OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
Screener candidate detail · 4 active archetypes
Active
4
archetypes
History
35
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.374confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -6.0%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by recent_earnings (attribution_confidence=high)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.61pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.05×-1.4%=-1.4pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-6.03%
1-day return
-6.03%
Beta (60d)
1.05
Sector return (1d)
-1.35%
Sector return
-1.35%
Borrowed drop
-4.61%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N5 · Revision Collapseprimednew
score: 0.275confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:analyst_cluster:cluster_downpt_revision_down:-242.2%downtrend:sma_dist_200 -18.3%downtrend:ret_20d -4.5%
Dislocation:
Analyst Cluster State
cluster_down
Pt Change 30d Pct
-2.42%
Negative Pt Trail
Yes
Downtrend Confirmed
Yes
Sma Downtrend
Yes
Ret Downtrend
Yes
Sma Dist 200
-0.18
Ret 20d
-0.05
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-3.4%failure_vol:weak:0.08sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.46
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-3.41%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 17as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 12.9% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.47 (extreme)ret_20d -7.4% (falling)dist_52w_low +16.6% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
12.89
Days To Cover
5.47
Ret 20d
-0.07
Dist 52w Low
0.17
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
N5 · Revision Collapseshort fragilityactive
1 day
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
2 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/5 directionally right · mean -4.9% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-1.0%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-08 → open4 bars
+6.2%open · MTM
N5 · Revision Collapseshort fragility2026-09-08 → open4 bars
+6.2%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-28 → open10 bars
+0.4%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-08-27 → open11 bars
-1.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-21 → 2026-08-242 bars
+1.6%dropped
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-10 → open24 bars
-8.2%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-104 bars
-9.5%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-12.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-06-2413 bars
-3.6%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-0.9%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.89 · Days To Cover: 5.47 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.94 · Days To Cover: 6.12 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.46 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.374 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -6.03% · 1-day return: -6.03% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Sector return (1d): -1.35% · Sector return: -1.35% · Borrowed drop: -4.61% |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.374 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.94 · Days To Cover: 6.12 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.275 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.45 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.302 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.17% · 1-day return: -4.17% · Beta (60d): 0.82 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -2.75% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.94 · Days To Cover: 6.12 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.275 | 2 | new | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -2.42% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.94 · Days To Cover: 6.12 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.94 · Days To Cover: 6.12 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.267 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.94 · Days To Cover: 6.12 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.302 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.17% · 1-day return: -4.17% · Beta (60d): 0.82 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -2.75% |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.302 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.94 · Days To Cover: 6.12 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.94 · Days To Cover: 6.12 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.22 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.94 · Days To Cover: 6.12 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.324 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.79% · 1-day return: -3.79% · Beta (60d): 0.73 · Sector return (1d): -1.10% · Sector return: -1.10% · Borrowed drop: -2.98% |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.717 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.02% · 1-day return: -6.02% · Beta (60d): 0.91 · Sector return (1d): -1.62% · Sector return: -1.62% · Borrowed drop: -4.54% |
| 2026-08-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.911 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -9.48% · 1-day return: -9.48% · Beta (60d): 1.28 · Sector return (1d): -1.80% · Sector return: -1.80% · Borrowed drop: -7.18% |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.911 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -9.48% · 1-day return: -9.48% · Beta (60d): 1.28 · Sector return (1d): -1.80% · Sector return: -1.80% · Borrowed drop: -7.18% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.859 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 0.70% · 1-day return: 0.70% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.35% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.911 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -9.48% · 1-day return: -9.48% · Beta (60d): 1.28 · Sector return (1d): -1.80% · Sector return: -1.80% · Borrowed drop: -7.18% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.859 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.70% · 1-day return: 0.70% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.35% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.937 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -7.03% · 1-day return: -7.03% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.76% · Sector return: 0.76% · Borrowed drop: -7.90% |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.606 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.64% · 1-day return: -4.64% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Sector return (1d): -1.91% · Sector return: -1.91% · Borrowed drop: -2.66% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.859 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.70% · 1-day return: 0.70% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.35% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.682 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.45% · 1-day return: -2.45% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.03% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.606 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.64% · 1-day return: -4.64% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.30% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.311 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.73% · 1-day return: -0.73% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.73% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.309 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.73% · 1-day return: -0.73% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.73% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.307 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.73% · 1-day return: -0.73% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.73% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.245 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.58% · 1-day return: 0.58% · Beta (60d): 1.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.691 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.71% · 1-day return: -5.71% · Beta (60d): 1.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |