MRNA
Moderna
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
43
rows
Days on list
18
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimedpersisting
score: 0.441confluence: 2days: 18as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:ret_1d -5.3%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -6.30pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.42×+0.7%=+1.0pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-5.31%
1-day return
-5.31%
Beta (60d)
1.42
Sector return (1d)
0.70%
Sector return
0.70%
Borrowed drop
-6.30%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 55as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:short_pct 14.2% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 6.07 (extreme)ret_20d -19.0% (falling)dist_52w_low +148.8% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
14.16
Days To Cover
6.07
Ret 20d
-0.19
Dist 52w Low
1.49
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
15 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
13 days
N2 · Overextended Blowoff
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/2 directionally right · mean +22.8% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → open15 bars
-29.3%open · MTM
N2 · Overextended Blowoffshort fragility2026-07-06 → open16 bars
+27.8%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-269 bars
+18.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-2412 bars
+27.0%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open36 bars
+14.6%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.435 | 1 | decayed | Rsi 14: 81.77 · Sma Dist 20: 0.36 · Sma Dist 50: 0.54 · Stretch: 0.54 · Atr Pct: 6.13% · 1-day return: 2.53% |
| 2026-07-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.16 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: -0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 1.49 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.441 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.31% · 1-day return: -5.31% · Beta (60d): 1.42 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -6.30% |
| 2026-07-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.441 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.16 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 1.42 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.244 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.84% · 1-day return: -3.84% · Beta (60d): 1.41 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -2.22% |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.985 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.81% · 1-day return: -7.81% · Beta (60d): 1.39 · Sector return (1d): 2.19% · Sector return: 2.19% · Borrowed drop: -10.86% |
| 2026-07-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.683 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -11.46% · 1-day return: -11.46% · Beta (60d): 1.16 · Sector return (1d): -0.82% · Sector return: -0.82% · Borrowed drop: -10.51% |
| 2026-07-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.683 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.85 · Days To Cover: 10.48 · Ret 20d: 0.40 · Dist 52w Low: 2.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.397 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.85 · Days To Cover: 10.48 · Ret 20d: 0.47 · Dist 52w Low: 2.42 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.565 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.96% · 1-day return: -0.96% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.49% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.632 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.78% · 1-day return: -7.78% · Beta (60d): 1.22 · Sector return (1d): -1.31% · Sector return: -1.31% · Borrowed drop: -6.18% |
| 2026-07-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.632 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.85 · Days To Cover: 10.48 · Ret 20d: 0.44 · Dist 52w Low: 2.30 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.624 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.61% · 1-day return: -3.61% · Beta (60d): 1.16 · Sector return (1d): 1.85% · Sector return: 1.85% · Borrowed drop: -5.77% |
| 2026-07-07 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.420 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.85 · Days To Cover: 10.48 · Ret 20d: 0.52 · Dist 52w Low: 2.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.435 | 1 | persisting | Rsi 14: 81.77 · Sma Dist 20: 0.36 · Sma Dist 50: 0.54 · Stretch: 0.54 · Atr Pct: 6.13% · 1-day return: 2.53% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.851 | 3 | exited | 1-day return: -7.49% · 1-day return: -7.49% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Sector return (1d): 0.44% · Sector return: 0.44% · Borrowed drop: -8.23% |
| 2026-07-06 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.435 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.85 · Days To Cover: 10.48 · Ret 20d: 0.46 · Dist 52w Low: 2.66 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-02 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.448 | 1 | persisting | Rsi 14: 80.66 · Sma Dist 20: 0.36 · Sma Dist 50: 0.51 · Stretch: 0.51 · Atr Pct: 5.99% · 1-day return: 9.54% |
| 2026-07-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.448 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.85 · Days To Cover: 10.48 · Ret 20d: 0.49 · Dist 52w Low: 2.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-01 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.565 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.96% · 1-day return: -0.96% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.49% |
| 2026-07-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.465 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.85 · Days To Cover: 10.48 · Ret 20d: 0.46 · Dist 52w Low: 2.24 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-06-30 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.481 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.85 · Days To Cover: 10.48 · Ret 20d: 0.42 · Dist 52w Low: 2.13 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.851 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.49% · 1-day return: -7.49% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Sector return (1d): 0.44% · Sector return: 0.44% · Borrowed drop: -8.23% |
| 2026-06-29 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.496 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.85 · Days To Cover: 10.48 · Ret 20d: 0.39 · Dist 52w Low: 2.12 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.516 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.85 · Days To Cover: 10.48 · Ret 20d: 0.35 · Dist 52w Low: 2.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-06-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.566 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.85 · Days To Cover: 10.48 · Ret 20d: 0.35 · Dist 52w Low: 2.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.568 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.85 · Days To Cover: 10.48 · Ret 20d: 0.35 · Dist 52w Low: 2.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.569 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.62 · Days To Cover: 12.27 · Ret 20d: 0.24 · Dist 52w Low: 1.71 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.565 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.96% · 1-day return: -0.96% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.49% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.851 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.49% · 1-day return: -7.49% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.94% |
| 2026-06-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.851 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.49% · 1-day return: -7.49% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Sector return (1d): 0.44% · Sector return: 0.44% · Borrowed drop: -8.23% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.821 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.44% · 1-day return: 3.44% · Beta (60d): 1.65 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.44% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.873 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.44% · 1-day return: 3.44% · Beta (60d): 1.65 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.44% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.940 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.44% · 1-day return: 3.44% · Beta (60d): 1.65 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.44% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.00% · 1-day return: 0.00% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.998 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 10.93% · 1-day return: 10.93% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.117 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.71% · 1-day return: -3.71% · Beta (60d): 1.83 · Sector return (1d): -1.12% · Sector return: -1.12% · Borrowed drop: -1.66% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.974 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 6.08% · 1-day return: 6.08% · Beta (60d): 1.95 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.949 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.35% · 1-day return: 4.35% · Beta (60d): 2.03 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.249 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.54% · 1-day return: 0.54% · Beta (60d): 1.98 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.117 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.71% · 1-day return: -3.71% · Beta (60d): 1.83 · Sector return (1d): -1.12% · Sector return: -1.12% · Borrowed drop: -1.66% |
| 2026-06-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.960 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.39% · 1-day return: -8.39% · Beta (60d): 1.88 · Sector return (1d): 0.61% · Sector return: 0.61% · Borrowed drop: -9.53% |
| 2026-06-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.974 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -8.39% · 1-day return: -8.39% · Beta (60d): 1.88 · Sector return (1d): 0.61% · Sector return: 0.61% · Borrowed drop: -9.53% |