TKO
TKO Group Holdings
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
58
rows
Days on list
20
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.150confluence: 2days: 20as of 2026-08-17
Triggers:rvol_pctile 9.6 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
9.56
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.239confluence: 1days: 8as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.6%failure_vol:weak:0.12sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.15
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.65%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 101as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 12.1% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 7.66 (extreme)ret_20d -6.1% (falling)dist_52w_low +7.7% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
12.07
Days To Cover
7.66
Ret 20d
-0.06
Dist 52w Low
0.08
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 daysripe: Loaded
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
9 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
9 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/8 directionally right · mean +1.3% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-04 → open5 bars
-0.5%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-18 → 2026-08-245 bars
-0.1%closed
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-06 → 2026-08-178 bars
+7.9%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-1915 bars
+0.9%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-29 → 2026-08-045 bars
+2.5%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-01 → 2026-07-074 bars
-3.0%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-30 → 2026-07-023 bars
+0.1%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-247 bars
+2.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-162 bars
-0.4%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
-8.3%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.07 · Days To Cover: 7.66 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.239 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.539 | 2 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.23 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.244 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.48 · Days To Cover: 5.85 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.942 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.942 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.48 · Days To Cover: 5.85 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.48 · Days To Cover: 5.85 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.12 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.041 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.237 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.48 · Days To Cover: 5.85 · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.337 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.394 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.14% · 1-day return: -3.14% · Beta (60d): 0.00 · Sector return (1d): -0.58% · Sector return: -0.58% · Borrowed drop: -3.14% |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.337 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.48 · Days To Cover: 5.85 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.48 · Days To Cover: 5.85 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.48 · Days To Cover: 5.85 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.48 · Days To Cover: 5.85 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.48 · Days To Cover: 5.85 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.394 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.14% · 1-day return: -3.14% · Beta (60d): 0.00 · Sector return (1d): -0.58% · Sector return: -0.58% · Borrowed drop: -3.14% |
| 2026-08-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.539 | 2 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.23 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.394 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.14% · 1-day return: -3.14% · Beta (60d): 0.00 · Sector return (1d): -0.58% · Sector return: -0.58% · Borrowed drop: -3.14% |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.360 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.00% · 1-day return: -3.00% · Beta (60d): -0.14 · Sector return (1d): -1.78% · Sector return: -1.78% · Borrowed drop: -3.25% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.371 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): -0.12 · Sector return (1d): -1.90% · Sector return: -1.90% · Borrowed drop: -3.32% |
| 2026-08-17 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.150 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.56 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.539 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.23 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.360 | 3 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 8.37 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-12 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.360 | 3 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.23 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.360 | 3 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 8.37 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.542 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.23 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.363 | 3 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.78 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-10 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.544 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.23 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.365 | 3 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.78 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.368 | 3 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.23 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-07 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.368 | 3 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.17 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.551 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.23 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.371 | 3 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.57 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-05 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.266 | 3 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.23 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.266 | 3 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 8.76 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-31 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.92 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.472 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.517 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -4.04% · 1-day return: -4.04% · Beta (60d): 0.27 · Sector return (1d): -0.13% · Sector return: -0.13% · Borrowed drop: -4.00% |
| 2026-07-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.517 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.04% · 1-day return: -4.04% · Beta (60d): 0.27 · Sector return (1d): -0.13% · Sector return: -0.13% · Borrowed drop: -4.00% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.439 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.77% · 1-day return: -0.77% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.54% |
| 2026-07-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.517 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.04% · 1-day return: -4.04% · Beta (60d): 0.27 · Sector return (1d): -0.13% · Sector return: -0.13% · Borrowed drop: -4.00% |
| 2026-06-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.598 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.99% · 1-day return: -4.99% · Beta (60d): 0.24 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -4.83% |
| 2026-06-29 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.439 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.77% · 1-day return: -0.77% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.54% |
| 2026-06-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.820 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -4.96% · 1-day return: -4.96% · Beta (60d): 0.82 · Sector return (1d): -0.42% · Sector return: -0.42% · Borrowed drop: -4.62% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.439 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.77% · 1-day return: -0.77% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.54% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.741 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.16% · 1-day return: 2.16% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.16% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.793 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.16% · 1-day return: 2.16% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.16% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.861 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.16% · 1-day return: 2.16% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.16% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.539 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.38% · 1-day return: 1.38% · Beta (60d): 0.66 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.871 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.79% · 1-day return: -2.79% · Beta (60d): 0.65 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.255 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.58% · 1-day return: -0.58% · Beta (60d): 0.64 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.499 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.07% · 1-day return: -1.07% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |