KEY
KeyCorp
Screener candidate detail · 5 active archetypes
Active
5
archetypes
History
45
rows
Days on list
21
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
8 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
P1 · Pair Divergenceprimedpersisting
score: 0.858confluence: 1days: 21as of 2026-07-21
Triggers:quality:passtwin:CFGcorrelation:0.90spread_z:-3.08laggard:cheap_laggard → long_recovery
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
CFG
Pair Correlation
0.90
Pair Spread Z
-3.08
Pair Direction
long_recovery
Pair State
primed
Gate pass
Yes
Analyst
[object Object]
Quality
[object Object]
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.818confluence: 1days: 36as of 2026-07-20
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.0%failure_vol:strong:1.32sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.03
Sma Dist 20
0.00
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.98%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftpartialpersisting
score: 0.128confluence: 1days: 6as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:partial (0.048 in [0.03,0.1))earnings_6d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.05
Days Since Earnings
6.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.113confluence: 1days: 15as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-3.7%rsi_divergence:52momentum_rollover:-1.8%rel_vol:1.16sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.04
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
52.01
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.02
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 15as of 2026-07-15
Triggers:rvol_pctile 19.5 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
19.52
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
4 days
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
4 daysripe: Loaded
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recoveryactive
4 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
6 daysripe: Confirmed
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/4 directionally right · mean +2.6% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-23 → open3 bars
-1.6%open · MTM
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-07-09 → open13 bars
-0.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
+1.6%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-02 → 2026-07-1711 bars
+1.2%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-02 → open17 bars
-3.3%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-16 → open28 bars
-0.7%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+2.1%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+5.4%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.128 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.126 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.128 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-22 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.113 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.01 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.315 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.17% · 1-day return: -3.17% · Beta (60d): 0.26 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.67% |
| 2026-07-22 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.113 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-21 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.858 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 49.82 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.858 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: CFG · Pair Correlation: 0.90 · Pair Spread Z: -3.08 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.818 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.874 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.908 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: CFG · Pair Correlation: 0.90 · Pair Spread Z: -3.50 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.43 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.315 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.17% · 1-day return: -3.17% · Beta (60d): 0.26 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.67% |
| 2026-07-15 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.283 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.64% · 1-day return: -0.64% · Beta (60d): 0.40 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.64% |
| 2026-07-09 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.299 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.51 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.315 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 50.41 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.315 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.17% · 1-day return: -3.17% · Beta (60d): 0.26 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.67% |
| 2026-07-08 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.456 | 2 | persisting | Pair Twin: CFG · Pair Correlation: 0.90 · Pair Spread Z: 2.50 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.456 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.14 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.78 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.283 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.64% · 1-day return: -0.64% · Beta (60d): 0.40 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.64% |
| 2026-07-06 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.38 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-02 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.15 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-01 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.140 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: CFG · Pair Correlation: 0.90 · Pair Spread Z: -2.17 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-01 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.140 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.423 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.497 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.283 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.283 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.64% · 1-day return: -0.64% · Beta (60d): 0.40 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.64% |
| 2026-06-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.274 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.274 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.64% · 1-day return: -0.64% · Beta (60d): 0.40 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.63% |
| 2026-06-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.697 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.697 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.64% · 1-day return: -0.64% · Beta (60d): 0.40 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.10% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.43 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.020 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.020 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.04% · 1-day return: -0.04% · Beta (60d): 0.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.04% |
| 2026-06-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.021 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.021 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.04% · 1-day return: -0.04% · Beta (60d): 0.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.04% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.079 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.04% · 1-day return: -0.04% · Beta (60d): 0.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.04% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.155 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.35% · 1-day return: 0.35% · Beta (60d): 0.62 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.425 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.66% · 1-day return: -0.66% · Beta (60d): 0.61 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.43 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.39 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |