ITW
Illinois Tool Works
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
50
rows
Days on list
8
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.239confluence: 1days: 8as of 2026-08-24
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-4.5%rsi_divergence:49momentum_rollover:-1.2%rel_vol:0.63sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.04
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
49.09
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
-0.02
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.01
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 101as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 3.4% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 9.46 (extreme)ret_20d -8.5% (falling)dist_52w_low +13.0% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
3.36
Days To Cover
9.46
Ret 20d
-0.08
Dist 52w Low
0.13
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 12as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:rvol_pctile 15.5 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
15.54
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
10 days
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
5 daysripe: Loaded
N3 · Failed Breakout
9 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
3 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/7 directionally right · mean +0.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-31 → open9 bars
-2.6%open · MTM
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-08-18 → 2026-08-267 bars
+2.3%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
+0.3%closed
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-24 → 2026-07-272 bars
+2.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-21 → 2026-08-1217 bars
-4.1%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+3.3%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → 2026-06-102 bars
-1.8%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-06-157 bars
+0.5%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
+3.9%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.36 · Days To Cover: 9.46 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.13 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.54 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.36 · Days To Cover: 8.96 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.12 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.55 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.36 · Days To Cover: 8.96 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.12 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 8.37 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.306 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.36 · Days To Cover: 8.96 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.77 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.36 · Days To Cover: 8.96 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.36 · Days To Cover: 8.96 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.15 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 8.37 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.36 · Days To Cover: 8.96 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.36 · Days To Cover: 8.96 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.36 · Days To Cover: 8.96 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.95 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 3.36 · Days To Cover: 8.96 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.18 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-24 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.239 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 49.09 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 |
| 2026-08-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.306 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.712 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 47.44 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 |
| 2026-08-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.666 | 2 | exited | Pair Twin: GGG · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: -4.43 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-19 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.716 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 49.37 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 |
| 2026-08-18 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.728 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 49.62 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 |
| 2026-08-17 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.618 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.03 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.414 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.04% · 1-day return: -3.04% · Beta (60d): 0.41 · Sector return (1d): 0.97% · Sector return: 0.97% · Borrowed drop: -3.44% |
| 2026-08-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.306 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.311 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.414 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.04% · 1-day return: -3.04% · Beta (60d): 0.41 · Sector return (1d): 0.97% · Sector return: 0.97% · Borrowed drop: -3.44% |
| 2026-08-06 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.666 | 2 | decayed | Pair Twin: GGG · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: -4.43 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-06 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.414 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.04% · 1-day return: -3.04% · Beta (60d): 0.41 · Sector return (1d): 0.97% · Sector return: 0.97% · Borrowed drop: -3.44% |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.339 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.666 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: GGG · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: -4.43 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.388 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.08 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.473 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -1.07% · 1-day return: -1.07% · Beta (60d): 0.60 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.07% |
| 2026-07-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.158 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.473 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.07% · 1-day return: -1.07% · Beta (60d): 0.60 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.07% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.473 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.07% · 1-day return: -1.07% · Beta (60d): 0.60 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.07% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.494 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.07% · 1-day return: -1.07% · Beta (60d): 0.60 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.05% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.709 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.07% · 1-day return: -1.07% · Beta (60d): 0.60 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.23% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.443 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.39% · 1-day return: -1.39% · Beta (60d): 0.63 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.64% |
| 2026-06-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.158 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.546 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.75% · 1-day return: 0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.65 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.75% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.595 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.75% · 1-day return: 0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.65 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.75% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.658 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.75% · 1-day return: 0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.65 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.75% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.749 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.27% · 1-day return: 2.27% · Beta (60d): 0.66 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.53 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.158 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |