NRG
NRG Energy
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
45
rows
Days on list
3
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.534confluence: 1days: 3as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.48 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 44 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.21
Sma Dist 200
-0.21
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.503confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.9%failure_vol:weak:0.17sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.38
Sma Dist 20
-0.02
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.90%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimedpersisting
score: 0.372confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:ret_1d -3.3%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.04pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.24×-1.0%=-0.2pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.28%
1-day return
-3.28%
Beta (60d)
0.24
Sector return (1d)
-0.98%
Sector return
-0.98%
Borrowed drop
-3.04%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
8 daysripe: Loaded
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 daysripe: Loaded
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
5 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Drift
8 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/11 directionally right · mean -0.1%
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-0.6%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-10 → open2 bars
+0.6%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-09-02 → open7 bars
-3.2%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-01 → open8 bars
+4.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-18 → 2026-08-245 bars
-6.6%dropped
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragility2026-08-10 → 2026-08-187 bars
-3.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-05 → 2026-08-062 bars
+2.7%dropped
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-07-28 → 2026-07-303 bars
-1.0%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-28 → 2026-07-303 bars
-4.4%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-17 → 2026-07-202 bars
-0.1%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-15 → 2026-07-2911 bars
+6.4%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-13 → 2026-07-228 bars
-5.5%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-02 → 2026-07-062 bars
-2.1%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+16.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-125 bars
-3.7%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.601 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: -0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.503 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.38 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.372 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.28% · 1-day return: -3.28% · Beta (60d): 0.24 · Sector return (1d): -0.98% · Sector return: -0.98% · Borrowed drop: -3.04% |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.421 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.37 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.421 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.63% · 1-day return: -3.63% · Beta (60d): 0.37 · Sector return (1d): -1.18% · Sector return: -1.18% · Borrowed drop: -3.20% |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.343 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.82% · 1-day return: -3.82% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Sector return (1d): -1.18% · Sector return: -1.18% · Borrowed drop: -2.91% |
| 2026-09-04 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.534 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.48 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 44 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-03 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.650 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.79 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -23.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 34 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-02 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.720 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.76 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -24.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 45 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.343 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.82% · 1-day return: -3.82% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Sector return (1d): -1.18% · Sector return: -1.18% · Borrowed drop: -2.91% |
| 2026-08-28 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.601 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: -0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.639 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.43% · 1-day return: -4.43% · Beta (60d): 0.62 · Sector return (1d): -0.57% · Sector return: -0.57% · Borrowed drop: -4.07% |
| 2026-08-25 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.228 | 1 | decayed | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.25 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 45 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.162 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.26 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.639 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.43% · 1-day return: -4.43% · Beta (60d): 0.62 · Sector return (1d): -0.57% · Sector return: -0.57% · Borrowed drop: -4.07% |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.816 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.73% · 1-day return: -5.73% · Beta (60d): 0.72 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -5.47% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.339 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.11% · 1-day return: -3.11% · Beta (60d): 0.64 · Sector return (1d): -0.29% · Sector return: -0.29% · Borrowed drop: -2.93% |
| 2026-08-17 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.14 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-14 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.601 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.604 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.603 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.993 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -16.81% · 1-day return: -16.81% · Beta (60d): 0.91 · Sector return (1d): -0.57% · Sector return: -0.57% · Borrowed drop: -16.30% |
| 2026-08-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.603 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.162 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.26 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-10 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.602 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-07 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.587 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.14 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.993 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -16.81% · 1-day return: -16.81% · Beta (60d): 0.91 · Sector return (1d): -0.57% · Sector return: -0.57% · Borrowed drop: -16.30% |
| 2026-07-28 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.228 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.25 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 45 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.162 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.26 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.042 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.14 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.371 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.589 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.914 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.52% · 1-day return: 1.52% · Beta (60d): 1.57 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.12% |
| 2026-07-13 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.55 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.34 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.914 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.52% · 1-day return: 1.52% · Beta (60d): 1.57 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.12% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.914 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.52% · 1-day return: 1.52% · Beta (60d): 1.57 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.12% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.713 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.19% · 1-day return: 2.19% · Beta (60d): 1.59 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.19% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.719 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.19% · 1-day return: 2.19% · Beta (60d): 1.59 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.19% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.727 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.19% · 1-day return: 2.19% · Beta (60d): 1.59 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.19% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.865 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.17% · 1-day return: 3.17% · Beta (60d): 1.58 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.013 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.02% · 1-day return: 0.02% · Beta (60d): 1.56 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.524 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.30% · 1-day return: 1.30% · Beta (60d): 1.68 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.931 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.85% · 1-day return: 3.85% · Beta (60d): 1.94 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |