T-Mobile US, Inc.

TMUSCommunication ServicesTelecom Services

Exchange: NMSCurrency: USDCountry: United StatesMkt Cap: $190.09BShares: 1.07B

Pinned to watchlist

price ✓fundamentals ✓earnings ✓estimates ✓options ✓sentiment ✓corp events ✓ownership ✓

Price

$177.21

Adj close · 2026-07-27

5D return

-7.11%

1-day

-1.61%

5-day

-9.89%

20-day

-3.04%

High $190.94Low $170.42Return -7.11%5 pts

Open

$180.99

High

$184.23

Low

$177.04

$177.21

Adj Close

$177.21

Volume (sum)

5.1M

RSI (14)

43.9

Neutral

Realized Vol (20d ann.)

58.6%

100th pctile (1y)

Beta (60d)

-0.15

vs SPY

ATR%

4.04%

ATR $7.16

vs SMA 20

-3.2%

vs SMA 50

-3.9%

vs SMA 200

-10.7%

vs 52w High

—

Signals — TMUS

at-a-glance

RSI (14)

43.9

Neutral

IV Rank

—

n/a

Beta (60d)

-0.15

vs SPY

RS vs SPY

0.63

vs sector 0.73

Gamma

Positive-gamma zone

Call $180.00 · Put $175.00

NBBO Spread

44.9bps

live NBBO bid/ask

Drawdown Risk

low · uncalibrated

Gamma Rail

ready

Gamma Rail — TMUS (Near-term)

Positive-gamma zone

TMUS $177.21▼

Put Wall
$175.00

Call Wall
$180.00

ZGL
$177.01

+2.79 to call-2.21 to put-0.20 to ZGLChain net-Γ +0.00B

Gamma by strike (top 20)

$160.00

-0.00BC 8 / P 257

$162.50

-0.00BC 5 / P 52

$165.00

-0.00BC 0 / P 277

$167.50

-0.00BC 3 / P 26

$170.00

-0.00BC 20 / P 518

$172.50

-0.00BC 19 / P 83

$175.00

-0.00BC 40 / P 525

$177.50

+0.00BC 242 / P 138

$180.00

+0.00BC 1,749 / P 511

$182.50

+0.00BC 1,140 / P 88

$185.00

+0.00BC 1,275 / P 51

$187.50

+0.00BC 258 / P 23

$190.00

+0.00BC 648 / P 78

$192.50

+0.00BC 35 / P 4

$195.00

+0.00BC 303 / P 65

$200.00

+0.00BC 475 / P 240

$202.50

+0.00BC 514 / P 3

$205.00

+0.00BC 136 / P 2

$210.00

+0.00BC 61 / P 0

$220.00

+0.00BC 141 / P 0

Near-term grain — front 1-2 expirations only. Tighter walls reflect the gamma the dealer desk is hedging this week; the Wide grain smooths across ~5 expirations.

Options / Vol

ready

ATM IV

35.3%

2026-07-27

IV Rank

—th pctile

Implied Move

±2.9%

Put/Call OI

0.46

25Δ Skew

0.51%

Flat

Term Slope

-0.0010

Backwardation

Total OI

179,670

OI Velocity

-7,300

IV Rank trend

—

ATM IV trend

Put/Call trend

25Δ Skew trend

Implied Move trend

Total OI trend

OI Velocity trend

Sentiment

ready

Avg Score (7d)

—

2026-07-27

Articles

7d window

Positive

Negative

Avg score trend (0d)

—

Article count trend (19d)

Estimates & Revisions

ready

EPS Consensus

$2.90

2026-07-27

7d Revision

$-0.01

30d Revision

+$0.02

Price Target

$243.08

$169–$300 range

Analyst ratings (27 total)

Strong Buy 9Buy 14Hold 485% bull

EPS consensus trend (18d)

Price target trend (18d)

Earnings

ready

Next: 2026-10-2286d awayest. — subject to change

EPS surprise trend (12 prints)

Date	When	EPS Est	EPS Act	Surprise	Gap%	+1d	+5d	+10d
2026-07-23	—	$2.60	$2.99	+$0.15	-10.75%	-10.75%	—	—
2026-04-28	—	$2.11	$2.77	+$0.31	+2.17%	+2.17%	+6.39%	+4.43%
2026-02-11	—	$2.06	$1.88	$-0.09	+5.07%	+5.07%	+6.93%	+9.64%
2025-10-23	—	$2.57	$2.77	+$0.08	-3.26%	-3.26%	-5.45%	-9.96%
2025-07-23	—	$2.68	$2.85	+$0.06	+0.29%	+0.29%	+2.57%	+2.44%
2025-04-24	—	$2.48	$2.64	+$0.06	+1.09%	+1.09%	-4.78%	-3.12%
2025-01-29	—	$2.38	$2.59	+$0.09	+6.34%	+6.34%	+7.29%	+16.98%
2024-10-23	—	$2.42	$2.61	+$0.08	+0.89%	+0.89%	+3.21%	+3.70%
2024-07-31	—	$2.27	$2.49	+$0.10	+3.95%	+3.95%	+8.27%	+11.39%
2024-04-25	—	$1.86	$2.00	+$0.08	—	—	—	—
2024-01-25	—	$1.96	$1.83	$-0.07	—	—	—	—
2023-10-25	—	$1.89	$2.00	+$0.06	—	—	—	—

Fundamentals + Quality Gate

ready

✓

Deep quality gate: Pass

Revenue

$22.79B

Gross Margin

64.8%

Operating Margin

24.1%

Net Margin

14.2%

Free Cash Flow

$4.31B

Net Income

$3.24B

Debt/Equity

2.12

EPS Diluted

$2.99

2026-06-30

Quarterly history (7 periods)

Period	Revenue	Gross%	Op%	Net%	FCF
2026-06-30	$22.79B	64.8%	24.1%	14.2%	$4.31B
2026-03-31	$23.11B	61.8%	19.5%	10.8%	$4.57B
2025-12-31	$24.33B	57.8%	15.4%	8.6%	$4.12B
2025-09-30	$21.96B	64.8%	21.9%	12.4%	$3.23B
2025-06-30	$21.13B	65.1%	24.7%	15.2%	$3.75B
2025-03-31	$20.89B	64.6%	23.0%	14.1%	$4.32B
2024-12-31	—	—	—	—	—

Revenue trend

Gross margin trend

Net margin trend

FCF trend

Ownership

ready

Short Interest

Short % Float

4.7%

2026-07-27

Days to Cover

3.8

Shares Short

22.5M

Recent Insider Transactions

Date	Insider	Type	Shares	Value
2026-07-27	TAYLOR TERESA A	—	1,384	$0
2026-07-27	DATAR SRIKANT MADHAV	—	1,384	$0
2026-07-27	KAVANAUGH JAMES J.	—	1,384	$0
2026-07-27	DANNENFELDT THOMAS	—	1,384	$0
2026-07-27	CLAURE RAUL MARCELO	—	1,384	$0
2026-07-27	LONG LETITIA A	—	1,656	$0

Corporate Events

Date	Type	Amount	Description
2026-05-29	dividend	1.0200	Dividend $1.0200/share
2026-02-27	dividend	1.0200	Dividend $1.0200/share
2025-11-26	dividend	1.0200	Dividend $1.0200/share
2025-08-29	dividend	0.8800	Dividend $0.8800/share
2025-05-30	dividend	0.8800	Dividend $0.8800/share
2025-02-28	dividend	0.8800	Dividend $0.8800/share
2024-11-27	dividend	0.8800	Dividend $0.8800/share
2024-08-30	dividend	0.6500	Dividend $0.6500/share

Historical Analogs

ExperimentalLimited sample (20 analogs) — low signal until more accrue

The co_* company substrate is new — price history is 2y but forward-only families (estimates, sentiment, options) are days old. This matcher runs on price features only and is LOW-SIGNAL until more history accrues and calibration validates it. (519 price rows)

Matcher: 2026.06.1-price5d-recency365Analogs: 20 / 519 daysAs-of: 2026-07-27Avg distance: 2.83

Forward 5-Day

Mean+1.79%

Median+1.62%

% Positive84.4%

P25 / P750.20% / 4.75%

95% CI[0.36%, 3.14%]

n20

Forward 20-Day

Mean+2.66%

Median+2.75%

% Positive65.8%

P25 / P75-1.03% / 5.86%

95% CI[1.22%, 4.17%]

n20

Regime Distribution of Analogs

CAUTIOUS: 17PANIC: 2TRANSITIONAL: 1

Regime-conditional breakdown (click to expand)

CAUTIOUS (17)

5d mean: +0.94%

20d mean: +3.02%

PANIC (2)

Insufficient data

TRANSITIONAL (1)

Insufficient data

Drawdown Read — TMUS

Single-nameuncalibrated

The market drawdown read, beta-amplified for TMUS, plus this name's own fragility (weak fundamentals + downtrend + elevated vol). A probabilistic risk read — not a prediction or timing trigger.

Per-name Drawdown (20d)

59low

market read: 43

as of 2026-07-27

Beta (60d)

0.00

clamped

Name Fragility

-0.31

quality 0.82 · 50d SMA -0.0%

Realized-vol %ile (1y)

100

How the read is built

Beta × market drawdown+0.000

Realized-vol percentile+0.500

Name fragility (quality + trend)-0.157

credit amplifier+0.000

Directional Read — TMUS

Single-nameuncalibrated

A transparent tally of TMUS's own positioning + technicals (gamma zone, regime, 50d trend, RSI, screener direction). A directional read, not a prediction or trade signal — and deliberately not blended into any score.

Bias (5d reference)

bullish

as of 2026-07-27

Agreement

50%medium

4 rules voting

Beta bucket

low

grading grain

How the read is built

Gamma zone vs flip▲ bull

Price-action regimeabstain

50d SMA trend• neutral

RSI (mean-reversion)• neutral

Screener direction▲ bull

FinRep-AI Brief — TMUS

Single-nameuncalibrated

No per-name brief yet for TMUS.

Per-name AI briefs are disabled (the operator gates them behind a budget switch).

Market Regime Context

Market / index-level — not TMUS-specific

Market-wide backdrop for context. These describe the SPY / index regime, not TMUS directly.

Drawdown Risk (20d)

43low

as of 2026-07-28

Regime & Fragility

TRANSITIONAL

Air pocket: watch

2/5 triggers · dealer gamma bearish (γ-sent Bearish); price at/through put wall (-0.097%)

SPY Gamma Flip

-0.23%to flip

Below flip — short-gamma (amplifies moves)

Top drawdown-risk contributors

10y real yield+0.305y breakeven inflation-0.18Financial conditions (NFCI)-0.16Dealer net-gamma rank+0.16

A transparent z-score composite over credit / rate / inflation levels plus dealer net-gamma. A probabilistic RISK gauge, not a predictor or timing trigger.

Watchlist visibility

TMUS is pinned to the Companies dropdown. Demoting removes it from the dropdown and stops 5-min intraday quote collection, but preserves all history.