TWLO
Twilio
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
33
rows
Days on list
2
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialpersisting
score: 0.892confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:ret_1d -6.8%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -6.54pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.82×-0.3%=-0.2pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-6.77%
1-day return
-6.77%
Beta (60d)
0.82
Sector return (1d)
-0.28%
Sector return
-0.28%
Borrowed drop
-6.54%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 9as of 2026-07-16
Triggers:rvol_pctile 8.0 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
7.97
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
11 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
6 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/4 directionally right · mean -6.6% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-22 → open4 bars
+0.8%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-209 bars
-4.0%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-5.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-2311 bars
-18.9%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+1.9%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.892 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.77% · 1-day return: -6.77% · Beta (60d): 0.82 · Sector return (1d): -0.28% · Sector return: -0.28% · Borrowed drop: -6.54% |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.899 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.49% · 1-day return: -4.49% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): 2.84% · Sector return: 2.84% · Borrowed drop: -6.75% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 1.55 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.97 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-15 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.94 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.809 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 0.36% · 1-day return: 0.36% · Beta (60d): 0.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.85% |
| 2026-07-13 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.34 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.34 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.55 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.809 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.36% · 1-day return: 0.36% · Beta (60d): 0.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.85% |
| 2026-07-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.843 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.43% · 1-day return: -3.43% · Beta (60d): 1.06 · Sector return (1d): 2.33% · Sector return: 2.33% · Borrowed drop: -5.90% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.809 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.36% · 1-day return: 0.36% · Beta (60d): 0.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.85% |
| 2026-06-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.843 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.43% · 1-day return: -3.43% · Beta (60d): 1.06 · Sector return (1d): 2.33% · Sector return: 2.33% · Borrowed drop: -5.90% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 1.55 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.419 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.37% · 1-day return: -1.37% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.02% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.421 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.04% · 1-day return: -1.04% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.04% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.421 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.04% · 1-day return: -1.04% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.04% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.421 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.04% · 1-day return: -1.04% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.04% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.843 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.43% · 1-day return: -3.43% · Beta (60d): 1.06 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.843 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.43% · 1-day return: -3.43% · Beta (60d): 1.06 · Sector return (1d): 2.33% · Sector return: 2.33% · Borrowed drop: -5.90% |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.829 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.40% · 1-day return: -2.40% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.907 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.38% · 1-day return: -5.38% · Beta (60d): 1.03 · Sector return (1d): 1.37% · Sector return: 1.37% · Borrowed drop: -6.80% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.551 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.72% · 1-day return: -4.72% · Beta (60d): 1.09 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.551 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.72% · 1-day return: -4.72% · Beta (60d): 1.09 · Sector return (1d): -2.83% · Sector return: -2.83% · Borrowed drop: -1.64% |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.482 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.02% · 1-day return: -1.02% · Beta (60d): 1.07 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.564 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.24% · 1-day return: -1.24% · Beta (60d): 1.16 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.082 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.76% · 1-day return: -3.76% · Beta (60d): 1.32 · Sector return (1d): -1.87% · Sector return: -1.87% · Borrowed drop: -1.30% |
| 2026-06-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.936 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.14% · 1-day return: -6.14% · Beta (60d): 1.29 · Sector return (1d): 2.13% · Sector return: 2.13% · Borrowed drop: -8.88% |
| 2026-06-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.504 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.60% · 1-day return: -4.60% · Beta (60d): 1.29 · Sector return (1d): -6.89% · Sector return: -6.89% · Borrowed drop: 4.28% |
| 2026-06-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.586 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.60% · 1-day return: -4.60% · Beta (60d): 1.29 · Sector return (1d): -6.89% · Sector return: -6.89% · Borrowed drop: 4.28% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 1.55 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 1.46 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |