UAL
United Airlines Holdings
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
36
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.407confluence: 3days: 1as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:ret_1d -3.6%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by recent_earnings (attribution_confidence=high)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -7.30pp (unexplained)sector_explained 2.00×+1.9%=+3.7pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.57%
1-day return
-3.57%
Beta (60d)
2.00
Sector return (1d)
1.87%
Sector return
1.87%
Borrowed drop
-7.30%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.154confluence: 2days: 2as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:rvol_pctile 3.6 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
3.59
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftpartialpersisting
score: 0.316confluence: 1days: 5as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:partial (0.076 in [0.03,0.1))earnings_9d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.08
Days Since Earnings
9.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
2 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
5 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
5 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/4 directionally right · mean +2.2% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-23 → open3 bars
+4.4%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-23 → open3 bars
+4.4%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-21 → open5 bars
+2.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-08 → open14 bars
-3.0%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-17 → 2026-07-0612 bars
-13.0%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+13.3%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+0.0%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-127 bars
+8.3%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.316 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.08 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.154 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.59 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.407 | 3 | new | 1-day return: -3.57% · 1-day return: -3.57% · Beta (60d): 2.00 · Sector return (1d): 1.87% · Sector return: 1.87% · Borrowed drop: -7.30% |
| 2026-07-23 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.309 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.08 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.407 | 3 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.76 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-22 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.296 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.08 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-21 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.272 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.08 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.253 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.92% · 1-day return: -3.92% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Sector return (1d): -0.86% · Sector return: -0.86% · Borrowed drop: -2.26% |
| 2026-07-20 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.250 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.08 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.42 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.503 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.13 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.972 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.11% · 1-day return: 1.11% · Beta (60d): 2.03 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.21% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.253 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.92% · 1-day return: -3.92% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Sector return (1d): -0.86% · Sector return: -0.86% · Borrowed drop: -2.26% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.189 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.33% · 1-day return: -3.33% · Beta (60d): 1.77 · Sector return (1d): -0.91% · Sector return: -0.91% · Borrowed drop: -1.72% |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.019 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 1.73 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -0.22% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.972 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.11% · 1-day return: 1.11% · Beta (60d): 2.03 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.21% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.503 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.13 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.479 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.16 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.972 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.11% · 1-day return: 1.11% · Beta (60d): 2.03 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.21% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.42 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.056 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -6.45% · 1-day return: -6.45% · Beta (60d): 2.15 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: 0.95% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.702 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.13% · 1-day return: 2.13% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.13% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.708 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.13% · 1-day return: 2.13% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.13% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.715 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.13% · 1-day return: 2.13% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.13% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.882 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.40% · 1-day return: 3.40% · Beta (60d): 2.33 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.193 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.813 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.29% · 1-day return: -2.29% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.056 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.45% · 1-day return: -6.45% · Beta (60d): 2.15 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: 0.95% |
| 2026-06-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.671 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.10 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.671 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.22% · 1-day return: -1.22% · Beta (60d): 2.36 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.926 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.78% · 1-day return: 3.78% · Beta (60d): 2.40 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.056 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.45% · 1-day return: -6.45% · Beta (60d): 2.15 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: 0.95% |
| 2026-06-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.150 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.44% · 1-day return: -3.44% · Beta (60d): 2.57 · Sector return (1d): -0.08% · Sector return: -0.08% · Borrowed drop: -3.23% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.42 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.142 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.44% · 1-day return: -3.44% · Beta (60d): 2.57 · Sector return (1d): -0.08% · Sector return: -0.08% · Borrowed drop: -3.23% |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.142 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.43 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |