AVAV
AeroVironment
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
39
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.904confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:ret_1d -6.0%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -6.79pp (unexplained)sector_explained 2.05×+0.4%=+0.8pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-5.98%
1-day return
-5.98%
Beta (60d)
2.05
Sector return (1d)
0.39%
Sector return
0.39%
Borrowed drop
-6.79%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.858confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-5.1%failure_vol:weak:0.08sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.63
Sma Dist 20
-0.02
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-5.13%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
12 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
3 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/4 directionally right · mean -6.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-24 → open2 bars
-3.1%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-10 → 2026-07-132 bars
-1.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-08 → open14 bars
+5.8%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-01 → open7 bars
-16.3%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+1.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-2616 bars
-25.9%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+0.0%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.858 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.63 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.904 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.98% · 1-day return: -5.98% · Beta (60d): 2.05 · Sector return (1d): 0.39% · Sector return: 0.39% · Borrowed drop: -6.79% |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.813 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -6.13% · 1-day return: -6.13% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Sector return (1d): 0.38% · Sector return: 0.38% · Borrowed drop: -6.87% |
| 2026-07-23 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.813 | 2 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.763 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.60 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.813 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.13% · 1-day return: -6.13% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Sector return (1d): 0.38% · Sector return: 0.38% · Borrowed drop: -6.87% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.964 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 0.92% · 1-day return: 0.92% · Beta (60d): 1.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.77% |
| 2026-07-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.813 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -6.13% · 1-day return: -6.13% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Sector return (1d): 0.38% · Sector return: 0.38% · Borrowed drop: -6.87% |
| 2026-07-09 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.813 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.920 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): 1.89 · Sector return (1d): 1.15% · Sector return: 1.15% · Borrowed drop: -6.91% |
| 2026-07-08 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.744 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.763 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.60 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.763 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.964 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.92% · 1-day return: 0.92% · Beta (60d): 1.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.77% |
| 2026-07-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.788 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-02 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.821 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.920 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): 1.89 · Sector return (1d): 1.15% · Sector return: 1.15% · Borrowed drop: -6.91% |
| 2026-07-01 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.833 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-06-30 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.900 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.964 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.92% · 1-day return: 0.92% · Beta (60d): 1.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.77% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.330 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.45% · 1-day return: -1.45% · Beta (60d): 1.85 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.75% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.920 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): 1.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.42% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.920 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): 1.89 · Sector return (1d): 1.15% · Sector return: 1.15% · Borrowed drop: -6.91% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.991 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -11.40% · 1-day return: -11.40% · Beta (60d): 1.90 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -10.78% |
| 2026-06-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.991 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -11.40% · 1-day return: -11.40% · Beta (60d): 1.90 · Sector return (1d): 0.49% · Sector return: 0.49% · Borrowed drop: -12.34% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.558 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.48% · 1-day return: 1.48% · Beta (60d): 1.81 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.48% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.561 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.48% · 1-day return: 1.48% · Beta (60d): 1.81 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.48% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.565 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.48% · 1-day return: 1.48% · Beta (60d): 1.81 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.48% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.441 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.11% · 1-day return: -1.11% · Beta (60d): 1.80 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.128 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.24% · 1-day return: 0.24% · Beta (60d): 1.84 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.732 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.09% · 1-day return: -3.09% · Beta (60d): 1.98 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.732 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.09% · 1-day return: -3.09% · Beta (60d): 1.98 · Sector return (1d): 0.65% · Sector return: 0.65% · Borrowed drop: -4.39% |
| 2026-06-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.966 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.40% · 1-day return: -7.40% · Beta (60d): 2.12 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -8.65% |
| 2026-06-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.940 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.40% · 1-day return: -7.40% · Beta (60d): 2.12 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -8.65% |
| 2026-06-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.945 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.40% · 1-day return: -7.40% · Beta (60d): 2.12 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -8.65% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.443 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.21 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |