ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
26
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.786confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.7%failure_vol:weak:0.68sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.20
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.65%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
7 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
4 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/4 directionally right · mean +1.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-23 → open3 bars
-4.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-16 → open8 bars
+9.1%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-082 bars
+1.1%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-06-23 → 2026-06-242 bars
-0.5%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
+0.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → 2026-07-0719 bars
+5.0%dropped
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.786 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.428 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.59% · 1-day return: -3.59% · Beta (60d): -0.35 · Sector return (1d): 0.94% · Sector return: 0.94% · Borrowed drop: -3.26% |
| 2026-07-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.528 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: AZO · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: 2.17 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.976 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.428 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.59% · 1-day return: -3.59% · Beta (60d): -0.35 · Sector return (1d): 0.94% · Sector return: 0.94% · Borrowed drop: -3.26% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.880 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.89% · 1-day return: -6.89% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Sector return (1d): 0.76% · Sector return: 0.76% · Borrowed drop: -6.74% |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.155 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.35% · 1-day return: -0.35% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.880 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.89% · 1-day return: -6.89% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Sector return (1d): 0.76% · Sector return: 0.76% · Borrowed drop: -6.74% |
| 2026-07-06 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.528 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: AZO · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: 2.17 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.976 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.155 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.35% · 1-day return: -0.35% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.539 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.155 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.35% · 1-day return: -0.35% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.528 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.40% · 1-day return: -1.40% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.36% |
| 2026-06-22 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.528 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: AZO · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: 2.17 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.628 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.78% · 1-day return: -1.78% · Beta (60d): 0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.78% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.636 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.78% · 1-day return: -1.78% · Beta (60d): 0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.78% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.644 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.78% · 1-day return: -1.78% · Beta (60d): 0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.78% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.025 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.06% · 1-day return: 0.06% · Beta (60d): 0.16 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.848 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.55% · 1-day return: -2.55% · Beta (60d): 0.16 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.210 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.46% · 1-day return: 0.46% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.539 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.539 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.84% · 1-day return: -0.84% · Beta (60d): 0.15 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.470 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.02% · 1-day return: 1.02% · Beta (60d): 0.18 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-11 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.465 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.870 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |