BWXT
BWX Technologies
Screener candidate detail · 4 active archetypes
Active
4
archetypes
History
44
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.776confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.7%failure_vol:weak:0.61sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.34
Sma Dist 20
-0.02
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.67%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.536confluence: 1days: 17as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 1.24 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 48 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.20
Sma Dist 200
-0.20
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialpersisting
score: 0.130confluence: 1days: 6as of 2026-09-01
Triggers:quality:passtwin:CWcorrelation:0.78spread_z:+2.09laggard:rich_laggard → short_fragility
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
CW
Pair Correlation
0.78
Pair Spread Z
2.09
Pair Direction
short_fragility
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-08-31
Triggers:rvol_pctile 14.7 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
14.74
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
5 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragilityactive
5 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
4 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/11 directionally right · mean +0.3%
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-08 → open4 bars
+3.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-03 → open6 bars
-2.8%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-01 → 2026-09-022 bars
+6.2%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-08-28 → open10 bars
+1.8%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-08-27 → open11 bars
+1.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-19 → 2026-08-266 bars
-8.7%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-08-07 → 2026-08-177 bars
-2.3%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-05 → 2026-08-1911 bars
+3.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-29 → 2026-07-313 bars
-1.7%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-156 bars
-2.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-29 → 2026-07-013 bars
-2.4%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-2.7%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-15 → 2026-06-162 bars
+1.4%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+6.8%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-10 → 2026-06-123 bars
+4.7%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.536 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.24 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 48 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.536 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.21 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 49 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.581 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.70% · 1-day return: -3.70% · Beta (60d): 1.30 · Sector return (1d): 0.03% · Sector return: 0.03% · Borrowed drop: -3.74% |
| 2026-09-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.776 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.34 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.581 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.70% · 1-day return: -3.70% · Beta (60d): 1.30 · Sector return (1d): 0.03% · Sector return: 0.03% · Borrowed drop: -3.74% |
| 2026-09-01 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.130 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: CW · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: 2.09 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.899 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.584 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): 1.35 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -3.80% |
| 2026-08-31 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.74 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-31 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.39 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -21.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 15 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-28 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.540 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.40 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -20.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 22 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-27 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.477 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: CW · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: 2.40 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.538 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.38 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -20.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 31 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.584 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): 1.35 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -3.80% |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.210 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.65% · 1-day return: -3.65% · Beta (60d): 1.29 · Sector return (1d): -1.21% · Sector return: -1.21% · Borrowed drop: -2.10% |
| 2026-08-19 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.387 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.36% · 1-day return: -3.36% · Beta (60d): 1.27 · Sector return (1d): -0.19% · Sector return: -0.19% · Borrowed drop: -3.12% |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.193 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.88% · 1-day return: -3.88% · Beta (60d): 1.29 · Sector return (1d): -1.49% · Sector return: -1.49% · Borrowed drop: -1.96% |
| 2026-08-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.899 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.524 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.524 | 2 | persisting | Pair Twin: CW · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: 2.26 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-12 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.178 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.506 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -7.48% · 1-day return: -7.48% · Beta (60d): 1.24 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -3.46% |
| 2026-08-07 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.810 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: CW · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: 3.03 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-06 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.380 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: CW · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: 2.29 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.086 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.506 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.48% · 1-day return: -7.48% · Beta (60d): 1.24 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -3.46% |
| 2026-08-05 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.812 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.506 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.48% · 1-day return: -7.48% · Beta (60d): 1.24 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -3.46% |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.397 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.465 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.41% · 1-day return: -3.41% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.41% |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.465 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.41% · 1-day return: -3.41% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.41% |
| 2026-06-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.397 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.465 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.41% · 1-day return: -3.41% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.41% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.464 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.41% · 1-day return: -3.41% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.35% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.541 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.41% · 1-day return: -3.41% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -9.19% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.787 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.04% · 1-day return: -2.04% · Beta (60d): 1.74 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.67% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.452 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.14% · 1-day return: 1.14% · Beta (60d): 1.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.14% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.453 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.14% · 1-day return: 1.14% · Beta (60d): 1.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.14% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.455 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.14% · 1-day return: 1.14% · Beta (60d): 1.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.14% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.349 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.85% · 1-day return: 0.85% · Beta (60d): 1.99 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.397 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |