TTD
The Trade Desk
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
48
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialnew
score: 0.970confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.75 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -43.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 22 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.43
Sma Dist 200
-0.43
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.970confluence: 1days: 84as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 21.0% (extreme)days_to_cover 5.40 (extreme)ret_20d -4.0% (holding)dist_52w_low +7.3% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
20.95
Days To Cover
5.40
Ret 20d
-0.04
Dist 52w Low
0.07
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
Yes
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.710confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.0%failure_vol:weak:0.78sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.74
Sma Dist 20
0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.00%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
5 days
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
6 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Drift
7 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 6/11 directionally right · mean -0.2%
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-0.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-08 → open4 bars
-2.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-18 → 2026-08-203 bars
+1.5%closed
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragility2026-08-11 → 2026-08-186 bars
-2.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-07 → 2026-08-102 bars
+4.6%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
+1.4%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-29 → 2026-07-313 bars
+7.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-23 → 2026-07-273 bars
+1.2%dropped
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-07-20 → 2026-07-298 bars
-2.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → 2026-07-162 bars
+2.7%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-06 → 2026-07-083 bars
-0.1%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → open58 bars
-25.3%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-269 bars
-7.7%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-03 → 2026-07-0221 bars
-8.5%dropped
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.577 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.47% · 1-day return: -4.47% · Beta (60d): 0.63 · Sector return (1d): -1.20% · Sector return: -1.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.72% |
| 2026-09-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: -0.15 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.970 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.95 · Days To Cover: 5.40 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.970 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.75 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -43.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 22 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.244 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.99 · Days To Cover: 1.93 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.710 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.74 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.710 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.99 · Days To Cover: 1.93 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.99 · Days To Cover: 1.93 · Ret 20d: 0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.577 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.47% · 1-day return: -4.47% · Beta (60d): 0.63 · Sector return (1d): -1.20% · Sector return: -1.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.72% |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.577 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.99 · Days To Cover: 1.93 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.99 · Days To Cover: 1.93 · Ret 20d: -0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.99 · Days To Cover: 1.93 · Ret 20d: -0.26 · Dist 52w Low: 0.12 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.149 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.93% · 1-day return: -3.93% · Beta (60d): 0.69 · Sector return (1d): -1.78% · Sector return: -1.78% · Borrowed drop: -2.70% |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.99 · Days To Cover: 1.93 · Ret 20d: -0.34 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.99 · Days To Cover: 1.93 · Ret 20d: -0.29 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: -0.15 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.99 · Days To Cover: 1.93 · Ret 20d: -0.28 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.345 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.79 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.149 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.93% · 1-day return: -3.93% · Beta (60d): 0.69 · Sector return (1d): -1.78% · Sector return: -1.78% · Borrowed drop: -2.70% |
| 2026-08-24 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.360 | 1 | decayed | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.59 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -40.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 34 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.149 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.93% · 1-day return: -3.93% · Beta (60d): 0.69 · Sector return (1d): -1.78% · Sector return: -1.78% · Borrowed drop: -2.70% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.299 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -5.38% · 1-day return: -5.38% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Sector return (1d): -1.90% · Sector return: -1.90% · Borrowed drop: -3.93% |
| 2026-08-14 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.15 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.460 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.05% · 1-day return: -7.05% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Sector return (1d): 0.28% · Sector return: 0.28% · Borrowed drop: -7.25% |
| 2026-08-13 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.15 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.345 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.79 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-12 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.15 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.15 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.15 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.460 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -7.05% · 1-day return: -7.05% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Sector return (1d): 0.28% · Sector return: 0.28% · Borrowed drop: -7.25% |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.377 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -4.34% · 1-day return: -4.34% · Beta (60d): 0.42 · Sector return (1d): -2.71% · Sector return: -2.71% · Borrowed drop: -3.18% |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.345 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.79 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.360 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.59 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -40.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 34 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.143 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.60% · 1-day return: -4.60% · Beta (60d): 0.58 · Sector return (1d): -3.56% · Sector return: -3.56% · Borrowed drop: -2.55% |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.79 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.62 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -39.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 34 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-17 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.388 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.66 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -40.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 35 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-08 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.291 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -1.29% · 1-day return: -1.29% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.57% |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.79 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-01 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.291 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.29% · 1-day return: -1.29% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.57% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.291 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.29% · 1-day return: -1.29% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.57% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.308 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.27% · 1-day return: -2.27% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.66% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.72% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.378 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.68% · 1-day return: -2.68% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.43% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.332 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.91% · 1-day return: 1.91% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.91% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.334 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.91% · 1-day return: 1.91% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.91% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.675 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.91% · 1-day return: 1.91% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.91% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.095 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.22% · 1-day return: -0.22% · Beta (60d): 0.73 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.603 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.31% · 1-day return: -4.31% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |