PGR
Progressive Corporation
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
22
rows
Days on list
8
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
○S2 deep set
not deep-enriched
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimedpersisting
score: 0.348confluence: 1days: 8as of 2026-07-21
Triggers:ret_1d -3.0%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -2.88pp (unexplained)sector_explained -1.17×+0.1%=-0.1pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.03%
1-day return
-3.03%
Beta (60d)
-1.17
Sector return (1d)
0.12%
Sector return
0.12%
Borrowed drop
-2.88%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
3 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
3 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
2 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/3 directionally right · mean +4.3% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → open9 bars
+5.8%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-09 → open13 bars
+5.3%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-06-30 → 2026-07-012 bars
+0.4%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-236 bars
+7.5%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+5.0%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.492 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: ALL · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: -2.32 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.576 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.348 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.03% · 1-day return: -3.03% · Beta (60d): -1.17 · Sector return (1d): 0.12% · Sector return: 0.12% · Borrowed drop: -2.88% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.965 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -9.90% · 1-day return: -9.90% · Beta (60d): -1.19 · Sector return (1d): 0.67% · Sector return: 0.67% · Borrowed drop: -9.10% |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.418 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.43% · 1-day return: -3.43% · Beta (60d): -1.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.20% · Sector return: 0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.21% |
| 2026-07-13 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.492 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: ALL · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: -2.32 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.576 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.095 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 0.22% · 1-day return: 0.22% · Beta (60d): -0.44 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.22% |
| 2026-06-29 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.492 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: ALL · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: -2.32 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.095 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.22% · 1-day return: 0.22% · Beta (60d): -0.44 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.22% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.095 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.22% · 1-day return: 0.22% · Beta (60d): -0.44 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.22% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.095 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.22% · 1-day return: 0.22% · Beta (60d): -0.44 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.22% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.096 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.22% · 1-day return: 0.22% · Beta (60d): -0.44 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.22% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.229 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.54% · 1-day return: -0.54% · Beta (60d): -0.45 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.063 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.12% · 1-day return: -0.12% · Beta (60d): -0.45 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.251 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.57% · 1-day return: 0.57% · Beta (60d): -0.47 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.113 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.19% · 1-day return: 0.19% · Beta (60d): -0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.200 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.42% · 1-day return: 0.42% · Beta (60d): -0.52 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |