MTB
M&T Bank
Screener candidate detail · 4 active archetypes
Active
4
archetypes
History
59
rows
Days on list
30
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.205confluence: 1days: 30as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:rvol_pctile 19.5 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
19.52
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.205confluence: 1days: 7as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.5%failure_vol:weak:0.12sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.06
Sma Dist 20
-0.02
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.52%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 27as of 2026-08-26
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-4.9%rsi_divergence:43momentum_rollover:-1.2%rel_vol:0.61sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.05
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
42.81
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.02
Sma Dist 20
-0.03
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.01
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 101as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 3.8% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.55 (extreme)ret_20d -5.9% (falling)dist_52w_low +36.7% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
3.83
Days To Cover
5.55
Ret 20d
-0.06
Dist 52w Low
0.37
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 daysripe: Loaded
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
5 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
5 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
9 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/5 directionally right · mean +0.8% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-08 → open4 bars
+2.2%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-08-21 → open15 bars
-1.1%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-12 → open22 bars
-5.5%open · MTM
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-08-03 → 2026-08-2820 bars
+4.1%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-21 → 2026-07-222 bars
+0.1%closed
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-17 → 2026-07-288 bars
-0.7%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-093 bars
-2.5%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-26 → open54 bars
+4.7%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+3.0%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
+7.9%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.83 · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.37 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.205 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.85 · Days To Cover: 6.85 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.38 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.205 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.356 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.356 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.85 · Days To Cover: 6.85 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.37 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.685 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.685 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.85 · Days To Cover: 6.85 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.37 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.212 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.212 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.85 · Days To Cover: 6.85 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.38 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.427 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: ONB · Pair Correlation: 0.81 · Pair Spread Z: -2.34 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.85 · Days To Cover: 6.85 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.38 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.85 · Days To Cover: 6.85 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.36 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.85 · Days To Cover: 6.85 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.33 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.85 · Days To Cover: 6.85 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.34 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.85 · Days To Cover: 6.85 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.36 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-26 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 42.81 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.03 |
| 2026-08-26 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.95 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-25 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 12.35 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-24 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.916 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 42.47 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.03 |
| 2026-08-21 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.468 | 2 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-20 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 42.92 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.03 |
| 2026-08-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.427 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: ONB · Pair Correlation: 0.81 · Pair Spread Z: -2.34 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.76 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-19 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.862 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 44.93 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 |
| 2026-08-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.401 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.355 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: RF · Pair Correlation: 0.88 · Pair Spread Z: 2.41 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.99 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-14 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.59 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.151 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-12 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.74 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.308 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.468 | 2 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.311 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.210 | 2 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-03 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.355 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: RF · Pair Correlation: 0.88 · Pair Spread Z: 2.41 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-31 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.330 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.87 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.468 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.532 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-22 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.493 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-21 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.427 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.355 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: RF · Pair Correlation: 0.88 · Pair Spread Z: 2.41 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.355 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-17 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.355 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-16 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.343 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.432 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 0.21% · 1-day return: 0.21% · Beta (60d): 0.24 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.65% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.432 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.21% · 1-day return: 0.21% · Beta (60d): 0.24 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.65% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.432 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.21% · 1-day return: 0.21% · Beta (60d): 0.24 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.65% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.420 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.32% · 1-day return: -0.32% · Beta (60d): 0.45 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.32% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.506 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.32% · 1-day return: -0.32% · Beta (60d): 0.45 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.32% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.571 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.32% · 1-day return: -0.32% · Beta (60d): 0.45 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.32% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.097 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.23% · 1-day return: 0.23% · Beta (60d): 0.46 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.513 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.10% · 1-day return: -1.10% · Beta (60d): 0.45 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.439 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.06% · 1-day return: 1.06% · Beta (60d): 0.44 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.841 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.60% · 1-day return: -2.60% · Beta (60d): 0.41 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |