FSLR
First Solar
Screener candidate detail · 4 active archetypes
Active
4
archetypes
History
47
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.778confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -4.9%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.88pp (unexplained)sector_explained 2.19×+0.0%=+0.0pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.88%
1-day return
-4.88%
Beta (60d)
2.19
Sector return (1d)
0.00%
Sector return
0.00%
Borrowed drop
-4.88%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.577confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.7%failure_vol:weak:0.27sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.34
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.70%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:rvol_pctile 16.3 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
16.33
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 50as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 9.3% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.57 (extreme)ret_20d -5.5% (falling)dist_52w_low +14.6% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
9.28
Days To Cover
5.57
Ret 20d
-0.06
Dist 52w Low
0.15
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
10 days
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
4 days
N2 · Overextended Blowoff
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/9 directionally right · mean -5.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
+6.2%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-3.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-01 → open8 bars
+5.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-11 → 2026-08-2410 bars
-13.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-28 → 2026-07-303 bars
+1.2%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-07-27 → open34 bars
+0.7%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-14 → 2026-08-0315 bars
-1.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-14 → 2026-07-227 bars
-9.4%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-11.5%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-07-0720 bars
-18.8%dropped
N2 · Overextended Blowoffshort fragility2026-06-05 → 2026-06-082 bars
+6.7%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-05 → 2026-06-082 bars
+6.7%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-5.1%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.28 · Days To Cover: 5.57 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.15 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.577 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.34 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.778 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.88% · 1-day return: -4.88% · Beta (60d): 2.19 · Sector return (1d): 0.00% · Sector return: 0.00% · Borrowed drop: -4.88% |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.797 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.98% · 1-day return: -3.98% · Beta (60d): 2.69 · Sector return (1d): 0.44% · Sector return: 0.44% · Borrowed drop: -5.15% |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.797 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.98% · 1-day return: -3.98% · Beta (60d): 2.69 · Sector return (1d): 0.44% · Sector return: 0.44% · Borrowed drop: -5.15% |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.357 | 0 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.82% · 1-day return: -3.82% · Beta (60d): 2.80 · Sector return (1d): -0.29% · Sector return: -0.29% · Borrowed drop: -3.00% |
| 2026-08-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.74 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.07 · Days To Cover: 5.27 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.12 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.07 · Days To Cover: 5.27 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.13 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.07 · Days To Cover: 5.27 · Ret 20d: 0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.357 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.82% · 1-day return: -3.82% · Beta (60d): 2.80 · Sector return (1d): -0.29% · Sector return: -0.29% · Borrowed drop: -3.00% |
| 2026-08-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.07 · Days To Cover: 5.27 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-19 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.295 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.07 · Days To Cover: 5.27 · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.20 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-18 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.296 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.07 · Days To Cover: 5.27 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.451 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.48% · 1-day return: -3.48% · Beta (60d): 2.89 · Sector return (1d): 0.16% · Sector return: 0.16% · Borrowed drop: -3.95% |
| 2026-08-17 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.451 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.07 · Days To Cover: 5.27 · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.18 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-14 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.299 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.07 · Days To Cover: 5.27 · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.25 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-13 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.301 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.07 · Days To Cover: 5.27 · Ret 20d: 0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.640 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.05% · 1-day return: -6.05% · Beta (60d): 3.06 · Sector return (1d): 1.48% · Sector return: 1.48% · Borrowed drop: -10.57% |
| 2026-08-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.242 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -4.38% · 1-day return: -4.38% · Beta (60d): 2.92 · Sector return (1d): -0.88% · Sector return: -0.88% · Borrowed drop: -1.81% |
| 2026-08-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.436 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.14% · 1-day return: -4.14% · Beta (60d): 2.88 · Sector return (1d): -3.58% · Sector return: -3.58% · Borrowed drop: 6.18% |
| 2026-07-30 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.74 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-29 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.436 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -4.14% · 1-day return: -4.14% · Beta (60d): 2.88 · Sector return (1d): -3.58% · Sector return: -3.58% · Borrowed drop: 6.18% |
| 2026-07-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.95 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-23 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.95 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-22 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 12.35 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.15 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-20 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.237 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-16 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | primed | 0.440 | 2 | exited | Rsi 14: 80.19 · Sma Dist 20: 0.21 · Sma Dist 50: 0.42 · Stretch: 0.42 · Atr Pct: 4.72% · 1-day return: -1.04% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.491 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.92% · 1-day return: -3.92% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.92% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.491 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.92% · 1-day return: -3.92% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.92% |
| 2026-07-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.440 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.21 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.491 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.92% · 1-day return: -3.92% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.92% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.487 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.92% · 1-day return: -3.92% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.83% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.547 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.92% · 1-day return: -3.92% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -13.13% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.137 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.23% · 1-day return: -1.23% · Beta (60d): 2.49 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.30% |
| 2026-06-25 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | primed | 0.440 | 2 | decayed | Rsi 14: 80.19 · Sma Dist 20: 0.21 · Sma Dist 50: 0.42 · Stretch: 0.42 · Atr Pct: 4.72% · 1-day return: -1.04% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.498 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.35% · 1-day return: -0.35% · Beta (60d): 2.51 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.26% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.692 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.42% · 1-day return: -5.42% · Beta (60d): 2.27 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.69% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.449 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.13% · 1-day return: 1.13% · Beta (60d): 2.22 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.13% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.450 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.13% · 1-day return: 1.13% · Beta (60d): 2.22 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.13% |
| 2026-06-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.440 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.21 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.440 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.21 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | primed | 0.440 | 2 | persisting | Rsi 14: 80.19 · Sma Dist 20: 0.21 · Sma Dist 50: 0.42 · Stretch: 0.42 · Atr Pct: 4.72% · 1-day return: -1.04% |