PAG
Penske Automotive Group
Screener candidate detail · 4 active archetypes
Active
4
archetypes
History
60
rows
Days on list
101
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
9 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.208confluence: 1days: 101as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 11.2% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 6.48 (extreme)ret_20d +0.0% (holding)dist_52w_low +56.9% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
11.16
Days To Cover
6.48
Ret 20d
0.00
Dist 52w Low
0.57
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.208confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-2.1%rsi_divergence:55momentum_rollover:-1.1%rel_vol:0.10sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.02
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
54.75
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.00
Sma Dist 20
-0.00
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.01
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 23as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.3%failure_vol:strong:1.63sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.02
Sma Dist 20
-0.00
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.33%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 23as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:rvol_pctile 3.2 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
3.19
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
7 daysripe: Loaded
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
8 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
9 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
8 days
N5 · Revision Collapse
3 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
2 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/8 directionally right · mean -2.3% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-20 → open16 bars
-0.3%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-08-19 → open17 bars
-0.2%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-18 → open18 bars
+0.6%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-31 → 2026-08-118 bars
-4.7%closed
N5 · Revision Collapseshort fragility2026-07-31 → 2026-08-043 bars
+3.8%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-28 → 2026-08-057 bars
-2.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-21 → 2026-07-222 bars
+10.1%closed
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-06-18 → 2026-07-0813 bars
-5.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-18 → 2026-06-222 bars
+1.9%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-0.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-15 → 2026-08-0334 bars
-20.5%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
+24.0%open · MTM
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.208 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.75 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.208 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.16 · Days To Cover: 6.48 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.000 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.28 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.16 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.56 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.19 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.16 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.58 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 2.79 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.16 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.59 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.307 | 2 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.237 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.16 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.59 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.16 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.59 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.00 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.16 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.511 | 2 | decayed | Pair Twin: AN · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: 2.36 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.16 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.448 | 1 | exited | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.91 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.16 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.56 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.40 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.473 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.473 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.16 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | N5 · Revision Collapse | partial | 0.316 | 2 | decayed | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -2.33% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: No · Sma Downtrend: No · Ret Downtrend: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.00 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.173 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.307 | 2 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.99 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-19 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.99 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.511 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.511 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: AN · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: 2.36 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.514 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.390 | 3 | decayed | Pair Twin: AN · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: -2.43 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.645 | 3 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.10 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.307 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.306 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.309 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.313 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-03 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.448 | 1 | decayed | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.91 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.381 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.60% · 1-day return: -3.60% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -3.03% |
| 2026-08-03 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.390 | 3 | persisting | Pair Twin: AN · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: -2.43 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-03 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.314 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-31 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.316 | 2 | persisting | Pair Twin: AN · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: 5.00 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-31 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.316 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-31 | N5 · Revision Collapse | partial | 0.316 | 2 | persisting | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -2.33% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: No · Sma Downtrend: No · Ret Downtrend: No |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.645 | 3 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.10 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.645 | 3 | persisting | Pair Twin: AN · Pair Correlation: 0.75 · Pair Spread Z: 4.40 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.645 | 3 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-30 | N5 · Revision Collapse | partial | 0.645 | 3 | new | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -2.33% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: No · Sma Downtrend: No · Ret Downtrend: No |
| 2026-07-29 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.350 | 2 | persisting | Pair Twin: AN · Pair Correlation: 0.75 · Pair Spread Z: -2.24 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.355 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.381 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.60% · 1-day return: -3.60% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -3.03% |
| 2026-07-27 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.355 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: AN · Pair Correlation: 0.76 · Pair Spread Z: -2.24 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.371 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.12 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.381 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.60% · 1-day return: -3.60% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -3.03% |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.09 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.444 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.89% · 1-day return: -0.89% · Beta (60d): 0.80 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.89% |
| 2026-07-06 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.448 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.91 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.444 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.89% · 1-day return: -0.89% · Beta (60d): 0.80 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.89% |
| 2026-07-02 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.465 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 49.93 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-01 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.465 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.10 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |