ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
37
rows
Days on list
9
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftprimedpersisting
score: 0.963confluence: 1days: 9as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:primed (1.117 >= 0.1)earnings_9d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
1.12
Days Since Earnings
9.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Analyst
[object Object]
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.852confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:ret_1d -6.2%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -5.64pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.27×-0.4%=-0.6pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-6.21%
1-day return
-6.21%
Beta (60d)
1.27
Sector return (1d)
-0.45%
Sector return
-0.45%
Borrowed drop
-5.64%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
7 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
3 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/8 directionally right · mean +1.2% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-28 → open6 bars
+2.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-26 → open12 bars
+11.3%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-26 → open12 bars
-11.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-13 → 2026-08-173 bars
-4.9%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-033 bars
+0.1%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-21 → 2026-07-275 bars
+5.5%dropped
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-17 → 2026-07-246 bars
-3.3%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-103 bars
+2.0%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-1.7%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-2412 bars
+13.0%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-1.2%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.968 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.29 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.852 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.21% · 1-day return: -6.21% · Beta (60d): 1.27 · Sector return (1d): -0.45% · Sector return: -0.45% · Borrowed drop: -5.64% |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.677 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.66% · 1-day return: -3.66% · Beta (60d): 1.07 · Sector return (1d): -0.53% · Sector return: -0.53% · Borrowed drop: -3.10% |
| 2026-09-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.963 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 1.12 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-03 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.964 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 1.12 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-02 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.964 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 1.12 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-01 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.965 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 1.12 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.677 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.66% · 1-day return: -3.66% · Beta (60d): 1.07 · Sector return (1d): -0.53% · Sector return: -0.53% · Borrowed drop: -3.10% |
| 2026-08-31 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.677 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 1.12 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.967 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 1.12 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.968 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.29 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.968 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 1.12 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.319 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.319 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 1.10 · Sector return (1d): -0.30% · Sector return: -0.30% · Borrowed drop: -2.80% |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.515 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.09% · 1-day return: -3.09% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Sector return (1d): 0.47% · Sector return: 0.47% · Borrowed drop: -3.55% |
| 2026-08-19 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.515 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.09% · 1-day return: -3.09% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Sector return (1d): 0.47% · Sector return: 0.47% · Borrowed drop: -3.55% |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.579 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.99% · 1-day return: -4.99% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Sector return (1d): -1.14% · Sector return: -1.14% · Borrowed drop: -3.80% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.531 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.26% · 1-day return: -3.26% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Sector return (1d): 0.35% · Sector return: 0.35% · Borrowed drop: -3.56% |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.531 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.26% · 1-day return: -3.26% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Sector return (1d): 0.35% · Sector return: 0.35% · Borrowed drop: -3.56% |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.047 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.51% · 1-day return: -5.51% · Beta (60d): 1.06 · Sector return (1d): -4.72% · Sector return: -4.72% · Borrowed drop: -0.51% |
| 2026-07-22 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-17 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.459 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 2.39% · 1-day return: 2.39% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.13% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.459 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 2.39% · 1-day return: 2.39% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.13% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.459 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.39% · 1-day return: 2.39% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.13% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.346 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.17% · 1-day return: -2.17% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.80% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.418 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.35% · 1-day return: -1.35% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.02% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.821 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.94% · 1-day return: 2.94% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.94% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.826 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.94% · 1-day return: 2.94% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.94% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.833 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.94% · 1-day return: 2.94% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.94% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.882 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.40% · 1-day return: 3.40% · Beta (60d): 0.97 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.648 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.01% · 1-day return: -5.01% · Beta (60d): 0.93 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |