AFG
American Financial Group
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
31
rows
Days on list
45
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.516confluence: 1days: 45as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:52w_highfailure_bar:-0.7%failure_vol:weak:0.50sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
52w_high
Dist 52w High
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
0.00
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.74%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.350confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-07-16
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-2.3%rsi_divergence:55momentum_rollover:-1.6%rel_vol:0.03sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.02
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
54.61
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
0.01
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.02
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-08
Triggers:rvol_pctile 19.1 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
19.12
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
3 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
2 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/5 directionally right · mean +0.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-07-16 → 2026-07-203 bars
-4.6%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → open9 bars
+6.4%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-103 bars
-0.6%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-236 bars
+3.7%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → open33 bars
-9.0%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-06-082 bars
+0.8%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+2.8%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.516 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.426 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.69% · 1-day return: -3.69% · Beta (60d): -0.44 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -3.25% |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.373 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.350 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.61 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 2 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.556 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 49.13 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.426 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.69% · 1-day return: -3.69% · Beta (60d): -0.44 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -3.25% |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.631 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.12 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.303 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.148 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.34% · 1-day return: -0.34% · Beta (60d): -0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-07-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.006 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-02 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.36 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.148 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.34% · 1-day return: -0.34% · Beta (60d): -0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 2 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.148 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.148 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.34% · 1-day return: -0.34% · Beta (60d): -0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-06-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.147 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.147 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.34% · 1-day return: -0.34% · Beta (60d): -0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-06-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.435 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.435 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.34% · 1-day return: -0.34% · Beta (60d): -0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-06-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.192 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.192 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.47% · 1-day return: -0.47% · Beta (60d): -0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.573 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.573 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.96% · 1-day return: -0.96% · Beta (60d): -0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.271 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.63% · 1-day return: 0.63% · Beta (60d): -0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.266 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.22% · 1-day return: -0.22% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.580 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.28% · 1-day return: 1.28% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.36 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |