PAG
Penske Automotive Group
Screener candidate detail · 4 active archetypes
Active
4
archetypes
History
41
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialnew
score: 0.355confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passtwin:ANcorrelation:0.76spread_z:-2.24laggard:cheap_laggard → long_recovery
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
AN
Pair Correlation
0.76
Pair Spread Z
-2.24
Pair Direction
long_recovery
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.355confluence: 2days: 55as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:short_pct 14.5% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 8.93 (extreme)ret_20d +16.9% (holding)dist_52w_low +54.7% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
14.45
Days To Cover
8.93
Ret 20d
0.17
Dist 52w Low
0.55
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N3 · Failed Breakoutpartialpersisting
score: 0.355confluence: 2days: 46as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:52w_highfailure_bar:-0.8%failure_vol:weak:0.94failure:unconfirmed
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
52w_high
Dist 52w High
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
0.11
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
No
1-day return
-0.76%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.448confluence: 1days: 19as of 2026-07-06
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-3.5%rsi_divergence:53momentum_rollover:-2.7%rel_vol:0.07sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.04
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
52.91
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
-0.00
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.03
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recoveryactive
1 day
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
5 daysripe: Loaded
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
5 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/3 directionally right · mean -1.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-21 → open5 bars
+11.4%open · MTM
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-06-18 → 2026-07-0813 bars
-5.6%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-18 → 2026-06-222 bars
+1.9%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-0.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-15 → open29 bars
-20.3%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open36 bars
+26.6%open · MTM
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.355 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.381 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.60% · 1-day return: -3.60% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -3.03% |
| 2026-07-27 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.355 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: AN · Pair Correlation: 0.76 · Pair Spread Z: -2.24 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.355 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.45 · Days To Cover: 8.93 · Ret 20d: 0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.55 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.363 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.45 · Days To Cover: 8.93 · Ret 20d: 0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.56 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.371 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.12 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.367 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.19 · Days To Cover: 7.65 · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.55 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-22 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.371 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.19 · Days To Cover: 7.65 · Ret 20d: 0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.54 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.377 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.19 · Days To Cover: 7.65 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.40 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.381 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.60% · 1-day return: -3.60% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -3.03% |
| 2026-07-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.381 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.19 · Days To Cover: 7.65 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.40 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.09 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.19 · Days To Cover: 7.65 · Ret 20d: 0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.45 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.395 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.19 · Days To Cover: 7.65 · Ret 20d: 0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.47 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-15 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.371 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.19 · Days To Cover: 7.65 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.44 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.380 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.376 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 14.19 · Days To Cover: 7.65 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.39 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.380 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.444 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.89% · 1-day return: -0.89% · Beta (60d): 0.80 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.89% |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.408 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.448 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.91 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.444 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.89% · 1-day return: -0.89% · Beta (60d): 0.80 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.89% |
| 2026-07-02 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.465 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 49.93 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-01 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.465 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.10 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.738 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -5.36% · 1-day return: -5.36% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Sector return (1d): -2.54% · Sector return: -2.54% · Borrowed drop: -3.63% |
| 2026-06-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.481 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.516 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.444 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.444 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.89% · 1-day return: -0.89% · Beta (60d): 0.80 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.89% |
| 2026-06-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.463 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.463 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.89% · 1-day return: -0.89% · Beta (60d): 0.80 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.86% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.730 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.89% · 1-day return: -0.89% · Beta (60d): 0.80 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.76% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.738 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.36% · 1-day return: -5.36% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Sector return (1d): -2.54% · Sector return: -2.54% · Borrowed drop: -3.63% |
| 2026-06-22 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.643 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.96 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.748 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.23% · 1-day return: 2.23% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.23% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.800 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.23% · 1-day return: 2.23% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.23% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.868 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.23% · 1-day return: 2.23% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.23% |
| 2026-06-18 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.797 | 2 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.58 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.797 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.90% · 1-day return: 1.90% · Beta (60d): 0.69 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.738 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.36% · 1-day return: -5.36% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.738 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -5.36% · 1-day return: -5.36% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Sector return (1d): -2.54% · Sector return: -2.54% · Borrowed drop: -3.63% |