NXST
Nexstar Media Group
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
56
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.697confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:ret_1d -4.4%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.24pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.44×-0.5%=-0.2pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.44%
1-day return
-4.44%
Beta (60d)
0.44
Sector return (1d)
-0.46%
Sector return
-0.46%
Borrowed drop
-4.24%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialnew
score: 0.312confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.48 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 55 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.16
Sma Dist 200
-0.16
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 85as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 7.8% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 6.94 (extreme)ret_20d -9.0% (falling)dist_52w_low +11.5% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
7.80
Days To Cover
6.94
Ret 20d
-0.09
Dist 52w Low
0.11
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
9 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Drift
7 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
5 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
5 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/6 directionally right · mean -3.9% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-2.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
+1.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-28 → open10 bars
-4.5%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-21 → open15 bars
+8.7%open · MTM
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragility2026-08-11 → 2026-08-186 bars
+1.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-1915 bars
-9.2%dropped
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-06-22 → 2026-06-296 bars
-0.5%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → open58 bars
+1.1%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
-4.7%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
-1.9%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-2210 bars
-9.0%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.299 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: -0.33 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.80 · Days To Cover: 6.94 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.15 · Days To Cover: 7.05 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.212 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.312 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.15 · Days To Cover: 7.05 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.312 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.48 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 55 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.697 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.44% · 1-day return: -4.44% · Beta (60d): 0.44 · Sector return (1d): -0.46% · Sector return: -0.46% · Borrowed drop: -4.24% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.697 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.15 · Days To Cover: 7.05 · Ret 20d: -0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.15 · Days To Cover: 7.05 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.15 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.308 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.33 · Sector return (1d): -1.07% · Sector return: -1.07% · Borrowed drop: -2.74% |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.15 · Days To Cover: 7.05 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.15 · Days To Cover: 7.05 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.15 · Days To Cover: 7.05 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.15 · Days To Cover: 7.05 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.299 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: -0.33 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.15 · Days To Cover: 7.05 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.20 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.308 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.33 · Sector return (1d): -1.07% · Sector return: -1.07% · Borrowed drop: -2.74% |
| 2026-08-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.212 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.194 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.26 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.049 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.309 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.09% · 1-day return: -3.09% · Beta (60d): 0.33 · Sector return (1d): -0.85% · Sector return: -0.85% · Borrowed drop: -2.82% |
| 2026-08-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.132 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.307 | 2 | exited | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.20 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 59 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.309 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.09% · 1-day return: -3.09% · Beta (60d): 0.33 · Sector return (1d): -0.85% · Sector return: -0.85% · Borrowed drop: -2.82% |
| 2026-08-14 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.299 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.33 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.301 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.33 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.302 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.33 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.324 | 2 | exited | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.55 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-11 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.421 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.81% · 1-day return: -3.81% · Beta (60d): 0.35 · Sector return (1d): -0.50% · Sector return: -0.50% · Borrowed drop: -3.64% |
| 2026-08-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.421 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.33 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.306 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.33 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.335 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.22% · 1-day return: -3.22% · Beta (60d): 0.29 · Sector return (1d): -1.05% · Sector return: -1.05% · Borrowed drop: -2.92% |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.430 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -4.31% · 1-day return: -4.31% · Beta (60d): 0.22 · Sector return (1d): -3.68% · Sector return: -3.68% · Borrowed drop: -3.50% |
| 2026-07-23 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.307 | 2 | decayed | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.20 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 59 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-15 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.324 | 2 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.55 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.307 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -1.78% · 1-day return: -1.78% · Beta (60d): 0.20 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.70% |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.307 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.78% · 1-day return: -1.78% · Beta (60d): 0.20 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.70% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.307 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.78% · 1-day return: -1.78% · Beta (60d): 0.20 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.70% |
| 2026-06-25 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.307 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.20 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 59 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.334 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.49% · 1-day return: -3.49% · Beta (60d): 0.50 · Sector return (1d): -0.42% · Sector return: -0.42% · Borrowed drop: -3.28% |
| 2026-06-24 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.36 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 59 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-23 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.44 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 55 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.376 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.41% · 1-day return: -2.41% · Beta (60d): 0.47 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.42% |
| 2026-06-22 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.46 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 27 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.203 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.01% · 1-day return: -1.01% · Beta (60d): 0.45 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.01% |
| 2026-06-21 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.203 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.45 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 28 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.204 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.01% · 1-day return: -1.01% · Beta (60d): 0.45 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.01% |
| 2026-06-20 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.204 | 2 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.45 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 28 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.204 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.01% · 1-day return: -1.01% · Beta (60d): 0.45 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.01% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.161 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.37% · 1-day return: -0.37% · Beta (60d): 0.47 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.930 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.72% · 1-day return: -3.72% · Beta (60d): 0.50 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.334 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.49% · 1-day return: -3.49% · Beta (60d): 0.50 · Sector return (1d): -0.42% · Sector return: -0.42% · Borrowed drop: -3.28% |
| 2026-06-17 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.324 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.55 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.052 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.10% · 1-day return: -0.10% · Beta (60d): 0.45 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |