4%

2026-09-10

IV Rank

58th pctile

Implied Move

±2.1%

Put/Call OI

1.05

25Δ Skew

-1.31%

Flat

Term Slope

-0.0506

Backwardation

Total OI

3.7M

OI Velocity

-313,475

IV Rank trend

ATM IV trend

Put/Call trend

25Δ Skew trend

Implied Move trend

Total OI trend

OI Velocity trend

Sentiment

ready

Avg Score (7d)

0.35

2026-09-10

Articles

7d window

Positive

Negative

Avg score trend (11d)

Article count trend (30d)

Estimates & Revisions

ready

EPS Consensus

$0.45

2026-09-10

7d Revision

+$0.00

30d Revision

$-0.00

Price Target

$390.09

$125–$600 range

Analyst ratings (46 total)

Strong Buy 5Buy 16Hold 20Sell 3Strong Sell 246% bull

EPS consensus trend (30d)

Price target trend (30d)

Earnings

ready

Next: 2026-10-2140d awayest. — subject to change

EPS surprise trend (11 prints)

Date	When	EPS Est	EPS Act	Surprise	Gap%	+1d	+5d	+10d
2026-07-22	—	$0.54	—	—	-1.30%	-1.30%	—	—
2026-04-22	—	$0.20	$0.13	$-0.35	+0.28%	+0.28%	-2.69%	+0.76%
2026-01-28	—	$0.34	$0.24	$-0.29	+0.13%	+0.13%	-2.07%	-1.32%
2025-10-22	—	$0.44	$0.39	$-0.11	-0.82%	-0.82%	+4.06%	+0.38%
2025-07-23	—	$0.30	$0.33	+$0.10	+0.14%	+0.14%	-3.28%	-7.04%
2025-04-22	—	$0.35	$0.12	$-0.66	+4.60%	+4.60%	+25.66%	+23.19%
2025-01-29	—	$0.77	$0.73	$-0.05	-2.26%	-2.26%	-1.48%	-17.48%
2024-10-23	—	$0.50	$0.62	+$0.24	-1.98%	-1.98%	+19.06%	+15.36%
2024-07-23	—	$0.62	$0.52	$-0.16	-2.04%	-2.04%	-7.72%	-20.93%
2024-04-23	—	$0.49	$0.45	$-0.08	—	—	—	—
2024-01-24	—	$0.74	$0.71	$-0.04	—	—	—	—
2023-10-18	—	$0.73	$0.66	$-0.10	—	—	—	—

Fundamentals + Quality Gate

ready

✗

Deep quality gate: Fail

free cash flow $-1099M < 0 (FCF negative TTM)

Revenue

$28.24B

Gross Margin

16.8%

Operating Margin

1.4%

Net Margin

3.9%

Free Cash Flow

-$1.10B

Net Income

$1.11B

Debt/Equity

0.19

EPS Diluted

$0.32

2026-06-30

Quarterly history (8 periods)

Period	Revenue	Gross%	Op%	Net%	FCF
2026-06-30	$28.24B	16.8%	1.4%	3.9%	-$1.10B
2026-03-31	$22.39B	21.1%	4.2%	2.1%	$1.44B
2025-12-31	$24.90B	20.1%	6.3%	3.4%	$1.42B
2025-09-30	$28.09B	18.0%	6.6%	4.9%	$3.99B
2025-06-30	$22.50B	17.2%	4.1%	5.2%	$146.00M
2025-03-31	$19.34B	16.3%	2.5%	2.1%	$664.00M
2024-12-31	—	—	—	—	—
2024-09-30	—	—	—	—	—

Revenue trend

Gross margin trend

Net margin trend

FCF trend

Ownership

ready

Short Interest

Short % Float

2.0%

2026-09-10

Days to Cover

1.8

Shares Short

69.2M

Recent Insider Transactions

Date	Insider	Type	Shares	Value
2026-09-10	MUSK ELON REEVE	—	303,960,630	$7.09B
2026-09-10	TANEJA VAIBHAV	—	2,605	$1.05M
2026-09-10	WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN	—	40,948	$613.8K
2026-09-10	ZHU XIAOTONG	—	20,000	$411.4K
2026-09-10	MURDOCH JAMES RUPERT	—	60,000	$26.72M
2026-09-10	MUSK KIMBAL J	—	15,242	$0

Corporate Events

Date	Type	Amount	Description
2022-08-25	split	3.0000	Stock split 3:1
2020-08-31	split	5.0000	Stock split 5:1

Historical Analogs

ExperimentalLimited sample (20 analogs) — low signal until more accrue

The co_* company substrate is new — price history is 2y but forward-only families (estimates, sentiment, options) are days old. This matcher runs on price features only and is LOW-SIGNAL until more history accrues and calibration validates it. (571 price rows)

Matcher: 2026.06.1-price5d-recency365Analogs: 20 / 571 daysAs-of: 2026-09-11Avg distance: 0.74

Forward 5-Day

Mean+3.63%

Median+3.49%

% Positive83.3%

P25 / P751.30% / 3.79%

95% CI[1.43%, 6.16%]

n17

Forward 20-Day

Mean+21.96%

Median+15.80%

% Positive100.0%

P25 / P7512.41% / 34.34%

95% CI[16.28%, 27.10%]

n17

Regime Distribution of Analogs

TRANSITIONAL: 3CAUTIOUS: 13RISK-ON: 4

Regime-conditional breakdown (click to expand)

TRANSITIONAL (3)

Insufficient data

CAUTIOUS (13)

5d mean: +5.07%

20d mean: +33.28%

RISK-ON (4)

Insufficient data

Drawdown Read — TSLA

Single-nameuncalibrated

The market drawdown read, beta-amplified for TSLA, plus this name's own fragility (weak fundamentals + downtrend + elevated vol). A probabilistic risk read — not a prediction or timing trigger.

Per-name Drawdown (20d)

35low

market read: 44

as of 2026-09-11

Beta (60d)

3.00

clamped

Name Fragility

-0.21

quality 0.71 · 50d SMA +0.0%

Realized-vol %ile (1y)

How the read is built

Beta × market drawdown-0.723

Realized-vol percentile+0.190

Name fragility (quality + trend)-0.104

credit amplifier+0.000

Directional Read — TSLA

Single-nameuncalibrated

A transparent tally of TSLA's own positioning + technicals (gamma zone, regime, 50d trend, RSI, screener direction). A directional read, not a prediction or trade signal — and deliberately not blended into any score.

Bias (5d reference)

bullish

as of 2026-09-11

Agreement

33%low

3 rules voting

Beta bucket

high

grading grain

How the read is built

Gamma zone vs flip▲ bull

Price-action regimeabstain

50d SMA trend• neutral

RSI (mean-reversion)• neutral

Screener directionabstain

FinRep-AI Brief — TSLA

Single-nameuncalibrated

No per-name brief yet for TSLA.

Per-name AI briefs are disabled (the operator gates them behind a budget switch).

Market Regime Context

Market / index-level — not TSLA-specific

Market-wide backdrop for context. These describe the SPY / index regime, not TSLA directly.

Drawdown Risk (20d)

44low

as of 2026-09-11

Regime & Fragility

CAUTIOUS

Air pocket: watch

2/5 triggers · price near put wall (0.785% above); breadth non-confirmation (SPY near 20d high, breadth 37.5 < 50 and < trailing median 54.1)

SPY Gamma Flip

+0.66%to flip

Above flip — long-gamma (dampens moves)

Top drawdown-risk contributors

ofr fsi funding-0.3010y real yield+0.26Financial conditions (NFCI)-0.1510y breakeven inflation+0.12

A transparent z-score composite over credit / rate / inflation levels plus dealer net-gamma. A probabilistic RISK gauge, not a predictor or timing trigger.

Watchlist visibility

TSLA is pinned to the Companies dropdown. Demoting removes it from the dropdown and stops 5-min intraday quote collection, but preserves all history.