MRNA
Moderna
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
50
rows
Days on list
21
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimedpersisting
score: 0.311confluence: 0days: 21as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -3.4%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -2.78pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.96×-0.3%=-0.6pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.42%
1-day return
-3.42%
Beta (60d)
1.96
Sector return (1d)
-0.33%
Sector return
-0.33%
Borrowed drop
-2.78%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremeprimedpersisting
score: 0.244confluence: 0days: 100as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:short_pct 14.3% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 9.15 (extreme)ret_20d +76.3% (holding)dist_52w_low +511.0% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedprice_resilient:confirmed (ret_20d >= +5% — refusing to break, primed gate)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
14.27
Days To Cover
9.15
Ret 20d
0.76
Dist 52w Low
5.11
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
12 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
12 days
N2 · Overextended Blowoff
6 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/5 directionally right · mean +4.9% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-21 → open15 bars
+10.9%open · MTM
N2 · Overextended Blowoffshort fragility2026-08-20 → open16 bars
+2.6%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-04 → 2026-08-127 bars
+6.4%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-08-1025 bars
-28.5%dropped
N2 · Overextended Blowoffshort fragility2026-07-06 → 2026-07-083 bars
+0.9%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-269 bars
+18.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-2412 bars
+27.0%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
+195.6%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.244 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.27 · Days To Cover: 9.15 · Ret 20d: 0.76 · Dist 52w Low: 5.11 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.989 | 1 | decayed | Rsi 14: 92.21 · Sma Dist 20: 1.72 · Sma Dist 50: 1.73 · Stretch: 1.73 · Atr Pct: 6.60% · 1-day return: 101.87% |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.311 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.42% · 1-day return: -3.42% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Sector return (1d): -0.33% · Sector return: -0.33% · Borrowed drop: -2.78% |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.241 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.27 · Days To Cover: 9.15 · Ret 20d: 0.81 · Dist 52w Low: 5.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.099 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.65% · 1-day return: -3.65% · Beta (60d): 1.87 · Sector return (1d): -2.55% · Sector return: -2.55% · Borrowed drop: 1.11% |
| 2026-09-08 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.049 | 2 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.27 · Days To Cover: 9.15 · Ret 20d: 0.85 · Dist 52w Low: 5.28 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.237 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.27 · Days To Cover: 9.15 · Ret 20d: 0.90 · Dist 52w Low: 5.51 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.192 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.26% · 1-day return: -3.26% · Beta (60d): 2.04 · Sector return (1d): -0.65% · Sector return: -0.65% · Borrowed drop: -1.94% |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.27 · Days To Cover: 9.15 · Ret 20d: 1.02 · Dist 52w Low: 5.66 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.820 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 2.10 · Sector return (1d): 1.04% · Sector return: 1.04% · Borrowed drop: -5.39% |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.27 · Days To Cover: 9.15 · Ret 20d: 0.99 · Dist 52w Low: 5.74 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.27 · Days To Cover: 9.15 · Ret 20d: 1.00 · Dist 52w Low: 5.90 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.27 · Days To Cover: 9.15 · Ret 20d: 0.94 · Dist 52w Low: 5.28 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.312 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.41% · 1-day return: -3.41% · Beta (60d): 2.59 · Sector return (1d): -0.25% · Sector return: -0.25% · Borrowed drop: -2.77% |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.27 · Days To Cover: 9.15 · Ret 20d: 0.92 · Dist 52w Low: 5.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.186 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.71% · 1-day return: -4.71% · Beta (60d): 2.44 · Sector return (1d): -1.14% · Sector return: -1.14% · Borrowed drop: -1.94% |
| 2026-08-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.292 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.27 · Days To Cover: 9.15 · Ret 20d: 0.90 · Dist 52w Low: 5.39 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-26 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.478 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.95% · 1-day return: -5.95% · Beta (60d): 2.55 · Sector return (1d): -1.00% · Sector return: -1.00% · Borrowed drop: -3.39% |
| 2026-08-26 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.478 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.27 · Days To Cover: 9.15 · Ret 20d: 1.01 · Dist 52w Low: 5.69 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 13.45 · Days To Cover: 10.22 · Ret 20d: 1.05 · Dist 52w Low: 6.10 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.717 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.39% · 1-day return: -4.39% · Beta (60d): 2.44 · Sector return (1d): 0.05% · Sector return: 0.05% · Borrowed drop: -4.51% |
| 2026-08-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.049 | 2 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.998 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -26.85% · 1-day return: -26.85% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Sector return (1d): -1.89% · Sector return: -1.89% · Borrowed drop: -22.47% |
| 2026-08-19 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.989 | 1 | new | Rsi 14: 92.21 · Sma Dist 20: 1.72 · Sma Dist 50: 1.73 · Stretch: 1.73 · Atr Pct: 6.60% · 1-day return: 101.87% |
| 2026-08-17 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.435 | 1 | exited | Rsi 14: 81.77 · Sma Dist 20: 0.36 · Sma Dist 50: 0.54 · Stretch: 0.54 · Atr Pct: 6.13% · 1-day return: 2.53% |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.274 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.35% · 1-day return: -4.35% · Beta (60d): 1.36 · Sector return (1d): 0.18% · Sector return: 0.18% · Borrowed drop: -4.59% |
| 2026-08-10 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.049 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.051 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.274 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.35% · 1-day return: -4.35% · Beta (60d): 1.36 · Sector return (1d): 0.18% · Sector return: 0.18% · Borrowed drop: -4.59% |
| 2026-08-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.274 | 3 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.051 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.050 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-03 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.049 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.361 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.50% · 1-day return: -5.50% · Beta (60d): 1.57 · Sector return (1d): -0.59% · Sector return: -0.59% · Borrowed drop: -4.57% |
| 2026-07-27 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.435 | 1 | decayed | Rsi 14: 81.77 · Sma Dist 20: 0.36 · Sma Dist 50: 0.54 · Stretch: 0.54 · Atr Pct: 6.13% · 1-day return: 2.53% |
| 2026-07-08 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.565 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.96% · 1-day return: -0.96% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.49% |
| 2026-07-06 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.435 | 1 | persisting | Rsi 14: 81.77 · Sma Dist 20: 0.36 · Sma Dist 50: 0.54 · Stretch: 0.54 · Atr Pct: 6.13% · 1-day return: 2.53% |
| 2026-07-02 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.448 | 1 | persisting | Rsi 14: 80.66 · Sma Dist 20: 0.36 · Sma Dist 50: 0.51 · Stretch: 0.51 · Atr Pct: 5.99% · 1-day return: 9.54% |
| 2026-07-01 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.565 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.96% · 1-day return: -0.96% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.49% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.565 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.96% · 1-day return: -0.96% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.49% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.851 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.49% · 1-day return: -7.49% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.94% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.821 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.44% · 1-day return: 3.44% · Beta (60d): 1.65 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.44% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.873 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.44% · 1-day return: 3.44% · Beta (60d): 1.65 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.44% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.940 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.44% · 1-day return: 3.44% · Beta (60d): 1.65 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.44% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.00% · 1-day return: 0.00% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.998 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 10.93% · 1-day return: 10.93% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.974 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 6.08% · 1-day return: 6.08% · Beta (60d): 1.95 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.949 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.35% · 1-day return: 4.35% · Beta (60d): 2.03 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.249 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.54% · 1-day return: 0.54% · Beta (60d): 1.98 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |