NCLH
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
38
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.419confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:ret_1d -3.3%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop +5.67pp (below threshold)sector_explained 1.89×-4.7%=-8.9pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.26%
1-day return
-3.26%
Beta (60d)
1.89
Sector return (1d)
-4.72%
Sector return
-4.72%
Borrowed drop
5.67%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 55as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:short_pct 18.0% (extreme)days_to_cover 6.05 (extreme)ret_20d -5.9% (falling)dist_52w_low +35.4% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
17.96
Days To Cover
6.05
Ret 20d
-0.06
Dist 52w Low
0.35
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
Yes
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
15 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
8 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/4 directionally right · mean +0.9% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-24 → open2 bars
+5.5%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-01 → 2026-07-074 bars
-9.2%closed
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-06-24 → 2026-06-252 bars
-2.6%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+7.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+7.5%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open36 bars
+6.3%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 17.96 · Days To Cover: 6.05 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.35 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 17.96 · Days To Cover: 6.05 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.31 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.419 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.26% · 1-day return: -3.26% · Beta (60d): 1.89 · Sector return (1d): -4.72% · Sector return: -4.72% · Borrowed drop: 5.67% |
| 2026-07-23 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.419 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.57 · Days To Cover: 4.20 · Ret 20d: -0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.27 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.57 · Days To Cover: 4.20 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.31 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.603 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: CCL · Pair Correlation: 0.82 · Pair Spread Z: 3.54 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.377 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.57 · Days To Cover: 4.20 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.32 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.57 · Days To Cover: 4.20 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.32 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.57 · Days To Cover: 4.20 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.32 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.375 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -4.40% · 1-day return: -4.40% · Beta (60d): 2.16 · Sector return (1d): -0.82% · Sector return: -0.82% · Borrowed drop: -2.62% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.395 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.57 · Days To Cover: 4.20 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.33 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.371 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.57 · Days To Cover: 4.20 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.33 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.376 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.57 · Days To Cover: 4.20 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.32 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.774 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 1.23% · 1-day return: 1.23% · Beta (60d): 2.25 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.86% |
| 2026-07-13 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.380 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.57 · Days To Cover: 4.20 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.33 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.386 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.30 · Days To Cover: 4.10 · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.33 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.375 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.40% · 1-day return: -4.40% · Beta (60d): 2.16 · Sector return (1d): -0.82% · Sector return: -0.82% · Borrowed drop: -2.62% |
| 2026-07-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.397 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.30 · Days To Cover: 4.10 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.34 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.408 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.30 · Days To Cover: 4.10 · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.25 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.603 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: CCL · Pair Correlation: 0.82 · Pair Spread Z: 3.54 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.420 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.30 · Days To Cover: 4.10 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.27 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.774 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.23% · 1-day return: 1.23% · Beta (60d): 2.25 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.86% |
| 2026-07-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.375 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.40% · 1-day return: -4.40% · Beta (60d): 2.16 · Sector return (1d): -0.82% · Sector return: -0.82% · Borrowed drop: -2.62% |
| 2026-06-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.538 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.77% · 1-day return: -3.77% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.14% · Sector return: 0.14% · Borrowed drop: -4.06% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.774 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.23% · 1-day return: 1.23% · Beta (60d): 2.25 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.86% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.047 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -6.01% · 1-day return: -6.01% · Beta (60d): 2.51 · Sector return (1d): -2.08% · Sector return: -2.08% · Borrowed drop: -0.80% |
| 2026-06-23 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.603 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: CCL · Pair Correlation: 0.82 · Pair Spread Z: 3.54 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.552 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.98% · 1-day return: -1.98% · Beta (60d): 2.51 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.16% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.802 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.03% · 1-day return: 3.03% · Beta (60d): 2.51 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.03% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.853 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.03% · 1-day return: 3.03% · Beta (60d): 2.51 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.03% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.841 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.03% · 1-day return: 3.03% · Beta (60d): 2.51 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.03% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.892 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.57% · 1-day return: 3.57% · Beta (60d): 2.51 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.842 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.49% · 1-day return: -2.49% · Beta (60d): 2.51 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.047 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.01% · 1-day return: -6.01% · Beta (60d): 2.51 · Sector return (1d): -2.08% · Sector return: -2.08% · Borrowed drop: -0.80% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.398 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.94% · 1-day return: 0.94% · Beta (60d): 2.60 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.914 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.59% · 1-day return: 3.59% · Beta (60d): 2.62 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.787 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.92% · 1-day return: 1.92% · Beta (60d): 2.63 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.047 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.01% · 1-day return: -6.01% · Beta (60d): 2.51 · Sector return (1d): -2.08% · Sector return: -2.08% · Borrowed drop: -0.80% |