NOW
ServiceNow
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
34
rows
Days on list
16
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialpersisting
score: 0.438confluence: 1days: 16as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:ret_1d -3.8%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.27pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.48×-1.0%=-0.5pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.76%
1-day return
-3.76%
Beta (60d)
0.48
Sector return (1d)
-1.01%
Sector return
-1.01%
Borrowed drop
-3.27%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftpartialpersisting
score: 0.101confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:partial (0.047 in [0.03,0.1))earnings_5d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.05
Days Since Earnings
5.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
2 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
15 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
13 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 0/3 directionally right · mean -11.7% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-08 → open14 bars
-1.4%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
-2.4%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-6.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-03 → 2026-06-2213 bars
-26.2%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.101 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.097 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.438 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.76% · 1-day return: -3.76% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Sector return (1d): -1.01% · Sector return: -1.01% · Borrowed drop: -3.27% |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.894 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.69% · 1-day return: -6.69% · Beta (60d): 0.38 · Sector return (1d): -0.28% · Sector return: -0.28% · Borrowed drop: -6.58% |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.523 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.99% · 1-day return: -4.99% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): -1.76% · Sector return: -1.76% · Borrowed drop: -3.61% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.31 · Dist 52w Low: 0.46 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.898 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.93% · 1-day return: -5.93% · Beta (60d): 0.72 · Sector return (1d): 1.28% · Sector return: 1.28% · Borrowed drop: -6.86% |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.660 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -2.20% · 1-day return: -2.20% · Beta (60d): 0.81 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.90% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.550 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.78% · 1-day return: -3.78% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Sector return (1d): -0.01% · Sector return: -0.01% · Borrowed drop: -3.77% |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.660 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -2.20% · 1-day return: -2.20% · Beta (60d): 0.81 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.90% |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.877 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -5.95% · 1-day return: -5.95% · Beta (60d): 0.92 · Sector return (1d): -0.34% · Sector return: -0.34% · Borrowed drop: -5.63% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.660 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.20% · 1-day return: -2.20% · Beta (60d): 0.81 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.90% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.31 · Dist 52w Low: 0.46 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.767 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.26% · 1-day return: -2.26% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.52% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.877 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.95% · 1-day return: -5.95% · Beta (60d): 0.92 · Sector return (1d): -0.34% · Sector return: -0.34% · Borrowed drop: -5.63% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.655 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.16% · 1-day return: -2.16% · Beta (60d): 0.88 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.87% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.203 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.46% · 1-day return: -0.46% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.46% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.202 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.46% · 1-day return: -0.46% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.46% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.202 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.46% · 1-day return: -0.46% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.46% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.228 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.54% · 1-day return: -0.54% · Beta (60d): 0.87 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.877 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.95% · 1-day return: -5.95% · Beta (60d): 0.92 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.877 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.95% · 1-day return: -5.95% · Beta (60d): 0.92 · Sector return (1d): -0.34% · Sector return: -0.34% · Borrowed drop: -5.63% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.829 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.74% · 1-day return: -2.74% · Beta (60d): 0.80 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.620 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.53% · 1-day return: -6.53% · Beta (60d): 0.97 · Sector return (1d): -1.87% · Sector return: -1.87% · Borrowed drop: -4.71% |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.749 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.94% · 1-day return: 1.94% · Beta (60d): 0.80 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.417 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.91% · 1-day return: -0.91% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.620 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.53% · 1-day return: -6.53% · Beta (60d): 0.97 · Sector return (1d): -1.87% · Sector return: -1.87% · Borrowed drop: -4.71% |
| 2026-06-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.027 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.96% · 1-day return: -5.96% · Beta (60d): 0.92 · Sector return (1d): -6.89% · Sector return: -6.89% · Borrowed drop: 0.38% |
| 2026-06-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.004 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.96% · 1-day return: -5.96% · Beta (60d): 0.92 · Sector return (1d): -6.89% · Sector return: -6.89% · Borrowed drop: 0.38% |
| 2026-06-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.466 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.95% · 1-day return: -7.95% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Sector return (1d): -1.00% · Sector return: -1.00% · Borrowed drop: -7.20% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.31 · Dist 52w Low: 0.46 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.465 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.95% · 1-day return: -7.95% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Sector return (1d): -1.00% · Sector return: -1.00% · Borrowed drop: -7.20% |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.465 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.25 · Dist 52w Low: 0.42 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.851 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.23% · 1-day return: -6.23% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |