MCD
McDonald's
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
32
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialnew
score: 0.167confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta -0.26 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 49 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.13
Sma Dist 200
-0.13
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
1 day
N3 · Failed Breakout
12 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
3 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/6 directionally right · mean -0.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-26 → open12 bars
+5.3%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-30 → 2026-08-033 bars
+0.2%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-07 → 2026-07-135 bars
+3.0%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-23 → 2026-06-242 bars
-1.0%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
-3.3%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → 2026-06-102 bars
-4.2%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+2.2%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.167 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.26 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 49 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.139 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.139 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.803 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.756 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.756 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.502 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.548 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.548 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.659 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.88% · 1-day return: -1.88% · Beta (60d): -0.03 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.89% |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.828 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.606 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.590 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Sector return (1d): -1.91% · Sector return: -1.91% · Borrowed drop: -3.02% |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.659 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.88% · 1-day return: -1.88% · Beta (60d): -0.03 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.89% |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.590 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Sector return (1d): -1.91% · Sector return: -1.91% · Borrowed drop: -3.02% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.659 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.88% · 1-day return: -1.88% · Beta (60d): -0.03 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.89% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.638 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.590 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.09% |
| 2026-06-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.590 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Sector return (1d): -1.91% · Sector return: -1.91% · Borrowed drop: -3.02% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.646 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.85% · 1-day return: -1.85% · Beta (60d): 0.02 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.85% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.655 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.85% · 1-day return: -1.85% · Beta (60d): 0.02 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.85% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.663 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.85% · 1-day return: -1.85% · Beta (60d): 0.02 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.85% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.268 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.64% · 1-day return: -0.64% · Beta (60d): 0.05 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.631 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.44% · 1-day return: -1.44% · Beta (60d): 0.05 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.273 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.63% · 1-day return: 0.63% · Beta (60d): 0.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.238 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.46% · 1-day return: 0.46% · Beta (60d): 0.03 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.008 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.01% · 1-day return: 0.01% · Beta (60d): 0.03 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.638 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |