USB
U.S. Bancorp
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
32
rows
Days on list
11
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.514confluence: 1days: 11as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:52w_highfailure_bar:-0.8%failure_vol:weak:0.47sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
52w_high
Dist 52w High
-0.02
Sma Dist 20
0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.75%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftpartialpersisting
score: 0.097confluence: 1days: 3as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:partial (0.047 in [0.03,0.1))earnings_8d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.05
Days Since Earnings
8.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
3 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/4 directionally right · mean +1.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-23 → open3 bars
-0.5%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-20 → open6 bars
+0.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
+1.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-24 → 2026-07-079 bars
-4.1%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+2.7%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+5.5%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.514 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.097 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.096 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.319 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.05% · 1-day return: -3.05% · Beta (60d): 0.18 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.71% |
| 2026-07-22 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.077 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.084 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.856 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.310 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.35 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.319 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.05% · 1-day return: -3.05% · Beta (60d): 0.18 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.71% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.218 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.49% · 1-day return: -0.49% · Beta (60d): 0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.49% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.319 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.05% · 1-day return: -3.05% · Beta (60d): 0.18 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.71% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.218 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.49% · 1-day return: -0.49% · Beta (60d): 0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.49% |
| 2026-07-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.310 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.828 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.218 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.218 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.49% · 1-day return: -0.49% · Beta (60d): 0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.49% |
| 2026-06-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.214 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.214 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.49% · 1-day return: -0.49% · Beta (60d): 0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.48% |
| 2026-06-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.590 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.590 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.49% · 1-day return: -0.49% · Beta (60d): 0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.60% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.35 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.113 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.025 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.10% · 1-day return: 0.10% · Beta (60d): 0.41 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.05% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.177 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.40% · 1-day return: 0.40% · Beta (60d): 0.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.40% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.176 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.40% · 1-day return: 0.40% · Beta (60d): 0.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.40% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.175 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.40% · 1-day return: 0.40% · Beta (60d): 0.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.40% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.201 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.47% · 1-day return: 0.47% · Beta (60d): 0.54 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.698 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.68% · 1-day return: -1.68% · Beta (60d): 0.52 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.699 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.89% · 1-day return: 1.89% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.35 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |