LVS
Las Vegas Sands
Screener candidate detail · 5 active archetypes
Active
5
archetypes
History
46
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
8 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N5 · Revision Collapseprimednew
score: 0.434confluence: 3days: 1as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:analyst_cluster:cluster_downpt_revision_down:-833.3%downtrend:sma_dist_200 -13.9%
Dislocation:
Analyst Cluster State
cluster_down
Pt Change 30d Pct
-8.33%
Negative Pt Trail
Yes
Downtrend Confirmed
Yes
Sma Downtrend
Yes
Ret Downtrend
No
Sma Dist 200
-0.14
Ret 20d
0.01
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.434confluence: 3days: 27as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.06 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 24 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.14
Sma Dist 200
-0.14
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftprimedpersisting
score: 0.434confluence: 3days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_miss:primed (-0.213 <= -0.1)earnings_5d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
-0.21
Days Since Earnings
5.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
-0.10
Partial Floor
-0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_miss_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125 (shared PEAD evidence; miss tail: −1.42%/−1.62% at 5d/10d). DISTINCT FROM A1 short-side equivalent — N6 fires on the MISS regardless of whether price gapped (continuation, not reversal). CONTEXT — never advice.
Analyst
[object Object]
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.433confluence: 3days: 4as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.2%failure_vol:weak:0.07sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.33
Sma Dist 20
-0.00
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.24%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.582confluence: 2days: 24as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:rvol_pctile 7.2 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
7.17
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
No
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N5 · Revision Collapseshort fragilityactive
1 day
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
10 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragilityactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
6 daysripe: Loaded
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
10 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
3 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/4 directionally right · mean -1.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-22 → open4 bars
-5.4%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-02 → open17 bars
+4.0%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-07-02 → open17 bars
-4.0%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-7.9%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-10 → 2026-06-123 bars
+3.3%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+0.0%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-03 → 2026-06-042 bars
+0.1%closed
2 episodes could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and are omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.434 | 3 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.21 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-27 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.434 | 3 | new | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -8.33% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: No |
| 2026-07-27 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.434 | 3 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.06 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 24 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.433 | 3 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.33 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.582 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.21 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.582 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.17 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-24 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.582 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.07 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 7 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-23 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.300 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.07 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 22 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.544 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.34 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.544 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.15 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 11 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.511 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.34 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.511 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.18 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 10 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-20 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.322 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.29 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 19 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-17 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.92 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-17 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.27 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 20 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.29 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.339 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.25 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 23 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-15 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.36 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-15 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.29 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -19.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 10 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-14 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.421 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.34 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -19.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 15 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.094 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.80% · 1-day return: 1.80% · Beta (60d): 0.55 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.20% |
| 2026-07-13 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.57 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.17 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.17 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.156 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.26 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.16 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-07 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.094 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.80% · 1-day return: 1.80% · Beta (60d): 0.55 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.20% |
| 2026-07-06 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.54 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-02 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.14 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.094 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.80% · 1-day return: 1.80% · Beta (60d): 0.55 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.20% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.296 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.95% · 1-day return: -0.95% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.67% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.29 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.156 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.26 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.126 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.00% · 1-day return: 0.00% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.27% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.595 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.91% · 1-day return: -1.91% · Beta (60d): 0.84 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.63% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.474 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.22% · 1-day return: 1.22% · Beta (60d): 0.82 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.22% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.476 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.22% · 1-day return: 1.22% · Beta (60d): 0.82 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.22% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.478 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.22% · 1-day return: 1.22% · Beta (60d): 0.82 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.22% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.279 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.66% · 1-day return: 0.66% · Beta (60d): 0.82 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.340 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.94% · 1-day return: -3.94% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |
| 2026-06-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.156 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.26 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.340 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.94% · 1-day return: -3.94% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.29 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.29 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.340 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.94% · 1-day return: -3.94% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |