AGCO
AGCO
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
49
rows
Days on list
13
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
P1 · Pair Divergenceprimedpersisting
score: 0.811confluence: 1days: 13as of 2026-09-02
Triggers:quality:passtwin:CNHcorrelation:0.76spread_z:-3.23laggard:cheap_laggard → long_recovery
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
CNH
Pair Correlation
0.76
Pair Spread Z
-3.23
Pair Direction
long_recovery
Pair State
primed
Gate pass
Yes
Analyst
[object Object]
Quality
[object Object]
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialpersisting
score: 0.572confluence: 1days: 3as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:ret_1d -4.0%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.69pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.39×-0.7%=-0.3pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.98%
1-day return
-3.98%
Beta (60d)
0.39
Sector return (1d)
-0.72%
Sector return
-0.72%
Borrowed drop
-3.69%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 daysripe: Confirmed
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recoveryactive
5 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Drift
8 days
N5 · Revision Collapse
2 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 7/10 directionally right · mean +0.2%
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-2.5%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-08-24 → open14 bars
+15.9%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-21 → open15 bars
-17.1%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-08-04 → 2026-08-052 bars
+1.2%dropped
N5 · Revision Collapseshort fragility2026-08-03 → 2026-08-053 bars
-1.3%dropped
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragility2026-08-03 → 2026-08-117 bars
+4.4%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-077 bars
-12.0%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-14 → 2026-07-216 bars
+0.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-092 bars
+1.5%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+5.4%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+1.7%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → 2026-06-2512 bars
+1.4%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-0.4%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.572 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.98% · 1-day return: -3.98% · Beta (60d): 0.39 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -3.69% |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.742 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.67% · 1-day return: -4.67% · Beta (60d): 0.29 · Sector return (1d): -0.49% · Sector return: -0.49% · Borrowed drop: -4.53% |
| 2026-09-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.057 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.26 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.101 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: -0.03 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-09-02 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.811 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: CNH · Pair Correlation: 0.76 · Pair Spread Z: -3.23 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.499 | 2 | decayed | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -15.59% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.552 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: CNH · Pair Correlation: 0.77 · Pair Spread Z: 2.50 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.057 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.26 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.852 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: CNH · Pair Correlation: 0.77 · Pair Spread Z: -3.47 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.101 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: -0.03 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-19 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.414 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.19% · 1-day return: -3.19% · Beta (60d): 0.93 · Sector return (1d): -0.03% · Sector return: -0.03% · Borrowed drop: -3.17% |
| 2026-08-17 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.418 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: CNH · Pair Correlation: 0.77 · Pair Spread Z: -2.32 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.057 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.414 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.19% · 1-day return: -3.19% · Beta (60d): 0.93 · Sector return (1d): -0.03% · Sector return: -0.03% · Borrowed drop: -3.17% |
| 2026-08-07 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.101 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.03 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.101 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.03 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.414 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.19% · 1-day return: -3.19% · Beta (60d): 0.93 · Sector return (1d): -0.03% · Sector return: -0.03% · Borrowed drop: -3.17% |
| 2026-08-05 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.414 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.03 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-04 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.109 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.03 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-03 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.418 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: CNH · Pair Correlation: 0.77 · Pair Spread Z: -2.32 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-03 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.418 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.03 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-03 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.499 | 2 | new | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -15.59% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-07-31 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.057 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.822 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.75% · 1-day return: -4.75% · Beta (60d): 0.94 · Sector return (1d): 0.81% · Sector return: 0.81% · Borrowed drop: -5.51% |
| 2026-07-31 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.822 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.03 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.964 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.10% · 1-day return: -8.10% · Beta (60d): 0.91 · Sector return (1d): 0.97% · Sector return: 0.97% · Borrowed drop: -8.99% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.248 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.29% · 1-day return: -6.29% · Beta (60d): 1.25 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -2.24% |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.221 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.94% · 1-day return: -3.94% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -1.99% |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.057 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.21 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.023 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.221 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.94% · 1-day return: -3.94% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -1.99% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.491 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.28% · 1-day return: -1.28% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.28% |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.051 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.491 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.28% · 1-day return: -1.28% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.28% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.491 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.28% · 1-day return: -1.28% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.28% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.473 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.28% · 1-day return: -1.28% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.23% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.960 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.28% · 1-day return: -1.28% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.58% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.21 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.051 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.402 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.40% · 1-day return: -2.40% · Beta (60d): 1.19 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.97% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.562 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.50% · 1-day return: 1.50% · Beta (60d): 1.15 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.50% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.566 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.50% · 1-day return: 1.50% · Beta (60d): 1.15 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.50% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.570 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.50% · 1-day return: 1.50% · Beta (60d): 1.15 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.50% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.631 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.70% · 1-day return: 1.70% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.621 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.628 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.21 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.21 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |