BALL
Ball Corporation
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
40
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialnew
score: 0.122confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 2.9% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.08 (extreme)ret_20d -2.0% (holding)dist_52w_low +32.3% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
2.94
Days To Cover
5.08
Ret 20d
-0.02
Dist 52w Low
0.32
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.122confluence: 2days: 15as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:rvol_pctile 18.7 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
18.73
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
1 day
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
9 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
6 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
6 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/5 directionally right · mean +1.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-31 → open9 bars
-4.5%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-21 → open15 bars
+3.8%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-10 → 2026-08-187 bars
-1.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-04 → 2026-08-063 bars
+0.5%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-23 → 2026-07-242 bars
-0.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
-0.3%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+8.3%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.067 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.122 | 2 | new | Short Pct Float: 2.94 · Days To Cover: 5.08 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.32 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.122 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.742 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.55 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.14 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.38 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.78 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-02 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.59 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-01 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.37 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-31 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.77 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.067 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-28 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.77 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.742 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.049 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.303 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.384 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.05% · 1-day return: -3.05% · Beta (60d): 0.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.25% · Sector return: 0.25% · Borrowed drop: -3.08% |
| 2026-08-14 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.067 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.069 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.071 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.384 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.05% · 1-day return: -3.05% · Beta (60d): 0.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.25% · Sector return: 0.25% · Borrowed drop: -3.08% |
| 2026-08-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.073 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.074 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.078 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.303 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.384 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.05% · 1-day return: -3.05% · Beta (60d): 0.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.25% · Sector return: 0.25% · Borrowed drop: -3.08% |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.303 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.488 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.86% · 1-day return: -3.86% · Beta (60d): 0.15 · Sector return (1d): -2.66% · Sector return: -2.66% · Borrowed drop: -3.47% |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.488 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.86% · 1-day return: -3.86% · Beta (60d): 0.15 · Sector return (1d): -2.66% · Sector return: -2.66% · Borrowed drop: -3.47% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.314 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 0.68% · 1-day return: 0.68% · Beta (60d): 0.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.70% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.488 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.86% · 1-day return: -3.86% · Beta (60d): 0.15 · Sector return (1d): -2.66% · Sector return: -2.66% · Borrowed drop: -3.47% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.314 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.68% · 1-day return: 0.68% · Beta (60d): 0.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.70% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.314 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.68% · 1-day return: 0.68% · Beta (60d): 0.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.70% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.00% · 1-day return: 0.00% · Beta (60d): 0.66 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.00% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.00% · 1-day return: 0.00% · Beta (60d): 0.66 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.00% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.00% · 1-day return: 0.00% · Beta (60d): 0.66 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.00% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.546 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.41% · 1-day return: 1.41% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.397 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.81% · 1-day return: -0.81% · Beta (60d): 0.65 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.580 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.45% · 1-day return: 1.45% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.319 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.65% · 1-day return: 0.65% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |