KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
43
rows
Days on list
3
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
8 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.938confluence: 1days: 3as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 1.84 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -35.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 6 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
2.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.35
Sma Dist 200
-0.35
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialnew
score: 0.429confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:quality:passtwin:AVAVcorrelation:0.70spread_z:-2.36laggard:cheap_laggard → long_recovery
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
AVAV
Pair Correlation
0.70
Pair Spread Z
-2.36
Pair Direction
long_recovery
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:rvol_pctile 8.0 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
7.97
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
No
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
3 days
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recoveryactive
1 day
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
2 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
5 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/9 directionally right · mean -2.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-2.7%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-09-10 → open2 bars
+2.5%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-03 → open6 bars
-3.1%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-18 → open18 bars
-25.3%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-10 → 2026-08-187 bars
+1.5%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-29 → 2026-07-302 bars
+11.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-27 → 2026-07-315 bars
-4.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-17 → 2026-07-202 bars
+0.5%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-135 bars
-10.0%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-07 → 2026-07-082 bars
+6.3%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-14.0%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-2616 bars
-18.1%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+4.1%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.883 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.40 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.938 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.84 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -35.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 6 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-10 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.429 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: AVAV · Pair Correlation: 0.70 · Pair Spread Z: -2.36 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.928 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.93 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -34.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 6 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.447 | 0 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 1.95 · Sector return (1d): 0.03% · Sector return: 0.03% · Borrowed drop: -3.27% |
| 2026-09-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.933 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.76 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -34.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 6 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.97 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-03 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.447 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 1.95 · Sector return (1d): 0.03% · Sector return: 0.03% · Borrowed drop: -3.27% |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.028 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.27% · 1-day return: -3.27% · Beta (60d): 2.12 · Sector return (1d): -1.38% · Sector return: -1.38% · Borrowed drop: -0.35% |
| 2026-08-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.108 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.20% · 1-day return: -3.20% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Sector return (1d): -0.93% · Sector return: -0.93% · Borrowed drop: -1.20% |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.883 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.40 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.745 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.63 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.855 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.44% · 1-day return: -7.44% · Beta (60d): 2.21 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -5.90% |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.747 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.51% · 1-day return: -7.51% · Beta (60d): 2.29 · Sector return (1d): -1.21% · Sector return: -1.21% · Borrowed drop: -4.75% |
| 2026-08-19 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.287 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.02% · 1-day return: -3.02% · Beta (60d): 2.16 · Sector return (1d): -0.19% · Sector return: -0.19% · Borrowed drop: -2.61% |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.186 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.99% · 1-day return: -3.99% · Beta (60d): 2.21 · Sector return (1d): -0.94% · Sector return: -0.94% · Borrowed drop: -1.92% |
| 2026-08-14 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.883 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.40 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.882 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.40 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.545 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -10.30% · 1-day return: -10.30% · Beta (60d): 2.06 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -3.62% |
| 2026-08-12 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.881 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.40 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.745 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.63 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.881 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.40 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.880 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.40 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.879 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.40 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.545 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -10.30% · 1-day return: -10.30% · Beta (60d): 2.06 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -3.62% |
| 2026-07-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.745 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.63 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.718 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.59 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.61 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.939 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.90% · 1-day return: 1.90% · Beta (60d): 1.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.75% |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.718 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.59 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.939 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.90% · 1-day return: 1.90% · Beta (60d): 1.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.75% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.939 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.90% · 1-day return: 1.90% · Beta (60d): 1.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.75% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.61 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.959 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.77% · 1-day return: -5.77% · Beta (60d): 2.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.57% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.914 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.93% · 1-day return: -5.93% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.17% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.800 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.53% · 1-day return: -3.53% · Beta (60d): 2.29 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.53% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.809 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.53% · 1-day return: -3.53% · Beta (60d): 2.29 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.53% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.814 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.53% · 1-day return: -3.53% · Beta (60d): 2.29 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.53% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.937 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.24% · 1-day return: -5.24% · Beta (60d): 2.33 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.169 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.32% · 1-day return: -0.32% · Beta (60d): 2.42 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.61 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.481 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.49 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |