BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
32
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftprimednew
score: 0.836confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:primed (0.223 >= 0.1)earnings_3d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.22
Days Since Earnings
3.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Analyst
[object Object]
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.769confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-14
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.9%failure_vol:weak:0.56sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.44
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.93%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.511confluence: 1days: 22as of 2026-07-21
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta -0.27 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -21.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 48 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.21
Sma Dist 200
-0.21
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
1 day
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
6 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
1 day
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 0/4 directionally right · mean -7.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-15 → 2026-07-162 bars
-2.3%dropped
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-07-01 → open18 bars
-18.2%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-16 → 2026-06-246 bars
-12.3%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
-15.4%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-0.1%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.836 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.22 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-21 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.511 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.27 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -21.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 48 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.769 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.44 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.483 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.17% · 1-day return: -1.17% · Beta (60d): -0.15 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.23% |
| 2026-07-07 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.582 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.17 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -24.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 74 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.811 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -4.67% · 1-day return: -4.67% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Sector return (1d): 0.49% · Sector return: 0.49% · Borrowed drop: -4.64% |
| 2026-07-06 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.604 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.17 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -24.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 72 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.483 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.17% · 1-day return: -1.17% · Beta (60d): -0.15 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.23% |
| 2026-07-02 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.612 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.23 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -25.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 73 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-01 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.725 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.25 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -27.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 65 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-30 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.686 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.25 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -27.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 67 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.811 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.67% · 1-day return: -4.67% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Sector return (1d): 0.49% · Sector return: 0.49% · Borrowed drop: -4.64% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.483 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.17% · 1-day return: -1.17% · Beta (60d): -0.15 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.23% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.646 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.90% · 1-day return: -1.90% · Beta (60d): -0.16 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.84% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.811 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.67% · 1-day return: -4.67% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.70% |
| 2026-06-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.811 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.67% · 1-day return: -4.67% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Sector return (1d): 0.49% · Sector return: 0.49% · Borrowed drop: -4.64% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.921 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.90% · 1-day return: -6.90% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.90% |
| 2026-06-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.921 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.90% · 1-day return: -6.90% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.73% · Sector return: 0.73% · Borrowed drop: -6.83% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.925 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.90% · 1-day return: -6.90% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.90% |
| 2026-06-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.925 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.90% · 1-day return: -6.90% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.73% · Sector return: 0.73% · Borrowed drop: -6.83% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.928 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.90% · 1-day return: -6.90% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.90% |
| 2026-06-19 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.928 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.90% · 1-day return: -6.90% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.73% · Sector return: 0.73% · Borrowed drop: -6.83% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.726 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.83% · 1-day return: -3.83% · Beta (60d): -0.02 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.726 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.83% · 1-day return: -3.83% · Beta (60d): -0.02 · Sector return (1d): 1.04% · Sector return: 1.04% · Borrowed drop: -3.81% |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.752 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.97% · 1-day return: -3.97% · Beta (60d): 0.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.752 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.97% · 1-day return: -3.97% · Beta (60d): 0.01 · Sector return (1d): -0.14% · Sector return: -0.14% · Borrowed drop: -3.97% |
| 2026-06-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.786 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.53% · 1-day return: -4.53% · Beta (60d): 0.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.65% · Sector return: 0.65% · Borrowed drop: -4.60% |
| 2026-06-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.703 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.76% · 1-day return: -3.76% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Sector return (1d): 1.41% · Sector return: 1.41% · Borrowed drop: -3.67% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |