TWLO
Twilio
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
38
rows
Days on list
2
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.545confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-09-02
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.8%failure_vol:weak:0.48sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.11
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.83%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialpersisting
score: 0.519confluence: 0days: 8as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:ret_1d -3.1%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.47pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.20×+0.3%=+0.4pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.09%
1-day return
-3.09%
Beta (60d)
1.20
Sector return (1d)
0.31%
Sector return
0.31%
Borrowed drop
-3.47%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
12 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
8 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/7 directionally right · mean -5.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-02 → open7 bars
+1.8%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-02 → open7 bars
-1.8%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-13 → 2026-08-217 bars
-9.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-07-312 bars
+2.6%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-22 → 2026-07-243 bars
-2.5%dropped
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-209 bars
-4.0%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-5.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-2311 bars
-18.9%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+1.9%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.97 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.519 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.09% · 1-day return: -3.09% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Sector return (1d): 0.31% · Sector return: 0.31% · Borrowed drop: -3.47% |
| 2026-09-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.620 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.17% · 1-day return: -3.17% · Beta (60d): 1.06 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -3.91% |
| 2026-09-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.545 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.11 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.145 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.11 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.145 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 0.95 · Sector return (1d): -1.55% · Sector return: -1.55% · Borrowed drop: -1.54% |
| 2026-08-26 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.440 | 0 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.51% · 1-day return: -4.51% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): -1.07% · Sector return: -1.07% · Borrowed drop: -3.28% |
| 2026-08-19 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.440 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.51% · 1-day return: -4.51% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): -1.07% · Sector return: -1.07% · Borrowed drop: -3.28% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.669 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.11% · 1-day return: -4.11% · Beta (60d): 1.01 · Sector return (1d): 0.16% · Sector return: 0.16% · Borrowed drop: -4.27% |
| 2026-08-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.664 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.60% · 1-day return: -4.60% · Beta (60d): 0.87 · Sector return (1d): -0.40% · Sector return: -0.40% · Borrowed drop: -4.26% |
| 2026-08-13 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.97 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.764 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.71% · 1-day return: -3.71% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Sector return (1d): 1.48% · Sector return: 1.48% · Borrowed drop: -4.96% |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.149 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.18% · 1-day return: -3.18% · Beta (60d): 0.65 · Sector return (1d): -2.68% · Sector return: -2.68% · Borrowed drop: -1.44% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.149 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.18% · 1-day return: -3.18% · Beta (60d): 0.65 · Sector return (1d): -2.68% · Sector return: -2.68% · Borrowed drop: -1.44% |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.892 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.77% · 1-day return: -6.77% · Beta (60d): 0.82 · Sector return (1d): -0.28% · Sector return: -0.28% · Borrowed drop: -6.54% |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.899 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.49% · 1-day return: -4.49% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): 2.84% · Sector return: 2.84% · Borrowed drop: -6.75% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 1.55 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.97 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-15 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.94 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.809 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 0.36% · 1-day return: 0.36% · Beta (60d): 0.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.85% |
| 2026-07-13 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.34 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.34 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.55 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.809 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.36% · 1-day return: 0.36% · Beta (60d): 0.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.85% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.809 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.36% · 1-day return: 0.36% · Beta (60d): 0.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.85% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 1.55 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.419 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.37% · 1-day return: -1.37% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.02% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.421 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.04% · 1-day return: -1.04% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.04% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.421 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.04% · 1-day return: -1.04% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.04% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.421 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.04% · 1-day return: -1.04% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.04% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.843 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.43% · 1-day return: -3.43% · Beta (60d): 1.06 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.829 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.40% · 1-day return: -2.40% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.551 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.72% · 1-day return: -4.72% · Beta (60d): 1.09 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.482 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.02% · 1-day return: -1.02% · Beta (60d): 1.07 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.564 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.24% · 1-day return: -1.24% · Beta (60d): 1.16 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 1.55 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 1.46 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |