HRL
Hormel Foods
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
49
rows
Days on list
8
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftpartialpersisting
score: 0.218confluence: 1days: 8as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:partial (0.057 in [0.03,0.1))earnings_8d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.06
Days Since Earnings
8.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 12as of 2026-08-24
Triggers:rvol_pctile 8.4 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
8.37
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 49as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:short_pct 5.9% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.88 (extreme)ret_20d -15.7% (falling)dist_52w_low +6.8% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
5.90
Days To Cover
5.88
Ret 20d
-0.16
Dist 52w Low
0.07
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
6 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
4 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
6 days
N2 · Overextended Blowoff
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/9 directionally right · mean +0.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-31 → open5 bars
-0.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-28 → 2026-08-312 bars
+1.4%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-14 → 2026-08-269 bars
-1.6%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-10 → 2026-08-112 bars
+1.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-033 bars
-3.0%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-07-27 → open34 bars
-22.8%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-14 → 2026-07-238 bars
-3.7%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-01 → 2026-07-085 bars
-0.5%closed
N2 · Overextended Blowoffshort fragility2026-06-26 → 2026-06-303 bars
+4.0%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-247 bars
+3.3%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+2.4%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.982 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -10.81% · 1-day return: -10.81% · Beta (60d): -0.56 · Sector return (1d): -1.39% · Sector return: -1.39% · Borrowed drop: -11.59% |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.90 · Days To Cover: 5.88 · Ret 20d: -0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.90 · Days To Cover: 5.88 · Ret 20d: -0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.90 · Days To Cover: 5.88 · Ret 20d: -0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.312 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.10 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.218 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.218 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.90 · Days To Cover: 5.88 · Ret 20d: -0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.982 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -10.81% · 1-day return: -10.81% · Beta (60d): -0.56 · Sector return (1d): -1.39% · Sector return: -1.39% · Borrowed drop: -11.59% |
| 2026-09-03 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.216 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.216 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.90 · Days To Cover: 5.88 · Ret 20d: -0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.217 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.217 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.90 · Days To Cover: 5.88 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.13 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.218 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.218 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.90 · Days To Cover: 5.88 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.13 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.218 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.218 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.90 · Days To Cover: 5.88 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.12 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.219 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.219 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.90 · Days To Cover: 5.88 · Ret 20d: -0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.982 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -10.81% · 1-day return: -10.81% · Beta (60d): -0.56 · Sector return (1d): -1.39% · Sector return: -1.39% · Borrowed drop: -11.59% |
| 2026-08-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.982 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.90 · Days To Cover: 5.88 · Ret 20d: -0.18 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 8.37 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.312 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.10 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-14 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.150 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.34 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.540 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.65% · 1-day return: -3.65% · Beta (60d): -0.39 · Sector return (1d): -2.53% · Sector return: -2.53% · Borrowed drop: -4.65% |
| 2026-08-13 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.54 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.312 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.10 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-07 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.485 | 1 | exited | Rsi 14: 80.12 · Sma Dist 20: 0.09 · Sma Dist 50: 0.19 · Stretch: 0.19 · Atr Pct: 2.30% · 1-day return: 2.04% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.540 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.65% · 1-day return: -3.65% · Beta (60d): -0.39 · Sector return (1d): -2.53% · Sector return: -2.53% · Borrowed drop: -4.65% |
| 2026-08-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.485 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.10 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.540 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.65% · 1-day return: -3.65% · Beta (60d): -0.39 · Sector return (1d): -2.53% · Sector return: -2.53% · Borrowed drop: -4.65% |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.485 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.10 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.471 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): -0.18 · Sector return (1d): -1.68% · Sector return: -1.68% · Borrowed drop: -3.43% |
| 2026-07-17 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.485 | 1 | decayed | Rsi 14: 80.12 · Sma Dist 20: 0.09 · Sma Dist 50: 0.19 · Stretch: 0.19 · Atr Pct: 2.30% · 1-day return: 2.04% |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.634 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.471 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): -0.18 · Sector return (1d): -1.68% · Sector return: -1.68% · Borrowed drop: -3.43% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.090 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.21% · 1-day return: -0.21% · Beta (60d): 0.02 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.20% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.471 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): -0.18 · Sector return (1d): -1.68% · Sector return: -1.68% · Borrowed drop: -3.43% |
| 2026-06-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.817 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.83% · 1-day return: -5.83% · Beta (60d): -0.09 · Sector return (1d): -1.55% · Sector return: -1.55% · Borrowed drop: -5.97% |
| 2026-06-29 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.090 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.21% · 1-day return: -0.21% · Beta (60d): 0.02 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.20% |
| 2026-06-26 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.485 | 1 | new | Rsi 14: 80.12 · Sma Dist 20: 0.09 · Sma Dist 50: 0.19 · Stretch: 0.19 · Atr Pct: 2.30% · 1-day return: 2.04% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.090 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.21% · 1-day return: -0.21% · Beta (60d): 0.02 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.20% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.301 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.70% · 1-day return: -0.70% · Beta (60d): 0.03 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.70% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.299 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.70% · 1-day return: -0.70% · Beta (60d): 0.03 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.70% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.298 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.70% · 1-day return: -0.70% · Beta (60d): 0.03 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.70% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.090 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.21% · 1-day return: 0.21% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.588 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.31% · 1-day return: -1.31% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.134 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.28% · 1-day return: 0.28% · Beta (60d): 0.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.338 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.69% · 1-day return: -0.69% · Beta (60d): 0.05 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |