AVAV
AeroVironment
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
40
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.157confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -5.5%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by recent_earnings (attribution_confidence=high)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -2.08pp (unexplained)sector_explained 2.26×-1.5%=-3.4pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-5.51%
1-day return
-5.51%
Beta (60d)
2.26
Sector return (1d)
-1.52%
Sector return
-1.52%
Borrowed drop
-2.08%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A6 · Vol Mispricingpartialnew
score: 0.157confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:quality:passhist_earnings_move 1.4% (weighted avg of 8 events, w=0.7)catalyst 0d awayimplied_move:unavailable (options enabled but no data)vol_edge: pending implied_move data
Dislocation:
Hist Earnings Move
1.35
N Events Used
8.00
Days To Catalyst
0.00
Implied Move
—
Vol Edge
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Recency Weight
0.70
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:rvol_pctile 15.5 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
15.54
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
No
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recoveryactive
1 day
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
1 day
N3 · Failed Breakout
5 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
9 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/9 directionally right · mean -5.8% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-2.5%open · MTM
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-2.5%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-08 → open4 bars
-1.2%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-18 → 2026-08-267 bars
-17.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-27 → 2026-07-315 bars
-1.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-24 → 2026-07-283 bars
-1.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-10 → 2026-07-132 bars
-1.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-08 → 2026-07-092 bars
+8.7%dropped
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-01 → 2026-07-138 bars
-15.7%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+1.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-2616 bars
-25.9%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+0.0%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.157 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -5.51% · 1-day return: -5.51% · Beta (60d): 2.26 · Sector return (1d): -1.52% · Sector return: -1.52% · Borrowed drop: -2.08% |
| 2026-09-09 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 0.157 | 2 | new | Hist Earnings Move: 1.35 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 0.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.866 | 0 | exited | 1-day return: -7.80% · 1-day return: -7.80% · Beta (60d): 2.47 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -6.08% |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.54 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.866 | 0 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.80% · 1-day return: -7.80% · Beta (60d): 2.47 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -6.08% |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.866 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.80% · 1-day return: -7.80% · Beta (60d): 2.47 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -6.08% |
| 2026-08-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.858 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.63 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.734 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.79% · 1-day return: -7.79% · Beta (60d): 2.60 · Sector return (1d): -1.21% · Sector return: -1.21% · Borrowed drop: -4.66% |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.009 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.94% · 1-day return: -3.94% · Beta (60d): 2.59 · Sector return (1d): -1.49% · Sector return: -1.49% · Borrowed drop: -0.09% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.852 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.25% · 1-day return: -6.25% · Beta (60d): 2.55 · Sector return (1d): -0.10% · Sector return: -0.10% · Borrowed drop: -5.99% |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.271 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -9.54% · 1-day return: -9.54% · Beta (60d): 2.20 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -2.41% |
| 2026-08-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.858 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.63 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.813 | 2 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.271 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -9.54% · 1-day return: -9.54% · Beta (60d): 2.20 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -2.41% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.271 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -9.54% · 1-day return: -9.54% · Beta (60d): 2.20 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -2.41% |
| 2026-07-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.858 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.63 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.813 | 2 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.763 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.60 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.964 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 0.92% · 1-day return: 0.92% · Beta (60d): 1.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.77% |
| 2026-07-09 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.813 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-08 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.744 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.763 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.60 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.763 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.964 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.92% · 1-day return: 0.92% · Beta (60d): 1.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.77% |
| 2026-07-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.788 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-02 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.821 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-01 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.833 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-06-30 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.900 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.25 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.964 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.92% · 1-day return: 0.92% · Beta (60d): 1.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.77% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.330 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.45% · 1-day return: -1.45% · Beta (60d): 1.85 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.75% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.920 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): 1.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.42% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.991 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -11.40% · 1-day return: -11.40% · Beta (60d): 1.90 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -10.78% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.558 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.48% · 1-day return: 1.48% · Beta (60d): 1.81 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.48% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.561 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.48% · 1-day return: 1.48% · Beta (60d): 1.81 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.48% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.565 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.48% · 1-day return: 1.48% · Beta (60d): 1.81 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.48% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.441 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.11% · 1-day return: -1.11% · Beta (60d): 1.80 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.443 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.21 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |