CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
33
rows
Days on list
4
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftpartialpersisting
score: 0.397confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:partial (0.091 in [0.03,0.1))earnings_4d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.09
Days Since Earnings
4.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
2 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
12 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/5 directionally right · mean -12.6% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-21 → open5 bars
+35.2%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-093 bars
-1.3%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-17 → 2026-06-223 bars
+5.5%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-32.5%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-07-0119 bars
-32.4%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-2.3%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.075 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.29% · 1-day return: -3.29% · Beta (60d): 2.52 · Sector return (1d): -0.99% · Sector return: -0.99% · Borrowed drop: -0.78% |
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.397 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.09 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.383 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.09 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.075 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.29% · 1-day return: -3.29% · Beta (60d): 2.52 · Sector return (1d): -0.99% · Sector return: -0.99% · Borrowed drop: -0.78% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.26 · Dist 52w Low: 1.09 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.557 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.337 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.09% · 1-day return: -5.09% · Beta (60d): 2.83 · Sector return (1d): -0.77% · Sector return: -0.77% · Borrowed drop: -2.91% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.917 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -7.83% · 1-day return: -7.83% · Beta (60d): 3.02 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -7.83% |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.337 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.09% · 1-day return: -5.09% · Beta (60d): 2.83 · Sector return (1d): -0.77% · Sector return: -0.77% · Borrowed drop: -2.91% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.917 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.83% · 1-day return: -7.83% · Beta (60d): 3.02 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -7.83% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.093 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.90% · 1-day return: -5.90% · Beta (60d): 2.74 · Sector return (1d): -1.84% · Sector return: -1.84% · Borrowed drop: -0.87% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.557 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.093 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.90% · 1-day return: -5.90% · Beta (60d): 2.74 · Sector return (1d): -1.84% · Sector return: -1.84% · Borrowed drop: -0.87% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.917 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.83% · 1-day return: -7.83% · Beta (60d): 3.02 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -7.83% |
| 2026-06-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.917 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.83% · 1-day return: -7.83% · Beta (60d): 3.02 · Sector return (1d): -0.46% · Sector return: -0.46% · Borrowed drop: -6.43% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.916 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.83% · 1-day return: -7.83% · Beta (60d): 3.02 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -7.71% |
| 2026-06-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.916 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.83% · 1-day return: -7.83% · Beta (60d): 3.02 · Sector return (1d): -0.46% · Sector return: -0.46% · Borrowed drop: -6.43% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.928 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.83% · 1-day return: -7.83% · Beta (60d): 3.02 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -18.68% |
| 2026-06-26 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.928 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.83% · 1-day return: -7.83% · Beta (60d): 3.02 · Sector return (1d): -0.46% · Sector return: -0.46% · Borrowed drop: -6.43% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.26 · Dist 52w Low: 1.09 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.930 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.43% · 1-day return: -5.43% · Beta (60d): 2.68 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.40% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.930 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.43% · 1-day return: -5.43% · Beta (60d): 2.68 · Sector return (1d): 0.57% · Sector return: 0.57% · Borrowed drop: -6.96% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.555 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.34% · 1-day return: -6.34% · Beta (60d): 2.65 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.15% |
| 2026-06-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.555 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.34% · 1-day return: -6.34% · Beta (60d): 2.65 · Sector return (1d): -1.46% · Sector return: -1.46% · Borrowed drop: -2.46% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.502 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.23% · 1-day return: -3.23% · Beta (60d): 2.42 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.44% |
| 2026-06-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.502 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.23% · 1-day return: -3.23% · Beta (60d): 2.42 · Sector return (1d): -0.37% · Sector return: -0.37% · Borrowed drop: -2.34% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.543 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 2.40 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.21% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.553 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 2.40 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.21% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.560 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 2.40 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.21% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.772 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.27% · 1-day return: -3.27% · Beta (60d): 2.47 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.557 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.26 · Dist 52w Low: 1.09 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.342 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.28 · Dist 52w Low: 1.04 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |