ACGL
Arch Capital Group
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
46
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.356confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.9%failure_vol:weak:0.18sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.07
Sma Dist 20
0.00
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.93%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 7as of 2026-09-03
Triggers:rvol_pctile 10.4 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
10.36
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
No
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
2 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
10 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
4 days
N1 · Distribution Top
4 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
6 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/7 directionally right · mean -0.0% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-04 → open5 bars
+1.6%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-28 → open10 bars
-2.3%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-20 → open16 bars
+2.8%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
-1.1%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-07-27 → open34 bars
-10.7%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-22 → 2026-07-318 bars
-2.0%closed
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-07-16 → 2026-07-278 bars
-5.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → 2026-07-173 bars
+4.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-07 → 2026-08-0320 bars
+3.4%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-236 bars
+4.5%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-12 → 2026-06-237 bars
-3.5%dropped
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.356 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.36 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.473 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.304 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: 2.62 · Days To Cover: 5.50 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-26 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.597 | 2 | exited | Pair Twin: CB · Pair Correlation: 0.73 · Pair Spread Z: -3.22 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.313 | 1 | decayed | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 50.65 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-08-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.473 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.344 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.344 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): -0.72 · Sector return (1d): 0.56% · Sector return: 0.56% · Borrowed drop: -2.91% |
| 2026-08-12 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.597 | 2 | decayed | Pair Twin: CB · Pair Correlation: 0.73 · Pair Spread Z: -3.22 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.304 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.62 · Days To Cover: 5.50 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.306 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.62 · Days To Cover: 5.50 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-07 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.312 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.62 · Days To Cover: 5.50 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.344 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): -0.72 · Sector return (1d): 0.56% · Sector return: 0.56% · Borrowed drop: -2.91% |
| 2026-08-06 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.311 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.62 · Days To Cover: 5.50 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-05 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.315 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.62 · Days To Cover: 5.50 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.322 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.62 · Days To Cover: 5.50 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.325 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.62 · Days To Cover: 5.50 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.330 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.62 · Days To Cover: 5.50 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.344 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.344 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): -0.72 · Sector return (1d): 0.56% · Sector return: 0.56% · Borrowed drop: -2.91% |
| 2026-07-30 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.344 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 2.62 · Days To Cover: 5.50 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.339 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.570 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.52% · 1-day return: -4.52% · Beta (60d): -0.67 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -3.84% |
| 2026-07-29 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.597 | 2 | persisting | Pair Twin: CB · Pair Correlation: 0.73 · Pair Spread Z: -3.22 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.313 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 50.65 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.896 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.570 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.52% · 1-day return: -4.52% · Beta (60d): -0.67 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -3.84% |
| 2026-07-22 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.469 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: CB · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: 2.42 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.559 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.94 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-07-15 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.790 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.83 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.570 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.52% · 1-day return: -4.52% · Beta (60d): -0.67 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -3.84% |
| 2026-07-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.391 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.499 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.07 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.390 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.503 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.30% · 1-day return: -1.30% · Beta (60d): -0.22 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.30% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.503 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.30% · 1-day return: -1.30% · Beta (60d): -0.22 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.30% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.503 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.30% · 1-day return: -1.30% · Beta (60d): -0.22 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.30% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.506 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.30% · 1-day return: -1.30% · Beta (60d): -0.22 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.30% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.738 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.30% · 1-day return: -1.30% · Beta (60d): -0.22 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.30% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.417 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.10% · 1-day return: -1.10% · Beta (60d): -0.21 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.257 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.23% · 1-day return: -0.23% · Beta (60d): -0.20 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.478 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.17% · 1-day return: 1.17% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.191 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.17% · 1-day return: -0.17% · Beta (60d): -0.17 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.264 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.58% · 1-day return: 0.58% · Beta (60d): -0.17 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |