RYAN
Ryan Specialty
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
42
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.620confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -3.5%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.91pp (unexplained)sector_explained -0.88×-0.4%=+0.4pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.54%
1-day return
-3.54%
Beta (60d)
-0.88
Sector return (1d)
-0.42%
Sector return
-0.42%
Borrowed drop
-3.91%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 15as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:rvol_pctile 15.9 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
15.94
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 101as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 11.8% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 10.83 (extreme)ret_20d -12.0% (falling)dist_52w_low +30.2% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
11.81
Days To Cover
10.83
Ret 20d
-0.12
Dist 52w Low
0.30
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
12 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
4 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
12 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
2 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/6 directionally right · mean +3.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-5.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-01 → open8 bars
-11.5%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-27 → open11 bars
-12.1%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-27 → open11 bars
+11.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-10 → 2026-08-112 bars
-2.0%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
-6.1%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-23 → 2026-07-242 bars
+2.9%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-23 → 2026-07-028 bars
+17.0%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-269 bars
+6.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+2.0%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
+16.0%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.81 · Days To Cover: 10.83 · Ret 20d: -0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.65 · Days To Cover: 6.59 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.33 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.742 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.620 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.54% · 1-day return: -3.54% · Beta (60d): -0.88 · Sector return (1d): -0.42% · Sector return: -0.42% · Borrowed drop: -3.91% |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.620 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.65 · Days To Cover: 6.59 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.35 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.473 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.08% · 1-day return: -3.08% · Beta (60d): -0.97 · Sector return (1d): -0.29% · Sector return: -0.29% · Borrowed drop: -3.37% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.65 · Days To Cover: 6.59 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.40 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.237 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.65 · Days To Cover: 6.59 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.44 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.65 · Days To Cover: 6.59 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.45 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.65 · Days To Cover: 6.59 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.45 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.65 · Days To Cover: 6.59 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.45 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.473 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.08% · 1-day return: -3.08% · Beta (60d): -0.97 · Sector return (1d): -0.29% · Sector return: -0.29% · Borrowed drop: -3.37% |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.473 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.65 · Days To Cover: 6.59 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.45 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.65 · Days To Cover: 6.59 · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.50 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.94 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.292 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.65 · Days To Cover: 6.59 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.49 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.55 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.742 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.742 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.65 · Days To Cover: 6.59 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.48 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.481 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.73% · 1-day return: -3.73% · Beta (60d): -1.13 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |
| 2026-08-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.481 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.73% · 1-day return: -3.73% · Beta (60d): -1.13 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |
| 2026-08-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.481 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.73% · 1-day return: -3.73% · Beta (60d): -1.13 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.525 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.28% · 1-day return: -5.28% · Beta (60d): -1.33 · Sector return (1d): 0.56% · Sector return: 0.56% · Borrowed drop: -4.53% |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.525 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -5.28% · 1-day return: -5.28% · Beta (60d): -1.33 · Sector return (1d): 0.56% · Sector return: 0.56% · Borrowed drop: -4.53% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.512 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.99% · 1-day return: -3.99% · Beta (60d): -1.31 · Sector return (1d): -0.11% · Sector return: -0.11% · Borrowed drop: -4.13% |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.512 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.99% · 1-day return: -3.99% · Beta (60d): -1.31 · Sector return (1d): -0.11% · Sector return: -0.11% · Borrowed drop: -4.13% |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.505 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.56% · 1-day return: -3.56% · Beta (60d): -0.72 · Sector return (1d): -0.20% · Sector return: -0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.71% |
| 2026-07-08 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.321 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.16% · 1-day return: -0.16% · Beta (60d): -0.43 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.18% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.08% |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.505 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.56% · 1-day return: -3.56% · Beta (60d): -0.72 · Sector return (1d): -0.20% · Sector return: -0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.71% |
| 2026-07-01 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.321 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.16% · 1-day return: -0.16% · Beta (60d): -0.43 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.18% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.08% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.321 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.16% · 1-day return: -0.16% · Beta (60d): -0.43 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.18% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.08% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.769 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.01% · 1-day return: -5.01% · Beta (60d): -0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.04% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.533 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.88% · 1-day return: -0.88% · Beta (60d): -0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.88% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.618 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.88% · 1-day return: -0.88% · Beta (60d): -0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.88% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.682 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.88% · 1-day return: -0.88% · Beta (60d): -0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.88% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.402 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.00% · 1-day return: -1.00% · Beta (60d): -0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.238 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.45% · 1-day return: -0.45% · Beta (60d): -0.09 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.134 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.28% · 1-day return: 0.28% · Beta (60d): -0.11 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.405 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.85% · 1-day return: -0.85% · Beta (60d): -0.09 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.930 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.28% · 1-day return: 3.28% · Beta (60d): -0.06 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |