CAR
Avis Budget Group
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
48
rows
Days on list
3
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimedpersisting
score: 0.719confluence: 1days: 3as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:ret_1d -4.5%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.42pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.16×-0.7%=-0.1pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.54%
1-day return
-4.54%
Beta (60d)
0.16
Sector return (1d)
-0.72%
Sector return
-0.72%
Borrowed drop
-4.42%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 101as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 32.8% (extreme)days_to_cover 14.87 (extreme)ret_20d -6.9% (falling)dist_52w_low +45.8% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
32.84
Days To Cover
14.87
Ret 20d
-0.07
Dist 52w Low
0.46
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
Yes
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
15 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
15 daysripe: Loaded
N3 · Failed Breakout
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
14 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 0/4 directionally right · mean -12.6% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-4.8%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-28 → open10 bars
-7.7%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-24 → 2026-08-048 bars
-16.7%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-21 → 2026-07-275 bars
-1.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-25 → 2026-07-089 bars
-14.3%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-17.8%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
-28.8%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 32.84 · Days To Cover: 14.87 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.46 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.719 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.54% · 1-day return: -4.54% · Beta (60d): 0.16 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -4.42% |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.719 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.22 · Days To Cover: 15.80 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.45 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.22 · Days To Cover: 15.80 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.51 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.531 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.59% · 1-day return: -3.59% · Beta (60d): 0.17 · Sector return (1d): -0.49% · Sector return: -0.49% · Borrowed drop: -3.50% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.531 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.22 · Days To Cover: 15.80 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.53 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.237 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.22 · Days To Cover: 15.80 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.58 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.22 · Days To Cover: 15.80 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.58 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.22 · Days To Cover: 15.80 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.753 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.71% · 1-day return: -4.71% · Beta (60d): 0.01 · Sector return (1d): -1.38% · Sector return: -1.38% · Borrowed drop: -4.70% |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.753 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.22 · Days To Cover: 15.80 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.60 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.22 · Days To Cover: 15.80 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.68 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.22 · Days To Cover: 15.80 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.58 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.417 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.18% · 1-day return: -3.18% · Beta (60d): -0.02 · Sector return (1d): -0.86% · Sector return: -0.86% · Borrowed drop: -3.20% |
| 2026-08-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.417 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.22 · Days To Cover: 15.80 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.59 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.22 · Days To Cover: 15.80 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.64 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.87 · Days To Cover: 9.08 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.66 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.87 · Days To Cover: 9.08 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.67 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.87 · Days To Cover: 9.08 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.67 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.232 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.78 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.488 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -10.07% · 1-day return: -10.07% · Beta (60d): 0.03 · Sector return (1d): 0.81% · Sector return: 0.81% · Borrowed drop: -10.10% |
| 2026-08-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.488 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -10.07% · 1-day return: -10.07% · Beta (60d): 0.03 · Sector return (1d): 0.81% · Sector return: 0.81% · Borrowed drop: -10.10% |
| 2026-08-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.232 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.78 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.488 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -10.07% · 1-day return: -10.07% · Beta (60d): 0.03 · Sector return (1d): 0.81% · Sector return: 0.81% · Borrowed drop: -10.10% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.610 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.15% · 1-day return: -7.15% · Beta (60d): 0.26 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -6.31% |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.232 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.78 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.232 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.29% · 1-day return: -3.29% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Sector return (1d): 1.71% · Sector return: 1.71% · Borrowed drop: -3.36% |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.78 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.205 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Sector return (1d): 0.89% · Sector return: 0.89% · Borrowed drop: -3.24% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.649 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 0.78% · 1-day return: 0.78% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.28% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.205 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Sector return (1d): 0.89% · Sector return: 0.89% · Borrowed drop: -3.24% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.649 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.78% · 1-day return: 0.78% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.28% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.205 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Sector return (1d): 0.89% · Sector return: 0.89% · Borrowed drop: -3.24% |
| 2026-06-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.384 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.85% · 1-day return: -4.85% · Beta (60d): 0.38 · Sector return (1d): 1.34% · Sector return: 1.34% · Borrowed drop: -5.37% |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.453 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.03% · 1-day return: -7.03% · Beta (60d): 0.41 · Sector return (1d): 0.86% · Sector return: 0.86% · Borrowed drop: -7.39% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.649 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.78% · 1-day return: 0.78% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.28% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.743 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.23% · 1-day return: -3.23% · Beta (60d): 1.11 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.81% |
| 2026-06-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.743 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.23% · 1-day return: -3.23% · Beta (60d): 1.11 · Sector return (1d): 2.92% · Sector return: 2.92% · Borrowed drop: -6.47% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.842 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.30% · 1-day return: -8.30% · Beta (60d): 1.22 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -8.74% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.524 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.15% · 1-day return: -1.15% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.99% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.845 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.09% · 1-day return: 4.09% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.09% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.896 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.09% · 1-day return: 4.09% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.09% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.925 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.09% · 1-day return: 4.09% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.09% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.644 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.76% · 1-day return: 1.76% · Beta (60d): 0.46 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.845 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.52% · 1-day return: -2.52% · Beta (60d): 0.37 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.796 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.44% · 1-day return: -2.44% · Beta (60d): 0.38 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.666 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.56% · 1-day return: 1.56% · Beta (60d): 0.36 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.603 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.32% · 1-day return: -1.32% · Beta (60d): 0.37 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |