CVNA
Carvana
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
53
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.850confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.8%failure_vol:weak:0.80sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.23
Sma Dist 20
0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.77%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.478confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:ret_1d -4.4%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.37pp (unexplained)sector_explained 2.22×-0.4%=-1.0pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.36%
1-day return
-4.36%
Beta (60d)
2.22
Sector return (1d)
-0.45%
Sector return
-0.45%
Borrowed drop
-3.37%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 85as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 9.4% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 7.27 (extreme)ret_20d -5.7% (falling)dist_52w_low +23.8% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
9.39
Days To Cover
7.27
Ret 20d
-0.06
Dist 52w Low
0.24
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
15 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
15 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
9 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
14 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/8 directionally right · mean -1.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-10 → open2 bars
+4.1%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-11 → 2026-08-208 bars
-2.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
+0.3%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-20 → 2026-07-276 bars
-7.3%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-092 bars
-1.1%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-08 → 2026-07-2110 bars
+4.1%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → open58 bars
+1.5%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-5.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-11 → 2026-06-153 bars
+2.0%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-03 → 2026-06-3019 bars
-1.8%dropped
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.39 · Days To Cover: 7.27 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.478 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.36% · 1-day return: -4.36% · Beta (60d): 2.22 · Sector return (1d): -0.45% · Sector return: -0.45% · Borrowed drop: -3.37% |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.478 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.29 · Days To Cover: 7.99 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.25 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.850 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.23 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.850 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.29 · Days To Cover: 7.99 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.29 · Days To Cover: 7.99 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.33 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.237 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.29 · Days To Cover: 7.99 · Ret 20d: 0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.33 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.29 · Days To Cover: 7.99 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.31 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.29 · Days To Cover: 7.99 · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.32 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.903 | 0 | exited | 1-day return: -7.54% · 1-day return: -7.54% · Beta (60d): 1.99 · Sector return (1d): -0.33% · Sector return: -0.33% · Borrowed drop: -6.87% |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.29 · Days To Cover: 7.99 · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.28 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.29 · Days To Cover: 7.99 · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.31 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.29 · Days To Cover: 7.99 · Ret 20d: 0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.32 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.292 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.29 · Days To Cover: 7.99 · Ret 20d: 0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.32 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-26 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.293 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.29 · Days To Cover: 7.99 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.31 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.903 | 0 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.54% · 1-day return: -7.54% · Beta (60d): 1.99 · Sector return (1d): -0.33% · Sector return: -0.33% · Borrowed drop: -6.87% |
| 2026-08-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.15 · Days To Cover: 6.02 · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.35 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.15 · Days To Cover: 6.02 · Ret 20d: 0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.29 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.15 · Days To Cover: 6.02 · Ret 20d: 0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.903 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.54% · 1-day return: -7.54% · Beta (60d): 1.99 · Sector return (1d): -0.33% · Sector return: -0.33% · Borrowed drop: -6.87% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.545 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.55% · 1-day return: -7.55% · Beta (60d): 1.88 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -5.23% |
| 2026-08-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.273 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.30 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.431 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.64% · 1-day return: -3.64% · Beta (60d): 1.89 · Sector return (1d): 0.04% · Sector return: 0.04% · Borrowed drop: -3.72% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.481 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.64% · 1-day return: -7.64% · Beta (60d): 1.59 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -8.75% |
| 2026-07-31 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.273 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.30 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.481 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -7.64% · 1-day return: -7.64% · Beta (60d): 1.59 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -8.75% |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.408 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.17% · 1-day return: -4.17% · Beta (60d): 2.04 · Sector return (1d): -4.72% · Sector return: -4.72% · Borrowed drop: 5.45% |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.364 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.41% · 1-day return: -4.41% · Beta (60d): 2.00 · Sector return (1d): -0.74% · Sector return: -0.74% · Borrowed drop: -2.93% |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.436 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.87% · 1-day return: -4.87% · Beta (60d): 1.99 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -3.43% |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.273 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.30 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.273 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -4.81% · 1-day return: -4.81% · Beta (60d): 2.02 · Sector return (1d): -1.63% · Sector return: -1.63% · Borrowed drop: -1.51% |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.397 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.19% · 1-day return: -4.19% · Beta (60d): 2.13 · Sector return (1d): -0.53% · Sector return: -0.53% · Borrowed drop: -3.07% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.626 | 3 | exited | 1-day return: -5.99% · 1-day return: -5.99% · Beta (60d): 2.08 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.99% |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.408 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.397 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.397 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -4.19% · 1-day return: -4.19% · Beta (60d): 2.13 · Sector return (1d): -0.53% · Sector return: -0.53% · Borrowed drop: -3.07% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.626 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.99% · 1-day return: -5.99% · Beta (60d): 2.08 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.99% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.626 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.99% · 1-day return: -5.99% · Beta (60d): 2.08 · Sector return (1d): 0.90% · Sector return: 0.90% · Borrowed drop: -7.85% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.626 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.99% · 1-day return: -5.99% · Beta (60d): 2.08 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.99% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.626 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.99% · 1-day return: -5.99% · Beta (60d): 2.08 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.91% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.642 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.99% · 1-day return: -5.99% · Beta (60d): 2.08 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -13.47% |
| 2026-06-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.197 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.30 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.087 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.80% · 1-day return: -2.80% · Beta (60d): 2.02 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.38% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.869 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 5.72% · 1-day return: 5.72% · Beta (60d): 1.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 5.72% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.919 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 5.72% · 1-day return: 5.72% · Beta (60d): 1.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 5.72% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.985 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 5.72% · 1-day return: 5.72% · Beta (60d): 1.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 5.72% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.977 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 6.15% · 1-day return: 6.15% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.896 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -10.82% · 1-day return: -10.82% · Beta (60d): 1.92 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.637 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.64% · 1-day return: 1.64% · Beta (60d): 1.76 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.992 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 7.22% · 1-day return: 7.22% · Beta (60d): 1.86 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.889 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.64% · 1-day return: -5.64% · Beta (60d): 1.73 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-11 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.197 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.30 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.485 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.30 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |