IP
International Paper
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
53
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.705confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -5.2%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.32pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.82×-1.1%=-0.9pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-5.20%
1-day return
-5.20%
Beta (60d)
0.82
Sector return (1d)
-1.06%
Sector return
-1.06%
Borrowed drop
-4.32%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 6as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:rvol_pctile 18.7 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
18.73
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 101as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 8.5% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 12.84 (extreme)ret_20d -16.5% (falling)dist_52w_low +20.4% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
8.51
Days To Cover
12.84
Ret 20d
-0.16
Dist 52w Low
0.20
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
3 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
7 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
5 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/9 directionally right · mean -1.6% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-1.7%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-04 → open5 bars
-6.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-28 → open10 bars
-13.7%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-14 → open20 bars
+13.9%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-03 → 2026-08-117 bars
-3.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-108 bars
-10.4%closed
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-29 → 2026-07-313 bars
-1.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-24 → 2026-07-272 bars
-13.2%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-21 → 2026-07-222 bars
-0.5%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
+0.6%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-08 → 2026-07-103 bars
-1.2%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+3.4%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+11.0%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
-0.2%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.51 · Days To Cover: 12.84 · Ret 20d: -0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.20 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.356 | 0 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.76 · Days To Cover: 11.86 · Ret 20d: -0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.20 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.705 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.20% · 1-day return: -5.20% · Beta (60d): 0.82 · Sector return (1d): -1.06% · Sector return: -1.06% · Borrowed drop: -4.32% |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.705 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.76 · Days To Cover: 11.86 · Ret 20d: -0.18 · Dist 52w Low: 0.21 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.279 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.95% · 1-day return: -3.95% · Beta (60d): 1.19 · Sector return (1d): -1.18% · Sector return: -1.18% · Borrowed drop: -2.54% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.76 · Days To Cover: 11.86 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.27 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.635 | 2 | exited | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.76 · Days To Cover: 11.86 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.76 · Days To Cover: 11.86 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.27 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.76 · Days To Cover: 11.86 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.27 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.279 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.95% · 1-day return: -3.95% · Beta (60d): 1.19 · Sector return (1d): -1.18% · Sector return: -1.18% · Borrowed drop: -2.54% |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.279 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.76 · Days To Cover: 11.86 · Ret 20d: -0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.27 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.603 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.01% · 1-day return: -5.01% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Sector return (1d): -1.02% · Sector return: -1.02% · Borrowed drop: -3.87% |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.603 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.76 · Days To Cover: 11.86 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.33 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.76 · Days To Cover: 11.86 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.37 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.356 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.317 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.72% · 1-day return: -3.72% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Sector return (1d): -0.82% · Sector return: -0.82% · Borrowed drop: -2.79% |
| 2026-08-26 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.345 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: SW · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: 2.09 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.283 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.729 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.635 | 2 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.544 | 3 | exited | 1-day return: -4.16% · 1-day return: -4.16% · Beta (60d): 1.30 · Sector return (1d): -0.90% · Sector return: -0.90% · Borrowed drop: -2.99% |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.301 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.544 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.16% · 1-day return: -4.16% · Beta (60d): 1.30 · Sector return (1d): -0.90% · Sector return: -0.90% · Borrowed drop: -2.99% |
| 2026-08-12 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.345 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: SW · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: 2.09 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.635 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.367 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.544 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.16% · 1-day return: -4.16% · Beta (60d): 1.30 · Sector return (1d): -0.90% · Sector return: -0.90% · Borrowed drop: -2.99% |
| 2026-08-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.544 | 3 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.636 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.640 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-03 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.641 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.511 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.53% · 1-day return: -5.53% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Sector return (1d): -2.37% · Sector return: -2.37% · Borrowed drop: -2.25% |
| 2026-07-31 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.511 | 3 | new | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.250 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.34% · 1-day return: -3.34% · Beta (60d): 1.58 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -1.53% |
| 2026-07-29 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.345 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: SW · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: 2.09 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.367 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.317 | 2 | decayed | Pair Twin: SW · Pair Correlation: 0.77 · Pair Spread Z: 2.15 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.405 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.67% · 1-day return: -0.67% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.67% |
| 2026-07-08 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.317 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: SW · Pair Correlation: 0.77 · Pair Spread Z: 2.15 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.405 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.67% · 1-day return: -0.67% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.67% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.405 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.67% · 1-day return: -0.67% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.67% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.417 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.67% · 1-day return: -0.67% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.62% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.764 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.67% · 1-day return: -0.67% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.62% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.706 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.81% · 1-day return: 1.81% · Beta (60d): 1.29 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.81% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.758 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.81% · 1-day return: 1.81% · Beta (60d): 1.29 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.81% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.826 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.81% · 1-day return: 1.81% · Beta (60d): 1.29 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.81% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.919 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.93% · 1-day return: 3.93% · Beta (60d): 1.30 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.015 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.03% · 1-day return: 0.03% · Beta (60d): 1.26 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |