ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
46
rows
Days on list
17
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 2days: 17as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 3.2% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.56 (extreme)ret_20d -7.4% (falling)dist_52w_low +4.0% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
3.23
Days To Cover
5.56
Ret 20d
-0.07
Dist 52w Low
0.04
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 2days: 10as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:rvol_pctile 16.3 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
16.33
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
5 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
8 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/7 directionally right · mean +1.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-02 → open7 bars
-1.2%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-08-27 → open11 bars
-2.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
+2.5%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-23 → 2026-08-038 bars
-2.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-16 → 2026-07-172 bars
+4.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-082 bars
+1.1%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-06-23 → 2026-06-242 bars
-0.5%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
+0.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → 2026-07-0719 bars
+5.0%dropped
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.23 · Days To Cover: 5.56 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.97 · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.03 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.97 · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.55 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.97 · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.15 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.97 · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.97 · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.97 · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.132 | 2 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.97 · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.97 · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.97 · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.446 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.446 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.446 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.67% · 1-day return: -3.67% · Beta (60d): -0.56 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -3.29% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.446 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.67% · 1-day return: -3.67% · Beta (60d): -0.56 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -3.29% |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.446 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.446 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.67% · 1-day return: -3.67% · Beta (60d): -0.56 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -3.29% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.428 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.59% · 1-day return: -3.59% · Beta (60d): -0.35 · Sector return (1d): 0.94% · Sector return: 0.94% · Borrowed drop: -3.26% |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.786 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.428 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.59% · 1-day return: -3.59% · Beta (60d): -0.35 · Sector return (1d): 0.94% · Sector return: 0.94% · Borrowed drop: -3.26% |
| 2026-07-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.528 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: AZO · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: 2.17 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.976 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.428 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.59% · 1-day return: -3.59% · Beta (60d): -0.35 · Sector return (1d): 0.94% · Sector return: 0.94% · Borrowed drop: -3.26% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.880 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.89% · 1-day return: -6.89% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Sector return (1d): 0.76% · Sector return: 0.76% · Borrowed drop: -6.74% |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.155 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.35% · 1-day return: -0.35% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.880 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.89% · 1-day return: -6.89% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Sector return (1d): 0.76% · Sector return: 0.76% · Borrowed drop: -6.74% |
| 2026-07-06 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.528 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: AZO · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: 2.17 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.976 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.155 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.35% · 1-day return: -0.35% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.539 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.155 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.35% · 1-day return: -0.35% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.528 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.40% · 1-day return: -1.40% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.36% |
| 2026-06-22 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.528 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: AZO · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: 2.17 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.628 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.78% · 1-day return: -1.78% · Beta (60d): 0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.78% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.636 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.78% · 1-day return: -1.78% · Beta (60d): 0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.78% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.644 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.78% · 1-day return: -1.78% · Beta (60d): 0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.78% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.025 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.06% · 1-day return: 0.06% · Beta (60d): 0.16 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.848 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.55% · 1-day return: -2.55% · Beta (60d): 0.16 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.210 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.46% · 1-day return: 0.46% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.539 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-11 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.465 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.870 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |