CAR
Avis Budget Group
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
39
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.232confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:ret_1d -3.3%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.36pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.04×+1.7%=+0.1pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.29%
1-day return
-3.29%
Beta (60d)
0.04
Sector return (1d)
1.71%
Sector return
1.71%
Borrowed drop
-3.36%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.232confluence: 2days: 4as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-3.3%failure_vol:weak:0.31sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.78
Sma Dist 20
0.00
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-3.29%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.353confluence: 1days: 55as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:short_pct 37.0% (extreme)days_to_cover 11.26 (extreme)ret_20d -1.7% (holding)dist_52w_low +86.7% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
37.01
Days To Cover
11.26
Ret 20d
-0.02
Dist 52w Low
0.87
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
Yes
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
15 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
8 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
14 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 0/2 directionally right · mean -16.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-24 → open2 bars
+2.7%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-21 → open5 bars
-3.8%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-25 → 2026-07-089 bars
-14.3%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-17.8%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open36 bars
-4.9%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.353 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.01 · Days To Cover: 11.26 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.87 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.363 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 37.01 · Days To Cover: 11.26 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.82 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.232 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.78 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.232 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.29% · 1-day return: -3.29% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Sector return (1d): 1.71% · Sector return: 1.71% · Borrowed drop: -3.36% |
| 2026-07-23 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.232 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 35.75 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.81 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 35.75 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.87 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 35.75 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.85 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.78 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.205 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Sector return (1d): 0.89% · Sector return: 0.89% · Borrowed drop: -3.24% |
| 2026-07-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 35.75 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.82 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 35.75 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.83 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 35.75 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.78 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 35.75 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.83 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 35.75 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.82 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.649 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 0.78% · 1-day return: 0.78% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.28% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.205 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Sector return (1d): 0.89% · Sector return: 0.89% · Borrowed drop: -3.24% |
| 2026-07-13 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 35.75 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 0.78 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 40.85 · Days To Cover: 8.82 · Ret 20d: -0.18 · Dist 52w Low: 0.78 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 40.85 · Days To Cover: 8.82 · Ret 20d: -0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.82 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 40.85 · Days To Cover: 8.82 · Ret 20d: -0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.75 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 40.85 · Days To Cover: 8.82 · Ret 20d: -0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.77 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.649 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.78% · 1-day return: 0.78% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.28% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.205 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Sector return (1d): 0.89% · Sector return: 0.89% · Borrowed drop: -3.24% |
| 2026-06-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.384 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.85% · 1-day return: -4.85% · Beta (60d): 0.38 · Sector return (1d): 1.34% · Sector return: 1.34% · Borrowed drop: -5.37% |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.453 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.03% · 1-day return: -7.03% · Beta (60d): 0.41 · Sector return (1d): 0.86% · Sector return: 0.86% · Borrowed drop: -7.39% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.649 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.78% · 1-day return: 0.78% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.28% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.743 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.23% · 1-day return: -3.23% · Beta (60d): 1.11 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.81% |
| 2026-06-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.743 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.23% · 1-day return: -3.23% · Beta (60d): 1.11 · Sector return (1d): 2.92% · Sector return: 2.92% · Borrowed drop: -6.47% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.842 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.30% · 1-day return: -8.30% · Beta (60d): 1.22 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -8.74% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.842 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.30% · 1-day return: -8.30% · Beta (60d): 1.22 · Sector return (1d): 1.15% · Sector return: 1.15% · Borrowed drop: -9.70% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.524 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.15% · 1-day return: -1.15% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.99% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.845 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.09% · 1-day return: 4.09% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.09% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.896 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.09% · 1-day return: 4.09% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.09% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.925 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.09% · 1-day return: 4.09% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.09% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.644 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.76% · 1-day return: 1.76% · Beta (60d): 0.46 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.845 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.52% · 1-day return: -2.52% · Beta (60d): 0.37 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.796 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.44% · 1-day return: -2.44% · Beta (60d): 0.38 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.666 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.56% · 1-day return: 1.56% · Beta (60d): 0.36 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.603 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.32% · 1-day return: -1.32% · Beta (60d): 0.37 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |