NKE
Nike, Inc.
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
55
rows
Days on list
3
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
8 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A6 · Vol Mispricingpartialpersisting
score: 0.121confluence: 0days: 3as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:quality:passhist_earnings_move 1.4% (weighted avg of 8 events, w=0.7)catalyst 18d awayimplied_move:unavailable (options enabled but no data)vol_edge: pending implied_move data
Dislocation:
Hist Earnings Move
1.39
N Events Used
8.00
Days To Catalyst
18.00
Implied Move
—
Vol Edge
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Recency Weight
0.70
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.767confluence: 0days: 78as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.48 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -26.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 35 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.26
Sma Dist 200
-0.26
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recoveryactive
3 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
N5 · Revision Collapse
3 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
9 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
6 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/8 directionally right · mean -0.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-1.6%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-25 → open13 bars
+7.0%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-07 → 2026-08-0320 bars
+4.2%dropped
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-02 → 2026-07-148 bars
-0.5%closed
N5 · Revision Collapseshort fragility2026-07-02 → 2026-07-062 bars
+1.1%closed
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-06-29 → open53 bars
+14.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-23 → 2026-06-242 bars
-1.2%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-7.8%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-11 → 2026-06-227 bars
+0.3%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-1.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-03 → 2026-06-042 bars
+1.4%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.767 | 0 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.48 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -26.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 35 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-11 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 0.121 | 0 | persisting | Hist Earnings Move: 1.39 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 18.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.121 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.47 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -26.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 45 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 0.121 | 1 | persisting | Hist Earnings Move: 1.39 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 19.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.143 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.45 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -25.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 46 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 0.143 | 1 | new | Hist Earnings Move: 1.39 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 20.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.085 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.47 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.707 | 0 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.40 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -24.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 46 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.670 | 0 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.56 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -23.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 49 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-03 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.646 | 0 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.58 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -23.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 49 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-02 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.711 | 0 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.52 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -24.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 43 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-01 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.745 | 0 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.54 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -25.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 56 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-31 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.702 | 0 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.49 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -24.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 57 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-28 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.638 | 0 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.49 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -23.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 63 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-26 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.583 | 3 | exited | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -3.21% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.085 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.47 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.723 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.45 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.865 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: 4.54 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.723 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.45 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.439 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.45 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.583 | 3 | decayed | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -3.21% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.865 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 4.54 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.533 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.44 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.391 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.44 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.166 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.37% · 1-day return: -0.37% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.37% |
| 2026-07-10 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.865 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 4.54 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-09 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.875 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 4.54 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.884 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.45 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.884 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 4.54 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.895 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.44 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.895 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 4.54 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.909 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.44 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.166 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.37% · 1-day return: -0.37% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.37% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.643 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -4.55% · 1-day return: -4.55% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Sector return (1d): -1.91% · Sector return: -1.91% · Borrowed drop: -3.10% |
| 2026-07-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.909 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 4.54 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-02 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.929 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 4.54 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-01 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.583 | 3 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 4.54 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-01 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.583 | 3 | persisting | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -3.21% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.643 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.55% · 1-day return: -4.55% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Sector return (1d): -1.91% · Sector return: -1.91% · Borrowed drop: -3.10% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.166 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.37% · 1-day return: -0.37% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.37% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.154 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.37% · 1-day return: -0.37% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.818 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.37% · 1-day return: -0.37% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.93% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.064 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.43% · 1-day return: -0.43% · Beta (60d): 0.80 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.13% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.593 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.33% · 1-day return: -1.33% · Beta (60d): 0.80 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.62% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.400 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.89% · 1-day return: -1.89% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.96% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.643 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.55% · 1-day return: -4.55% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.30% |
| 2026-06-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.643 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -4.55% · 1-day return: -4.55% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Sector return (1d): -1.91% · Sector return: -1.91% · Borrowed drop: -3.10% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.729 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.26% · 1-day return: 2.26% · Beta (60d): 0.72 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.26% |
| 2026-06-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.638 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.91% · 1-day return: -4.91% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |
| 2026-06-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.638 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.91% · 1-day return: -4.91% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.638 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.91% · 1-day return: -4.91% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |