MRSH
Marsh McLennan
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
22
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
○S2 deep set
not deep-enriched
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialnew
score: 0.691confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-21
Triggers:quality:passtwin:AONcorrelation:0.81spread_z:+2.64laggard:rich_laggard → short_fragility
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
AON
Pair Correlation
0.81
Pair Spread Z
2.64
Pair Direction
short_fragility
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.430confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:ret_1d -3.1%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by recent_earnings (attribution_confidence=high)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.23pp (unexplained)sector_explained -0.93×-0.1%=+0.1pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.13%
1-day return
-3.13%
Beta (60d)
-0.93
Sector return (1d)
-0.11%
Sector return
-0.11%
Borrowed drop
-3.23%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
1 day
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragilityactive
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
3 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
11 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/3 directionally right · mean -1.6% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-23 → open3 bars
+4.0%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-21 → open5 bars
-2.1%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-07 → open15 bars
+4.0%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-247 bars
+0.3%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-08 → 2026-07-0218 bars
-5.5%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-06-082 bars
+0.2%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.430 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): -0.93 · Sector return (1d): -0.11% · Sector return: -0.11% · Borrowed drop: -3.23% |
| 2026-07-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.691 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: AON · Pair Correlation: 0.81 · Pair Spread Z: 2.64 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: AON · Pair Correlation: 0.81 · Pair Spread Z: -2.01 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.03 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.149 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.23 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.568 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.42% · 1-day return: -1.42% · Beta (60d): -0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.52% |
| 2026-07-06 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: AON · Pair Correlation: 0.81 · Pair Spread Z: -2.01 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.149 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.23 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.568 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.42% · 1-day return: -1.42% · Beta (60d): -0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.52% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.03 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.224 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.568 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.42% · 1-day return: -1.42% · Beta (60d): -0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.52% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.441 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.11% · 1-day return: -1.11% · Beta (60d): -0.32 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.11% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.442 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.11% · 1-day return: -1.11% · Beta (60d): -0.32 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.11% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.443 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.11% · 1-day return: -1.11% · Beta (60d): -0.32 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.11% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.502 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.28% · 1-day return: -1.28% · Beta (60d): -0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.664 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.55% · 1-day return: -1.55% · Beta (60d): -0.30 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.163 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.35% · 1-day return: 0.35% · Beta (60d): -0.37 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.642 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.49% · 1-day return: -1.49% · Beta (60d): -0.45 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.143 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.31% · 1-day return: 0.31% · Beta (60d): -0.43 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.224 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.03 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |