CINF
Cincinnati Financial
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
40
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
P1 · Pair Divergenceprimednew
score: 0.857confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passtwin:HIGcorrelation:0.74spread_z:+3.26laggard:rich_laggard → short_fragility
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
HIG
Pair Correlation
0.74
Pair Spread Z
3.26
Pair Direction
short_fragility
Pair State
primed
Gate pass
Yes
Analyst
[object Object]
Quality
[object Object]
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.145confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.4%failure_vol:weak:0.11sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.07
Sma Dist 20
-0.02
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.39%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragilityactive
4 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
N2 · Overextended Blowoff
2 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
4 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
10 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/3 directionally right · mean +5.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-23 → open3 bars
-3.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → open13 bars
+2.7%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-145 bars
-4.9%dropped
N2 · Overextended Blowoffshort fragility2026-07-06 → open16 bars
+1.8%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-236 bars
+4.0%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → open33 bars
-12.4%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-2917 bars
+16.3%dropped
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.857 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: HIG · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: 3.26 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.145 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.374 | 1 | decayed | Rsi 14: 81.86 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Sma Dist 50: 0.15 · Stretch: 0.15 · Atr Pct: 1.96% · 1-day return: 2.54% |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.503 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.588 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.31% · 1-day return: -4.31% · Beta (60d): -0.59 · Sector return (1d): 0.67% · Sector return: 0.67% · Borrowed drop: -3.91% |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.191 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.07 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.569 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: 1.95 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.29 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.588 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.31% · 1-day return: -4.31% · Beta (60d): -0.59 · Sector return (1d): 0.67% · Sector return: 0.67% · Borrowed drop: -3.91% |
| 2026-07-10 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.277 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: HIG · Pair Correlation: 0.73 · Pair Spread Z: 2.13 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.363 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.44% · 1-day return: -3.44% · Beta (60d): -0.47 · Sector return (1d): 1.03% · Sector return: 1.03% · Borrowed drop: -2.96% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.731 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.05% · 1-day return: -4.05% · Beta (60d): -0.38 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -4.78% |
| 2026-07-08 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.477 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: HIG · Pair Correlation: 0.75 · Pair Spread Z: -2.32 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.191 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.07 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.191 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: HIG · Pair Correlation: 0.76 · Pair Spread Z: -2.07 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.750 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.508 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.74% · 1-day return: -0.74% · Beta (60d): -0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.74% |
| 2026-07-02 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.374 | 1 | new | Rsi 14: 81.86 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Sma Dist 50: 0.15 · Stretch: 0.15 · Atr Pct: 1.96% · 1-day return: 2.54% |
| 2026-06-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.461 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.09 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.508 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.74% · 1-day return: -0.74% · Beta (60d): -0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.74% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.569 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 1.95 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.29 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.567 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 1.95 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.27 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-23 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.603 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 1.95 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-22 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.643 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 1.95 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.22 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.508 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.508 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.74% · 1-day return: -0.74% · Beta (60d): -0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.74% |
| 2026-06-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.508 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 1.95 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.20 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.593 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.593 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.74% · 1-day return: -0.74% · Beta (60d): -0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.74% |
| 2026-06-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.593 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 1.95 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.20 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.757 | 3 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.757 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.74% · 1-day return: -0.74% · Beta (60d): -0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.74% |
| 2026-06-19 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.757 | 3 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.20 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.292 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.292 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.69% · 1-day return: -0.69% · Beta (60d): -0.03 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.212 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.19% · 1-day return: -0.19% · Beta (60d): -0.02 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.576 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.44% · 1-day return: 1.44% · Beta (60d): -0.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.115 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.20% · 1-day return: 0.20% · Beta (60d): -0.00 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.201 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.42% · 1-day return: 0.42% · Beta (60d): 0.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.13 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.12 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |