DLTR
Dollar Tree
Screener candidate detail · 4 active archetypes
Active
4
archetypes
History
42
rows
Days on list
8
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.964confluence: 1days: 8as of 2026-09-03
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.7%failure_vol:weak:0.72sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.07
Sma Dist 20
0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.66%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.963confluence: 1days: 36as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:rvol_pctile 11.2 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
11.16
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftprimedpersisting
score: 0.963confluence: 1days: 8as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:primed (1.368 >= 0.1)earnings_8d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
1.37
Days Since Earnings
8.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Analyst
[object Object]
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialpersisting
score: 0.715confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -4.7%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.40pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.22×-1.2%=-0.3pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.66%
1-day return
-4.66%
Beta (60d)
0.22
Sector return (1d)
-1.16%
Sector return
-1.16%
Borrowed drop
-4.40%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
10 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
6 daysripe: Loaded
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/4 directionally right · mean +1.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-4.3%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-31 → open5 bars
+2.2%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-28 → open10 bars
-6.8%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-27 → open11 bars
+6.4%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-31 → open30 bars
-10.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-24 → 2026-07-272 bars
+3.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-18 → 2026-06-222 bars
+4.4%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-236 bars
+0.5%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-4.0%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.715 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.66% · 1-day return: -4.66% · Beta (60d): 0.22 · Sector return (1d): -1.16% · Sector return: -1.16% · Borrowed drop: -4.40% |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.857 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.78% · 1-day return: -5.78% · Beta (60d): 0.14 · Sector return (1d): -0.66% · Sector return: -0.66% · Borrowed drop: -5.69% |
| 2026-09-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.963 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 1.37 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.963 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.16 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-03 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.964 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.552 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.00% · 1-day return: -4.00% · Beta (60d): 0.24 · Sector return (1d): -1.39% · Sector return: -1.39% · Borrowed drop: -3.66% |
| 2026-09-03 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.964 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 1.37 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-03 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.964 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.16 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-02 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.964 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 1.37 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-01 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.965 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 1.37 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-01 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.966 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.16 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-31 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.966 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 1.37 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.967 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 1.37 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-28 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.967 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.78 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.900 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.08 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.552 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.00% · 1-day return: -4.00% · Beta (60d): 0.24 · Sector return (1d): -1.39% · Sector return: -1.39% · Borrowed drop: -3.66% |
| 2026-08-26 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.59 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-25 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.59 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.19 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-14 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.18 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.359 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.75% · 1-day return: -3.75% · Beta (60d): 0.58 · Sector return (1d): -1.40% · Sector return: -1.40% · Borrowed drop: -2.94% |
| 2026-08-06 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.359 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.75% · 1-day return: -3.75% · Beta (60d): 0.58 · Sector return (1d): -1.40% · Sector return: -1.40% · Borrowed drop: -2.94% |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.359 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.75% · 1-day return: -3.75% · Beta (60d): 0.58 · Sector return (1d): -1.40% · Sector return: -1.40% · Borrowed drop: -2.94% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.29 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.943 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 4.81% · 1-day return: 4.81% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.81% |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.613 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.99% · 1-day return: -3.99% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Sector return (1d): -2.26% · Sector return: -2.26% · Borrowed drop: -2.32% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.943 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 4.81% · 1-day return: 4.81% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.81% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.29 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.613 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.99% · 1-day return: -3.99% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Sector return (1d): -2.26% · Sector return: -2.26% · Borrowed drop: -2.32% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.943 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.81% · 1-day return: 4.81% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.81% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.945 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.81% · 1-day return: 4.81% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.81% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.949 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.81% · 1-day return: 4.81% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.81% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.908 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.74% · 1-day return: 3.74% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.613 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.99% · 1-day return: -3.99% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.613 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.99% · 1-day return: -3.99% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Sector return (1d): -2.26% · Sector return: -2.26% · Borrowed drop: -2.32% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.705 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.91% · 1-day return: -1.91% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.465 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.99% · 1-day return: -0.99% · Beta (60d): 0.62 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.362 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.78% · 1-day return: -0.78% · Beta (60d): 0.69 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.29 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.18 · Dist 52w Low: 0.32 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |