TTD
The Trade Desk
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
41
rows
Days on list
2
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimedpersisting
score: 0.143confluence: 2days: 2as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:ret_1d -4.6%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -2.55pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.58×-3.6%=-2.1pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.60%
1-day return
-4.60%
Beta (60d)
0.58
Sector return (1d)
-3.56%
Sector return
-3.56%
Borrowed drop
-2.55%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.360confluence: 1days: 11as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.59 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -40.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 34 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.41
Sma Dist 200
-0.41
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.353confluence: 1days: 38as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:short_pct 17.6% (extreme)days_to_cover 6.27 (extreme)ret_20d -2.7% (holding)dist_52w_low +6.5% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
17.60
Days To Cover
6.27
Ret 20d
-0.03
Dist 52w Low
0.06
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
Yes
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
12 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
12 daysripe: Loaded
N3 · Failed Breakout
2 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 0/2 directionally right · mean -8.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-23 → open3 bars
+1.6%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-07-20 → open6 bars
+3.5%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → open9 bars
-5.5%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-06 → open16 bars
+5.9%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → open25 bars
-0.2%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-269 bars
-7.7%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-03 → 2026-07-0221 bars
-8.5%dropped
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.353 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 17.60 · Days To Cover: 6.27 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.360 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.59 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -40.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 34 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.363 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 17.60 · Days To Cover: 6.27 · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.03 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.143 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.60% · 1-day return: -4.60% · Beta (60d): 0.58 · Sector return (1d): -3.56% · Sector return: -3.56% · Borrowed drop: -2.55% |
| 2026-07-23 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.143 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.36 · Days To Cover: 3.34 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.425 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.74% · 1-day return: -3.74% · Beta (60d): 0.46 · Sector return (1d): -0.76% · Sector return: -0.76% · Borrowed drop: -3.39% |
| 2026-07-22 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.425 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.36 · Days To Cover: 3.34 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.522 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.39% · 1-day return: -4.39% · Beta (60d): 0.54 · Sector return (1d): -0.13% · Sector return: -0.13% · Borrowed drop: -4.32% |
| 2026-07-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.377 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.36 · Days To Cover: 3.34 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.79 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.36 · Days To Cover: 3.34 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.62 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -39.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 34 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-17 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.36 · Days To Cover: 3.34 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.388 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.66 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -40.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 35 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.395 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.36 · Days To Cover: 3.34 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.371 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.36 · Days To Cover: 3.34 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.12 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.522 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -4.39% · 1-day return: -4.39% · Beta (60d): 0.54 · Sector return (1d): -0.13% · Sector return: -0.13% · Borrowed drop: -4.32% |
| 2026-07-14 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.522 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.36 · Days To Cover: 3.34 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.380 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 18.36 · Days To Cover: 3.34 · Ret 20d: 0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.386 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 17.45 · Days To Cover: 3.42 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.13 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.291 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -1.29% · 1-day return: -1.29% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.57% |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.156 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.63 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -2.67% |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.79 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-01 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.291 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.29% · 1-day return: -1.29% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.57% |
| 2026-06-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.156 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.63 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -2.67% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.291 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.29% · 1-day return: -1.29% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.57% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.603 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.31% · 1-day return: -4.31% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): -2.82% · Sector return: -2.82% · Borrowed drop: -2.09% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.308 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.27% · 1-day return: -2.27% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.66% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.72% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.378 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.68% · 1-day return: -2.68% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.43% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.332 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.91% · 1-day return: 1.91% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.91% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.334 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.91% · 1-day return: 1.91% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.91% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.675 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.91% · 1-day return: 1.91% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.91% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.095 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.22% · 1-day return: -0.22% · Beta (60d): 0.73 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.603 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.31% · 1-day return: -4.31% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.603 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.31% · 1-day return: -4.31% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): -2.82% · Sector return: -2.82% · Borrowed drop: -2.09% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.630 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.62% · 1-day return: -1.62% · Beta (60d): 0.70 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.034 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.05% · 1-day return: -0.05% · Beta (60d): 0.57 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-11 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.415 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.43% · 1-day return: -3.43% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Sector return (1d): -0.35% · Sector return: -0.35% · Borrowed drop: -3.16% |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.242 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.06% · 1-day return: -3.06% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Sector return (1d): -0.42% · Sector return: -0.42% · Borrowed drop: -2.74% |
| 2026-06-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.537 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.27% · 1-day return: -5.27% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Sector return (1d): -1.28% · Sector return: -1.28% · Borrowed drop: -4.36% |
| 2026-06-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.626 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.27% · 1-day return: -5.27% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Sector return (1d): -1.28% · Sector return: -1.28% · Borrowed drop: -4.36% |