ISRG
Intuitive Surgical
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
42
rows
Days on list
5
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftprimedpersisting
score: 0.461confluence: 1days: 5as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:primed (0.120 >= 0.1)earnings_8d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.12
Days Since Earnings
8.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Analyst
[object Object]
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.442confluence: 1days: 26as of 2026-07-15
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.59 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 74 >= 60 (elevated)
Fragility Legs Fired
2.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.20
Sma Dist 200
-0.20
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
5 daysripe: Loaded
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
12 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
6 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
7 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/4 directionally right · mean +3.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-21 → open5 bars
+3.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → open9 bars
-3.7%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-09 → open13 bars
+12.5%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-06-22 → 2026-07-1719 bars
+9.3%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-1.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+0.3%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → 2026-06-229 bars
+5.8%dropped
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.992 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -15.25% · 1-day return: -15.25% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): -0.44% · Sector return: -0.44% · Borrowed drop: -14.90% |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.461 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.419 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.431 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-22 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.401 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-21 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.350 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-20 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.276 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.992 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -15.25% · 1-day return: -15.25% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): -0.44% · Sector return: -0.44% · Borrowed drop: -14.90% |
| 2026-07-15 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.442 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.59 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 74 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.841 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -7.03% · 1-day return: -7.03% · Beta (60d): 0.55 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -5.95% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.574 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.25% · 1-day return: 1.25% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.54% |
| 2026-07-13 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.245 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.59 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 67 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.246 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.61 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 67 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.419 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.419 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.65 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 71 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.531 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.30 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.531 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.70 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 72 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-07 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.058 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.67 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -12.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 70 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.574 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.25% · 1-day return: 1.25% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.54% |
| 2026-07-06 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.094 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.61 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 70 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-02 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.067 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.66 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -12.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 71 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.313 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.30 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-01 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.357 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.70 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 53 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-30 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.418 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.71 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 58 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-29 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.297 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.75 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 65 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-28 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.347 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.77 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 65 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.574 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.25% · 1-day return: 1.25% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.54% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.282 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.34% · 1-day return: -0.34% · Beta (60d): 0.80 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.63% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.229 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.48% · 1-day return: -3.48% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Sector return (1d): -1.12% · Sector return: -1.12% · Borrowed drop: -2.64% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.289 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.95% · 1-day return: -0.95% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.67% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.450 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.14% · 1-day return: 1.14% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.14% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.452 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.14% · 1-day return: 1.14% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.14% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.454 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.14% · 1-day return: 1.14% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.14% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.389 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.96% · 1-day return: 0.96% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.313 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.30 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.924 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.64% · 1-day return: -3.64% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.229 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.48% · 1-day return: -3.48% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Sector return (1d): -1.12% · Sector return: -1.12% · Borrowed drop: -2.64% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.062 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.12% · 1-day return: 0.12% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.591 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.33% · 1-day return: 1.33% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.253 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.229 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.48% · 1-day return: -3.48% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Sector return (1d): -1.12% · Sector return: -1.12% · Borrowed drop: -2.64% |
| 2026-06-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.681 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |