EXC
Exelon
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
46
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialnew
score: 0.422confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:quality:passtwin:PPLcorrelation:0.77spread_z:-2.60laggard:cheap_laggard → long_recovery
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
PPL
Pair Correlation
0.77
Pair Spread Z
-2.60
Pair Direction
long_recovery
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.244confluence: 1days: 17as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 3.1% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.62 (extreme)ret_20d -4.2% (holding)dist_52w_low +5.1% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
3.14
Days To Cover
5.62
Ret 20d
-0.04
Dist 52w Low
0.05
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.241confluence: 1days: 6as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.6%failure_vol:weak:1.04sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.11
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.57%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 daysripe: Loaded
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recoveryactive
5 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Drift
8 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/8 directionally right · mean +1.9% · small sample, illustrative not proof
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-09-08 → open4 bars
-0.4%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-04 → open5 bars
+0.2%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-08-27 → open11 bars
-1.0%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-18 → open18 bars
+6.1%open · MTM
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragility2026-08-03 → 2026-08-117 bars
+5.0%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
-1.2%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-28 → 2026-07-314 bars
+4.8%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-15 → 2026-07-173 bars
+3.6%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-10 → 2026-07-132 bars
-2.4%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-236 bars
+2.9%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → 2026-06-102 bars
-2.6%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-07-1427 bars
+4.8%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.244 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.14 · Days To Cover: 5.62 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.244 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.15 · Days To Cover: 5.24 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.241 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.11 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.241 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.15 · Days To Cover: 5.24 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.15 · Days To Cover: 5.24 · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.237 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.12 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.422 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: PPL · Pair Correlation: 0.77 · Pair Spread Z: -2.60 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.207 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.422 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.15 · Days To Cover: 5.24 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.15 · Days To Cover: 5.24 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.049 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.267 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.15 · Days To Cover: 5.24 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.15 · Days To Cover: 5.24 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.15 · Days To Cover: 5.24 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.15 · Days To Cover: 5.24 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-21 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.207 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.049 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.575 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.520 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.495 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): -0.55 · Sector return (1d): -0.56% · Sector return: -0.56% · Borrowed drop: -3.44% |
| 2026-08-12 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.617 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-12 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.905 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: FE · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: -3.46 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-07 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.207 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.495 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): -0.55 · Sector return (1d): -0.56% · Sector return: -0.56% · Borrowed drop: -3.44% |
| 2026-08-06 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.207 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.209 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-04 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.212 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-03 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.212 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-31 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.215 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.495 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): -0.55 · Sector return (1d): -0.56% · Sector return: -0.56% · Borrowed drop: -3.44% |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.617 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.905 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: FE · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: -3.46 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.620 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.397 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.08 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.905 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: FE · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: -3.46 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.681 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: FE · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: -2.63 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.504 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 0.55% · 1-day return: 0.55% · Beta (60d): -0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.55% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.504 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.55% · 1-day return: 0.55% · Beta (60d): -0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.55% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.504 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.55% · 1-day return: 0.55% · Beta (60d): -0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.55% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.554 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.55% · 1-day return: 0.55% · Beta (60d): -0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.55% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.618 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.55% · 1-day return: 0.55% · Beta (60d): -0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.55% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.277 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.66% · 1-day return: 0.66% · Beta (60d): -0.32 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.803 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.24% · 1-day return: -2.24% · Beta (60d): -0.32 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.375 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.88% · 1-day return: 0.88% · Beta (60d): -0.37 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.038 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.06% · 1-day return: -0.06% · Beta (60d): -0.24 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.680 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.53% · 1-day return: 1.53% · Beta (60d): -0.23 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |