ELF
e.l.f. Beauty
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
40
rows
Days on list
3
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimedpersisting
score: 0.731confluence: 1days: 3as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:ret_1d -4.4%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.49pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.64×+0.0%=+0.1pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.41%
1-day return
-4.41%
Beta (60d)
1.64
Sector return (1d)
0.05%
Sector return
0.05%
Borrowed drop
-4.49%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:rvol_pctile 13.1 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
13.15
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.244confluence: 0days: 84as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 20.2% (extreme)days_to_cover 2.61 (below 5.0 floor)ret_20d +3.9% (holding)dist_52w_low +93.1% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
20.17
Days To Cover
2.61
Ret 20d
0.04
Dist 52w Low
0.93
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
Yes
Days To Cover Extreme
No
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
12 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
12 daysripe: Loaded
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
1 day
N3 · Failed Breakout
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/7 directionally right · mean +5.3% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-7.3%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-04 → open5 bars
-12.1%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-02 → open7 bars
-9.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-11 → 2026-08-122 bars
-1.0%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-24 → 2026-07-283 bars
-8.8%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-24 → 2026-07-316 bars
+7.5%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → 2026-07-162 bars
+4.0%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-06 → 2026-07-083 bars
+0.2%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → open58 bars
+48.6%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
+9.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-2210 bars
+26.2%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.244 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.17 · Days To Cover: 2.61 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.93 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.731 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.41% · 1-day return: -4.41% · Beta (60d): 1.64 · Sector return (1d): 0.05% · Sector return: 0.05% · Borrowed drop: -4.49% |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.731 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.09 · Days To Cover: 1.31 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.93 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.228 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.14% · 1-day return: -4.14% · Beta (60d): 1.62 · Sector return (1d): -1.16% · Sector return: -1.16% · Borrowed drop: -2.26% |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.228 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.09 · Days To Cover: 1.31 · Ret 20d: 0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 1.02 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.645 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.01% · 1-day return: -5.01% · Beta (60d): 1.54 · Sector return (1d): -0.66% · Sector return: -0.66% · Borrowed drop: -3.99% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.645 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.09 · Days To Cover: 1.31 · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 1.10 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.237 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.09 · Days To Cover: 1.31 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 1.21 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.15 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.09 · Days To Cover: 1.31 · Ret 20d: 0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 1.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.09 · Days To Cover: 1.31 · Ret 20d: 0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 1.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.570 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.27% · 1-day return: -3.27% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Sector return (1d): 0.32% · Sector return: 0.32% · Borrowed drop: -3.71% |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.570 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.09 · Days To Cover: 1.31 · Ret 20d: 0.24 · Dist 52w Low: 1.13 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.09 · Days To Cover: 1.31 · Ret 20d: 0.28 · Dist 52w Low: 1.20 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.09 · Days To Cover: 1.31 · Ret 20d: 0.23 · Dist 52w Low: 1.10 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.292 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.09 · Days To Cover: 1.31 · Ret 20d: 0.26 · Dist 52w Low: 1.14 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.293 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.09 · Days To Cover: 1.31 · Ret 20d: 0.28 · Dist 52w Low: 1.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.346 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.36% · 1-day return: -3.36% · Beta (60d): 1.18 · Sector return (1d): -0.20% · Sector return: -0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.12% |
| 2026-08-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.367 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.49 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.346 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.36% · 1-day return: -3.36% · Beta (60d): 1.18 · Sector return (1d): -0.20% · Sector return: -0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.12% |
| 2026-08-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.346 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.36% · 1-day return: -3.36% · Beta (60d): 1.18 · Sector return (1d): -0.20% · Sector return: -0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.12% |
| 2026-08-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.367 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.49 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.502 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.88% · 1-day return: -3.88% · Beta (60d): 0.87 · Sector return (1d): 0.34% · Sector return: 0.34% · Borrowed drop: -4.18% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.502 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.88% · 1-day return: -3.88% · Beta (60d): 0.87 · Sector return (1d): 0.34% · Sector return: 0.34% · Borrowed drop: -4.18% |
| 2026-07-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.367 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.49 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.328 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.71% · 1-day return: -3.71% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Sector return (1d): -1.40% · Sector return: -1.40% · Borrowed drop: -2.56% |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.383 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.87% · 1-day return: -3.87% · Beta (60d): 0.55 · Sector return (1d): -1.39% · Sector return: -1.39% · Borrowed drop: -3.10% |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.383 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.87% · 1-day return: -3.87% · Beta (60d): 0.55 · Sector return (1d): -1.39% · Sector return: -1.39% · Borrowed drop: -3.10% |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.386 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.72% · 1-day return: -0.72% · Beta (60d): 0.72 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.45% |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.386 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.72% · 1-day return: -0.72% · Beta (60d): 0.72 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.45% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.386 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.72% · 1-day return: -0.72% · Beta (60d): 0.72 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.45% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.391 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.04% · 1-day return: -1.04% · Beta (60d): 1.11 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.66% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.31% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.559 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.60% · 1-day return: -1.60% · Beta (60d): 1.18 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.22% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.802 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.04% · 1-day return: 3.04% · Beta (60d): 1.19 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.04% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.854 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.04% · 1-day return: 3.04% · Beta (60d): 1.19 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.04% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.842 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.04% · 1-day return: 3.04% · Beta (60d): 1.19 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.04% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.814 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.68% · 1-day return: 2.68% · Beta (60d): 1.17 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.825 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.20% · 1-day return: -7.20% · Beta (60d): 1.21 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.938 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.49% · 1-day return: 4.49% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.953 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.54% · 1-day return: 4.54% · Beta (60d): 1.10 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |