VST
Vistra Corp.
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
51
rows
Days on list
6
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.144confluence: 1days: 6as of 2026-09-01
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 1.17 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -12.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 0 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.13
Sma Dist 200
-0.13
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 12as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:rvol_pctile 2.8 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
2.79
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
10 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
4 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Drift
9 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
4 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/10 directionally right · mean -0.4%
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-01 → open8 bars
+8.3%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-08-28 → open10 bars
-5.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-19 → 2026-08-202 bars
+2.3%closed
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragility2026-08-12 → open8 bars
+7.8%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-27 → 2026-07-293 bars
+4.0%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-27 → 2026-08-069 bars
-18.2%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-17 → 2026-07-202 bars
+4.9%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-14 → 2026-07-152 bars
-0.7%dropped
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-13 → 2026-07-2812 bars
-1.7%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-02 → 2026-07-062 bars
-1.6%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+7.4%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-125 bars
-0.7%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-0.0%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 2.79 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.20 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.20 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-03 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.918 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: -0.53 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.485 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.90% · 1-day return: -3.90% · Beta (60d): 1.28 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -3.44% |
| 2026-09-01 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.00 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-01 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.144 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.17 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -12.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 0 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 12.35 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-31 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.22 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 12 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-28 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.183 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.20 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 29 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-27 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.112 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.22 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 29 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.485 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.90% · 1-day return: -3.90% · Beta (60d): 1.28 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -3.44% |
| 2026-08-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.308 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.27 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.58 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-20 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.918 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.53 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-19 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.919 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.53 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.485 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.90% · 1-day return: -3.90% · Beta (60d): 1.28 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -3.44% |
| 2026-08-18 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.485 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.53 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-17 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.925 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.53 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-14 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.927 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.53 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.927 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.53 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.931 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.53 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.940 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -8.50% · 1-day return: -8.50% · Beta (60d): 1.29 · Sector return (1d): -0.57% · Sector return: -0.57% · Borrowed drop: -7.77% |
| 2026-08-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.936 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.53 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.308 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.27 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.940 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.50% · 1-day return: -8.50% · Beta (60d): 1.29 · Sector return (1d): -0.57% · Sector return: -0.57% · Borrowed drop: -7.77% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.226 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.00% · 1-day return: -4.00% · Beta (60d): 1.42 · Sector return (1d): -1.35% · Sector return: -1.35% · Borrowed drop: -2.09% |
| 2026-07-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.777 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.52% · 1-day return: -5.52% · Beta (60d): 1.34 · Sector return (1d): -0.35% · Sector return: -0.35% · Borrowed drop: -5.05% |
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.308 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.27 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.222 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.93% · 1-day return: -3.93% · Beta (60d): 1.40 · Sector return (1d): -1.33% · Sector return: -1.33% · Borrowed drop: -2.08% |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.550 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.37% · 1-day return: -3.37% · Beta (60d): 1.40 · Sector return (1d): 0.22% · Sector return: 0.22% · Borrowed drop: -3.67% |
| 2026-07-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.58 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.842 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.91% · 1-day return: -4.91% · Beta (60d): 1.71 · Sector return (1d): 0.55% · Sector return: 0.55% · Borrowed drop: -5.85% |
| 2026-07-23 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.17 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-20 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.98 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.38 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.439 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.27 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.751 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -2.58% · 1-day return: -2.58% · Beta (60d): 1.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.58% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.751 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -2.58% · 1-day return: -2.58% · Beta (60d): 1.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.58% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.751 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.58% · 1-day return: -2.58% · Beta (60d): 1.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.58% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.747 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.58% · 1-day return: -2.58% · Beta (60d): 1.56 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.52% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.990 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.58% · 1-day return: -2.58% · Beta (60d): 1.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -8.18% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.111 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.30% · 1-day return: 0.30% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.24% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.539 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.95% · 1-day return: -2.95% · Beta (60d): 1.29 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.40% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.833 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.05% · 1-day return: 3.05% · Beta (60d): 1.17 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.05% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.837 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.05% · 1-day return: 3.05% · Beta (60d): 1.17 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.05% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.843 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.05% · 1-day return: 3.05% · Beta (60d): 1.17 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.05% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |